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      "body": "<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRyxSkRUhAryjaEKXi3zMrVnFwkvkur46oubnVPVbqgf1/image.png)</center>\n*__03/09/2019/15:00CET__*\nBouncing back into the green, Bitcoin will not be allowed to drop below the 9k resisance, why?\n___\nPrecisely the question which I want to answer while also giving you some insight as to what TERMINUS means.\n\nFor the last 2 years I have been posting fairly regularly on the subjects of #geopolitics #macroeconomics and #cryptocurrencies. The later, and in particular trading analysis, has been my focus for the bulk of this time.\n\nDuring this time #Bitcoin has done its thing, volatile one day, and quiet as a baby sleeping the next.\nThe more I went into the TA of cryptos, and more so into Bitcoin in the final 12 months, the more I have become frustrated at the seeming idiocy of my endeavours. More on this later.\n\nI am a strong believer in Bitcoin. I believe that there will be a crypto revolution that will (quietly at first then suddenly) sweep aside the archaic financial architecture of the present day, and this will occur with inverse proportionality to the imminent collapse of the current teetering system.\n\n## Why am I so sure the current system will fall?\n\nOnce one ventures far enough down the rabbit hole of secondary economic data, one cannot help but come to the conclusion that the global economy is not sick, it is dead and rotting. A dead man walking. The global financial system is still living but its organs are in terminal decline. It is reached it used by date. It was not designed to go further that this. It was not meant to even survive this long.\nA bold statement to make you may think.\n\nHere i could begin chapter one of an epic tome of data and analysis, though any attempt to document it in one huge epic would only result in a historic account rather than a current affairs report. The data is just too much and too varied and moving too fast now. Collapsing too fast!\n\nNo, I will no bore you to death with it. I know it is happening, and I now feel confident I know what to do to sidestep the mess as best as I possibly can. If you are still unsure and scratching your head about it all, then all I can say to you is:\n ### <center>yesterday was when you needed to open your eyes<br>and start to act.</center>\n___\n\nThe crash of the global financial system is inevitable. If you are not convinced then thing on this one oxymoron.\n#### <center>All central banks and governments can do to solve the impeding economic crash is to flood the system with debt. It is the only mechanism they have to create liquidity. It is literally the only tool they have in the tool box to fix such problems.<br>It is what they did in 2000, and 2008, and what they will do shortly.</center>\n### <center>Problem is that 2000, and 2008 were problems whose root cause was excessive debt.</center>\n# <center>In 2000, the flooding of debt fixed the problem, somewhat</center>\n# <center>But in 2008 it did not work.<br>It was just enough for the authorities to claim (till blue in the face) that the economy was roaring. But it wasn't. This system will roar no longer.</center><br>\n## <center>More and more people are waking up to this reality,<br> but we must also join the dots and realise who did this.<br>If not we are bound to repeat this again, and again.</center>\n___\nWhat's worse, is the flood of public debt that was released to fix the 2008 crisis turned into a huge money grab by the most powerful and wealthy. For these people are __the insiders__, they understand what is going on and they know that this system is ripe for collapse. They know that it was never meant to work for ever. They know this system is coming to an end. __And most importantly__, they want to position themselves in the best possible way to become the elite in the next system, what ever it may be.\n___\nSo I bid you all a farewell from my regular Bitcoin TA show. I have come to the realization that there is almost no point in trading daily charts, switching from alts to btc and back to squeeze out more sats. The cost in time, stress and nerves is too much for me. Those who advocate hodling are the wisest of us all.\n\nNow we are going to see the die cast and see Bitcoin be tested by fire. The ultimate test. The one Satoshi was driven by. His experiment is finally getting the real black box test.\n\nThere will be gnashing of teeth, there will be copious tears, there will be death, and there will be anguish. Fingers will be pointed, torches and pitchforks will be brandished. Many will loose all. Few will win much. But one thing is certain, things will never be the same again.\n\nSo as the smell of autumn permeates the morning air, I feel a strong deep certainty, that with the passing of this summer of 2019, so to are we passing into a winter of the macro financial cycle. The death of a system, and the inevitable birth of a new one. <br><center>___The final chapter of the debt fueled fiat system.___</center>\n\nTo be fair, it was a system that brought us space flight, nuclear weapons, the internet, mapping of the human genome, the start of the rise of the robot and AI. And finally the birth of Bitcoin.\n\nBut it has also brought us 2 world wars, one cold war that was almost as bad, a medley of other costly conflict which created countless needless enmities. It has also brought our planetary life support systems to a stress level never before seen. This last point may have occurred in any case, so I feel it slightly disingenuous to lay the blame here.\n\nIts inevitable crash is upon us now. How do I know this? It is because the MSM is now taking about it. When they start, it is already very late in the game. For their goal is to keep the public quite and confident in the economy. They do this till that can't. And when they can't, then they can only accelerate it by sharing this with you all. It is the proverbial self fulfilling prophesy. \n\nThe night is darkest before the dawn, so ready yourselves for the next turning.\n<br><br><br><br><br><br><br><br>\n___\nAh, I have not explained the idiocy of my TA.\n\nAnyone who has followed this blog will know that I did not write it for views or revenue. _(If that were the case, I should have stopped a long time ago)_ No, it was as a study/research tool for my own trading analysis.\n\nTrading is hard enough to get right at the best of times, but alone in your office, with no one to bounce idiotic ideas around with, it is much harder. I needed a medium to keep myself honest. To be able to call out my own bad calls. To commit my predictions to the most immutable medium known to man, the public blockchain.\n\nWho knows, maybe decades or centuries from now, these posts will still be searchable in some ancient archive on what life was like at the end of the ___debt age___. The most optimistic and dangerous time of humanity on planet earth.\n\nSo this blog will live on, but in a different form. Like the dying _debt age_, so to will my TA blog go through a rebirth.\nInto what, I yet do not know.\n\nFor the handful of followers, and yet smaller number who actually read and react to my posts, I wish you all strength, fortitude and luck in this coming trial. Be open minded and trust your logical deductions. Trust those voices that have earned your trust, and help those that deserve, and need it.\n\nThose stuck in the matrix want to be there, only they can free themselves. As the system collapses, many will wake up and be confused and distressed. They need our help. Be honest and gentle with them. BUT BE SURE THEY KNOW WHO IS TO BLAME. LET THEM KNOW IT WAS NOT TRUMP, OR XI, OR BREXIT, OR ANY OTHER BOOGIEMAN.\n\n# <center>THE CENTRAL BANKERS ARE TO BLAME</center>\n\nThe central bankers and their enablers and supporters are the cause of all this, so if you are upset with the outcome, do not let them stay in control any longer.\n\nIt was their plan all along to use the control over our money to stay in power. At the onset of every crash, the central bankers have gone into high gear to claim themselves as the one and only saviours of humanity, and they will try __very hard__ to sell themselves as the saviors of this crash. Anything to remain in power.\n\nHere are some of them on show, preening their reputations of purity and virtue _(sarc)_.\n\nAnd to close wtih you all, I leave a link to one of [my first posts](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@mastercore/what-does-bitcoin-really-mean), enjoy and bon voyage...\n<br><br>\n\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRKwSLmz34qDPD2AqoTETUtAtuAotUkpkn1AmZJrzJjXZ/image.png)</center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYtKCout1EYWQEqnioicwVwEteLPJ4mTQUY6xCVKEfSTA/image.png)</center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaUeWfV79B3LwwTsZrsombH26tJn7PTMtKRfzdpnaAneG/image.png)</center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRZhnNbnsiJNHoLPrTUZLLnGspAxsvcEuDcgr4ubmRLTF/image.png)</center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmeK8JJnNyLYxqWsiLQQUrGQ1hbrFTHsZQFMB9g3qLdPDM/image.png)</center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQQXMWQBV4BPUSxoAo9tKF2Q4dJE9TNgPPGetXn81H4UF/image.png)</center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVEK2JWsRqNpdrpC9k5b6aBJoJ1aHZUW2rWGkieWuoRnJ/Untitleda.jpg)</center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQY8CdtwBrmJXyfQ7FCgvBWVJwoyfhK9vhiNPCVSyNwQj/image.png)</center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbF6D5z1Rdgy5PntRtjjRogkUuzRxmzKQEqoEpcN2YZb8/image.png)</center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbyVst7mdAahhscv6ZYhhj1EYxiW6ByCDQA5nCF3fdcPV/image.png)</center>\n<br><br><br>\nAs always guys, leave comments, have fun and trade safe.\n___\n#### Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. Before investing any funds do your own research and make your own decisions. Cryptocurrencies are highly speculative. <br>And finally: Do not invest money you are not comfortable losing.\n___\n<center>\n# Please Upvote me, comment and resteem. <br>Thanks\n![steemit footer 01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNXeCsyvoEShqr14PeKtc6xkSGnDTNErTD2DReMyMfzDa/steemit%20footer%2001.png)</center>",
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      "body": "*__29/08/2019/14:00CET__*\nHoly shit, we have had a breakdown it seems. So what is in store now for Crypto?\n___\n## BTCUSD 12h on Bitstamp\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcoHVgp962N62Mw5KvVWv7Rj7shhBrEYa34Dx6YSE2iK2/image.png)</center>\n* We are trading at __9422USD__ at press time.\n* Yesterday afternoon we had out decisive move out of our tightening wedge pattern.\n* We all hoped for a break out instead we got a break down.\n* The initial break was violent! +6% down in 1 hour\n* It stabilized at the 9600 range but there was too  much fear to stage a rally back up.\n* So since the initial drop, we have drifted lower.\n* Till now we have had a local low of 9320USD\n* Apart from the initial drop, volumes have also dried up again so this hints at more bearishness to come.\n* I feel the odds are that we revisiting the 9100 support line in this session before a reversal of short term trend.\n* Cause? I have looked around my news feed for a convincing argument and there were none.\n* There are a lot of candidates that could be given the crown, but none deserve it outright.\n* I believe that once the 9800 level was broken, the stop losses did most of the damage.\n* We chalk this up to whales I guess. We have to admit that there are players out there with deep pockets and hungry for risk assets. They trade on leverage and have figured out how to play Bitcoin.\n* I think we have to admit that we are still at the size of a toy for the big players. Till we outgrow that, we will remain a play thing \n* As conclusion to the point on stop losses, this theory would then suggest there is capital hoping to get back in at a lower price. A reversal rally is not unlikely.\n<br><br><br>\nAs always guys, leave comments, have fun and trade safe.\n___\n#### Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. Before investing any funds do your own research and make your own decisions. Cryptocurrencies are highly speculative. <br>And finally: Do not invest money you are not comfortable losing.\n___\n<center>\n# Help me to make more content like this.<br>Upvote me, comment and resteem. <br>Thanks\n![steemit footer 01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNXeCsyvoEShqr14PeKtc6xkSGnDTNErTD2DReMyMfzDa/steemit%20footer%2001.png)</center>",
      "title": "Crypto update - IS THIS THE BREAK FROM THE WEDGE?",
      "author": "mastercore",
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      "body": "*__28/08/2019/17:00CET__*\nOur wedge is getting tighter and tighter. In which direction will we break?\n___\n## BTCUSD 4H on Bitstamp\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTzft7dogxSGTGLvjeyroNijnB8Y1fpdU39dHr2Hoyi4P/image.png)</center>\n* We are trading at __10217USD__ at press time, after a quite 24h\n* I have tweaked our technical wedge pattern, but it made little difference to the overall analysis.\n* We are still in a undirectional wedge with lower highs and higher lows. These are classically hard to call.\n* In its current configuration it this wedge ends on the 31st Aug and is at the 10138USD level. Pretty much where we were earlier today. i.e. well within the daily trading range of #BTC\n* One can off course start to get all sexy with auxiliary indicators but the exercise quickly becomes a goal seeking expedition.\n* Our 21EMA and 50SMA on the daily are coinciding and in a falling pattern, while the 100SMA on the daily is rising up underneath us. These indicators are basically acting as boundaries of our price action at the moment. Take a look here...\n### BTCUSD Daily on Bitstamp\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZA63NetfDgsYeT6FU9EER1YLFyEhTjz6KHh4k4vLvNTG/image.png)</center> \n* A larger wedge also exists which ends on the 16th Sept and at a price of around 10740USD. Could this be the wedge we should be looking at?\n* Ever since April I have been waiting for a good safe chance to reenter the market and I have chose this to be it. I have been adding long positions over the last few weeks.\n* Now it is patience time. I have laid some stops below me to catch a breakdown, but I feel the weight of probability is leaning lightly to the upside this time.\n* Going from past experiences with trading BTC, I think the move will be sharp and surprising.\n* It will suck in the sideline #FOMO crowd and at the same time wipe out shorts forcing them to close out and push the price further.\n# MACRO VIEW\n* Mark Carney of the Bank Of England has come out and stated that central banks' orbit around the USD has outlived its purpose and is now a net negative for the world economy. He seems inspired by the concept of Facebook's Libra design enough to use as a point of reference of what he (they) think would be a good replacement for the USD as a reserve currency.\nI beg you to not be fooled by this apparent endorsement of the technology behind our beloved cryptos. What Mark Carney and his ilk are planning has very little in common with Bitcoin for example.\nTheir dream is to control all money flows - absolutely. The architecture behind bitcoin suddenly allows this in a most elegant of ways.\nBut we should also see the silver lining: By adopting the basic technology of cryptos as their solution to a pure digital Synthetic Hegemonic Currency (SHC, _another arcane acronym is birthed into the economic lexicon_), they simultaneously endorse the #Cryptocurrency idea. Considering they will never really be able to destroy #Bitcoin (as long as people want to have it), the creation of this #SHC will likely remove some adoption hurdles for Bitcoin adoption.\n* Looks like Zucks crypto wet dream is drying out. Some of the founding members of the #Libra association are getting cold feet from the heat they are getting from regulators. What's the bet #Visa and #Mastercard are among them? Nobody knows yet who they are yet, so I am only guessing.\n* The Swiss entity #Sygnum, has just been awarded a Swiss Banking licence. [link](https://cointelegraph.com/news/Switzerland-first-licensed-crypto-bank-is-eyeing-singapore-next) In my opinion this is not really much of news on its own since banking regulation is designed mainly to work with a fractional reserve currency, but the development is noteworthy as it is another tangible sign that #Switzerland is forging ahead with growing confidence into the #crypto world. This conversely also implies that the Swiss acknowledge that the Global Banking Industry, within which Switzerland has enjoyed an overweighted importance, is now waning.\n* Craig Wright seems to be in hot water with a law suit against him from the family of his deceased business partner [link](https://www.coindesk.com/judge-confirms-ruling-craig-wright-to-forfeit-50-of-bitcoin-holdings). I am only tangentially following this story since being a fellow Aussie, I am somewhat embarrassed by one of my compatriots acting generally like a huge dick. What puzzles me at the moment is that the law suit seems to assume that Craig Wright is Satoshi since the suit is claiming half of the 1.1 mill bitcoins that #Satoshi is claimed to have mined in the initial years of Bitcoin.\nI am not convinced that Craig Wright is Satoshi, so I do not think he has these coins, but I believe he has some coins about.\nWhat will come of this claim of 550,000 bitcoins or about 5 billion USD which the judge has awarded the partners estate.\nWill be interesting to see.\nI have heard claims that this suit will mean Craig Wright has to liquidate these bitcoins to settle the suit. Necessarily those making these claims, must also believe Craig Wright is not only Satoshi, but he also hold the keys to Satoshi's wallets.\nYes a dump of this magnitude onto the markets today (or any other day) would be a catastrophe, but I am not believing this to be the case. Just my 2 bobs worth.\n* The MSM is openly talking about recessions! Wow. When this happens, then its right around the corner. There has been murmurs a plenty that the insiders have been exiting the markets for some months now, but this is now the open warning by the MSM who want to avoid being on the wrong side of history when the markets implode. Brace for impact.\n* To confirm the above, Gold, and Silver are on a tear of the past. This is the simplest hedge for economic and inflationary fears. The spooks are getting real now (the daily gold chart)\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTjbFRbJSAh4HtvxHt5Ufa4TQRMoLtM3Rgz2ULgaLNmV6/image.png)</center>\n* Back to the MSM, another peice of the puzzle is falling into place, the central banking world and the MSM work hand in glove most of the time. Their leaders are often working openly together as in cross board directorships, or covertly in social circles. __Trump is being lined up as the patsy for this next crash__ his absurd trade war is backfiring for the US. Not only is it galvanising its advesaries to collaborate, but it is going to shortly kick off the long awaited inflationary wave all this money printing has engineered. The USD may be on a strong high just right now, but when you look at gold, you see it is also falling but simply not as fast as everyone else. When the crash is in, Trumps name will be all over the rubble in glowing lights.\n<br><br><br>\nAs always guys, leave comments, have fun and trade safe.\n___\n#### Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. Before investing any funds do your own research and make your own decisions. Cryptocurrencies are highly speculative. <br>And finally: Do not invest money you are not comfortable losing.\n___\n<center>\n# Help me to make more content like this.<br>Upvote me, comment and resteem. <br>Thanks\n![steemit footer 01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNXeCsyvoEShqr14PeKtc6xkSGnDTNErTD2DReMyMfzDa/steemit%20footer%2001.png)</center>",
      "title": "Crypto update - IMMINENT BREAK FROM THE WEDGE",
      "author": "mastercore",
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      "body": "257 #oldsteem thinkers",
      "title": "",
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      "body": "... because he bought the votes LOL",
      "title": "",
      "author": "carlgnash",
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      "body": "People want to get a piece of that curation pie so they vote blindly.",
      "title": "",
      "author": "hatu",
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      "body": "People would set curation trails on people who are known bid botters so they could get in on the curation, was just a compounding I hope this HF will see reduced. Some are farm accounts, others are set and forgets",
      "title": "",
      "author": "chekohler",
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      "body": "What's more amazing is they all changed their autovoters to get in under 5mins...looks awfully like fake accounts or account farms to me\n\nPosted using [Partiko Android](https://partiko.app/referral/nathen007)",
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      "body": "Plenty of people set auto-votes to people they follow. \nEngagement via comments takes time and usually pulls in after people have had enough time to read.",
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      "body": "How is it you have 257 upvotes in 9 minutes, but not a single reply? Not even a thanks?",
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      "body": "I think that it is time to take long positions on platforms like Primexbt or Bitmex. Time to long.",
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      "body": "*__26/08/2019/9:30CET__*\nI showed you guys a textbook wedge, and we are at the inflection point. Which way will it go?\n___\n## BTCUSD Daily on Bitstamp\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmf1Jm4eF3oEEpLSuUnFrS3X94PUwZih4e2dznETYokR9o/image.png)</center>\n* Trading at __10341USD__ at the moment after having a 7% whipsaw movement. High of 10650 and a low of 9990 in the last 12h or a 7.5% move bottom to top \n* The chart looks more decisive in the 4h configuration...\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmd9YMvJAzpjgL7SdnqTZiKqQdzmE2YXFQGPrc8cvYXNsg/image.png)</center>\n* Could this be the start of our decisive move.\n* If you have long positions on this move, a defensive move would be to set a few stop losses starting at about the 8800 levels\n* If we were to break 9k, I believe we are in for a ride down into the low 8k or even mid to low 7k. A kiss off the 6k is also a possibility but more unlikely in my view.\n* If we take the bull case for a moment, I think after bouncing around and testing, and retesting 10k, we could very well have a nice powerful bounce upward.\n* We could ride to 14k rather fast without much bother from the intermediate resistance zone of 11800-12200.\n* But if we get to 14k, I definitely expect another cool off where a BTD opportunity will present itself to jump on again.\n* I will be setting to sell some of my position at 13600-14000, with the aim to re-buy at a lower level.\n# Macro\n* I look at the world around me and I cannot find a simple thing to indicate that a crash will not happen.\n* Seems the island the MSM and politicians stand on, from which everything looks rosy, is getting too small for them all.\n* The MSM seem to be now wading into the cleansing waters of truth, been forced to admit they were mistaken, and now also acknowledge the recession sighs ahead. Politicians, especially the dumb orange man persist in their fake utopia.\n* I want to be clear, I do not completely inversely correlate, the global economy to Bitcoin and gold.\n* Depending on how this crash plays out, it could very well be that these hard money hedges are also beaten up. But not for long.\n* And now even one of the very insiders, Mark Carney has come out and said it! A crypto as a reserve currency has a lot of merit. In one foul swoop, he endorses the technology behind cryptos, and poo poos on the USD as a reserve currency.\nRead it for yourself [directly from the BOE's own website](https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/speech/2019/the-growing-challenges-for-monetary-policy-speech-by-mark-carney.pdf?la=en&hash=01A18270247C456901D4043F59D4B79F09B6BFBC). The juicy bits are at the end.\n<br><br><br>\nAs always guys, leave comments, have fun and trade safe.\n___\n#### Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. Before investing any funds do your own research and make your own decisions. Cryptocurrencies are highly speculative. <br>And finally: Do not invest money you are not comfortable losing.\n___\n<center>\n# Help me to make more content like this.<br>Upvote me, comment and resteem. <br>Thanks\n![steemit footer 01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNXeCsyvoEShqr14PeKtc6xkSGnDTNErTD2DReMyMfzDa/steemit%20footer%2001.png)</center>",
      "title": "Crypto update - IS THIS THE BREAKOUT?",
      "author": "mastercore",
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      "body": "## BTCUSD 4H on Bitstamp\n<center></center>\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmadc2RTZwnicyYwLjJsQYZXJJoz9yjEFCqsxFFDSyzUcE/image.png)</center>\n<br><br><br>\nAs always guys, leave comments, have fun and trade safe.\n___\n#### Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. Before investing any funds do your own research and make your own decisions. Cryptocurrencies are highly speculative. <br>And finally: Do not invest money you are not comfortable losing.\n___\n<center>\n# Help me to make more content like this.<br>Upvote me, comment and resteem. <br>Thanks\n![steemit footer 01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNXeCsyvoEShqr14PeKtc6xkSGnDTNErTD2DReMyMfzDa/steemit%20footer%2001.png)</center>",
      "title": "Crypto update - CHART OF THE HOUR!!!!!",
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      "body": "*__21/08/2019/10:00CET__*\n#Bitcoin is trading in a twilight zone as the world crumbles, why not Mooning?\nLets unpack this and see what lays in store for cryptos...\n___\n## BTCUSD Daily on Bitstamp\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVr94515WEz1fWD5wJFcgxSWtewGK8WuohpSJvQk9Piod/image.png)</center>\n* As always we start with a snapshot of where we are. #BTC is trading at 10159 as of press time after dropping suddenly overnight from the 10800 area.\n* We are trading into a tightening wedge which does not show many technical indicators as to what direction it will take next, apart from the overall aparent trend from the March lows.\n* We have seen local highs in the 12300's and lows in the 9400's. That is quite a wide range (top to bottom ~23%), so we can say that recent volatility is reasonable. But it has tempered somewhat in the last few days. \n* I see a wedge pattern as I said; the lows of which can be connected all the way back to the April breakout.\n* The 3 highs since the end June high connect nicely as well.\n* The intersection of these comes to a head in mid Sept. Before then, Bitcoin will have to choose a direction within the next 3 weeks.\n* Geopolitically and Geoeconomically, I lean toward a breakout. A continuation of the bull trend. Breaking the local high of the 12300's top and surging to challenge the 13800's\n* This would be consistent with the belief that we will be challenging ATH's, of the 20k levels by year end.\n* A bearish scenario would be justified and grounded in the belief that we still have too much capital in dead alts. This theory could only be reconciled if there is a last rotation, or flush if you may, out of all moribund and comatose alts.\n* This theory is not necessarily directly bearish for Bitcoin itself since the rotation will most likely go through BTC. But the dead alt holders may not be happy to languish in BTC and go on to dump it onto exchanges for fiat as well.\n* This theory can be also pushed by speculators who bridge the traditional markets and cryptos. In an traditional market crash, these players may be also liquidating cryptos to cover bets elsewhere.\n* In this bearish case, a visit to 6k is not hard to imagine. Though to be sure, those with conviction will be aggressive bidders at these levels.\n* What do you think?\n\n# Context\n* Context is king. The globe has never been as financially interconnected as today. But the business cycle is far from banished by central banks.\n* Some could convincingly justify that central banks have exacerbated the business cycle by holding back the natural corrective cycles for so long (almost 20y).\n* It is requiring an increasing willful ignorance to continue to claim the global economy is doing great. Only MSM journalists are able, mainly because their pay checks depend on it.\n* Politicians are speaking out of both sides of their mouths as they try to maintain confidence in the masses, while also hedging their reputations for what comes after the crash.\n* The indicators showing that \"all is fine\" are now a precious few lagging indicators which the MSM will continue to jawbone till the ceiling caves in on them. The _orchestra on the titanic_ is a good metaphor.\n* In economics, the significance of an event is measured in the statistical term SIGMA. A 4 sigma event is statistically likely to only happen approximately once every 63 years, but there have been at least 10 such events in the bond market just this month. The BOND market. One of the most liquid and foundational elements of our current financial system. This alone is indicating something is amiss. [link](https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-08-19/impossible-events-are-becoming-daily-occurrence)\n* Indicators pointing at abnormal behaviour in our financial system are piling up. the MSM is desperate to distract you from looking at them.\n* Do you agree with this thesis?\n\n# Conviction\n* Why do so many suffer from FOMO and FUD? It is conviction that they lack.\n* Speculation vs Investment can be delineated by the depth of conviction one has in the underlying asset.\n* Speculators gamble (and it is an educated type of gambling, not dissimilar to horse racing) on the market sentiment in short to medium time frames. The underlying asset is of secondary importance to them as long as liquidity is present. So their conviction is in market sentiment and in the presence of liquidity.\n* Investing, on the other hand, is all about conviction in the underlying asset. The belief that your chosen asset has good fundamentals and is positioned favorably to grow in value, in the future you predict is most likely to occur.\n* I am by no means a seasoned investor or speculator, but I do have enough experience to know the difference between the Speculation and Investing, and to understand the difference each one demands, in the form of research.\n* Bitcoin (and to a certain degree, a select few alts) is on the whole, an investment play. Its abstract and novel structure offers an alternative bet on the future of monetary architecture. And a colossal bet this is. No less than the cornerstone of our global society.\n* Sadly the hype, and its abstract nature, has held many back from truly grasping #Bitcoin's potential. And hype it has gained! it is arguably the most attractive asymmetrical assets around.\n* YTD Bitcoin is 177% up. By far the best high liquidity performer in the whole global investing space. (It must be kept in mind that Jan 1, 2019 was near the cycle lows ;-)\n* Bitcoin has visited just shy of 20k USD and then promptly crashed to just above 3k (-84%), but this is not without precedent. The venerated Nasdaq crashed 78% after its bubble burst following its Y2k fueled final pump into the turn of the millennium. The mainstreams obsession to bash cryptos with the volatility argument seems quite hollow.\n* How is your conviction? How did you reach your conviction?\n# Binary bet\n* Bitcoin seems to becoming a binary bet against the financial system for Investors.\n* A steadily increasing cohort of respected academics and economics professionals, not to mention wall street and big bank brains, are draining out of the teetering edifice of our status quo financial system into Cryptos.\n* Are they wrong with their career bets? Is there a sustainable cure to the ailments besetting the current global financial architecture? These are very weighty questions.\n* Those not yet asking them are still trapped in the matrix. Still at the point of noticing there is something wrong.\n* If you are like me and believe that the inherent contradictions deeply embedded within the current financial system are not resolvable, then there is a binary outcome: __a disorderly global economic crash, or a semi orderly transition to a new architecture which surely must be currently under intense development.__\n* The next step is what comes next. A careful consideration as to the role of hard money in either outcomes. What will it be? Will there be more than one? How will they interact with the inevitable _new architecture_ the powers that be will surely try to force us into? Will the current rulers of the world succeed to hold onto their precarious positions?\n* Investing in this environment is as much research as it is guess work, hence the need for strong convictions.\n* And if you take only one thing away from this post today, it is the following:\n### <center>There will be no sidelines this time.<br>Nowhere to hide your wealth.</center>\n\n### <center>You WILL BE invested in something when it comes to the reset. What you are invested in will be either accidental, or deliberate.</center>\n\n### <center>The changes that are coming will ruin fortunes, or create them.</center>\n\n### <center>What is certain though,it will feel literally like an overnight change, and MSM will be the last to tell you about it.</center>\n<br><br>\nNote: I do not advocate cryptocurrencies with this conclusion. A I advocate is to be aware that you will be taking sides no matter what. So knowing this, and doing nothing will mean there is nobody to blame if your financial life is destroyed. Get educated about your money, and figure out for yourself what the risks are. Ignore all this at your own peril.\n<br><br><br>\nAs always guys, leave comments, have fun and trade safe.\n___\n#### Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. Before investing any funds do your own research and make your own decisions. Cryptocurrencies are highly speculative. <br>And finally: Do not invest money you are not comfortable losing.\n___\n<center>\n# Help me to make more content like this.<br>Upvote me, comment and resteem. <br>Thanks\n![steemit footer 01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNXeCsyvoEShqr14PeKtc6xkSGnDTNErTD2DReMyMfzDa/steemit%20footer%2001.png)</center>",
      "title": "Crypto update",
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      "body": "*__12/08/2019/15:00CET__*\nBitcoin is holding fast consolidating as the world burns. What is coming next for the new safe haven asset?\n___\n## BTCUSD Daily on Bitstamp\n<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbAYF22JeNBCJzfMqwNyfmrnhSWH5uRemuKKUNYo2FTE3/image.png)</center>\n* #Bitcoin is trading at __11351USD__ at press time.\n* Volatility has dropped as we have entered a range bound period between 11500 and 11250 for the last 40h\n* Prior to that we had a similar but more bouncy period bound between the 12000 and 11500 levels\n* The consensus in the TA world is that the healthiest thing right now is to hold around this level and consolidate.\n* The 21DEMA is close to meeting the support at 11150usd. This is a level to watch for now.\n* For our best case to play out, we need to hold this level.\n* A break of this level would change our outlook to a likely retest of the 21 week EMA which is currently coming up to meet the 9100 support line.\n* But a word of warning for the dip buyer, I expect a test of the low 9k level to be __*extremely*__ short lived. I will be joining a tsunami of buyers if we go back into the 4 fig. prices. \n* To end of bulls. Above us the 12000 level is the resistance to break. If it is broken, a rally to the 13300-13850 becomes more likely.\n## Macro Triggers...\nThere are literally sooooo many potential negative triggers around at the moment.\n* Hong Kong political and financial tensions. Yes Financial since Hong Kong is almost out of USD to defend the peg, and the US dollar is rising. This peg defense has blown 80% of their reserves in the last 12 mth. Not much left to go.\n* Deutsche Bank is slowly rotting  away in the center of Europe\n* Italy is reaching a tipping point politically, which is likely to test the resilience of the EU common currency.\n* The US Fed has cut rates for the first time in over 10y. Is this a once and done or is this the start of a new easing cycle, and probably the most important question, can the fed keep the market placated anymore?\n* 2nd Tier macro indicators all over the place are screaming recession all over the world.\n* White hot real estate markets around the world are reversing. Will these bubbles fizzle or explode?\n* One country after another is easing, wanting to be in front of the US easing cycle.\n* Gold is hitting all time highs in many currencies. If we use Gold instead of the USD to value currencies, then most are falling off a cliff as we layer on currency wars on to the already insane trade wars.\n* How far away are we from a trigger error and the rapid escalation to a shooting war? the Persian gulf, Kashmir, South China sea, SE Ukraine, Hong Kong, take your pick.\n* Bitcoin is about to have its prime use case tested. #Satoshi left little room for misinterpretation when it came to his motivation for Bitcoin. Now after 10 years of getting ready, we, ladies and gentlemen, are about to see it put to the test!\n* If ever my gut was telling me something, it is: get ready for action, get out of Fiat and all paper claim instruments, and get into hard assets. We should all be thinking wealth preservation first.\n\nWell we cannot complain that things are boring!",
      "title": "Crypto update",
      "author": "mastercore",
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