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      "body": "How much longer until lambo season?\n\nIs the question on everyone's mind. This current bear trend is currently celebrating its 192nd birth(day)day, which feels like 100 crypto years.\n\nAll kidding aside, I do think that it will be over soon. But I am going to reiterate it yet again, we STILL need to correct a bit further.\n\nDisclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and this post is for educational purposes only.\n\nA) Full Chart\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-06-27 at 19.40.17.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZDMQYhMsY1pm6YYiPzUcXM3GmDzeAEf3Hb9qVA7veL64/Screen%20Shot%202018-06-27%20at%2019.40.17.png)\n\nI will zoom into the technical bits further on in the post, for now we will just look at the general path. I think that we have nearly completed a WXY correction. We have a standard ABC correction down for the W wave, a 5 wave impulse up to complete the X and we are currently moving within a more complex ABC correction to complete the Y wave. \n\nB) The Y wave  \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-06-27 at 19.44.37.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPnPdwnzqtG2tjxu2y5Y6C77Tc1TxF3kkYaMhBCrmKoeY/Screen%20Shot%202018-06-27%20at%2019.44.37.png)\n\nThe chart above shows the ABC correction that is going to make up the Y wave. I personally see a clear 5 waves down(the A wave), 3 waves back up (the B wave) and we are now riding the last five waves down to complete the C wave.\n\nc) The final C wave in the Y wave?\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-06-27 at 19.46.59.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRxboqeidj4HWaUgf15pEUW75MDEmXai4H27YcQU57bws/Screen%20Shot%202018-06-27%20at%2019.46.59.png)\n\nThis chart shows the final C wave of the Y wave. I think it works quite well, we're just going to have to wait to see. So at the moment Bitcoin is completing the 4th wave of the 5 waves down. I took some simple fibonacci levels, the inside levels are a projection of the 1st wave onto the 4th wave (I have estimated the 4th wave will retrace 0.382% of the 3rd wave) and the outside fib levels are drawn from the bottom of wave 3 up to where the 2nd wave finishes. \n\nWe can see two zones of interest 1) The 0.854projection almost perfectly coincides with the 1.236 2) The 1-1 projection of the 1st wave onto the 4th and the 1.382 of the outside fib.\n\nC) What next?\n\nIt would be nice to think that the correction will finish in the next few weeks. But, crypto is extremely unpredictable and volatile anything could happen. One loose theory is that we could get another impulse wave back up and we then further retrace to join an XZ wave onto the correction to make it a very lengthy WXYXZ correction.\n\nHappy trading see you guys soon!",
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      "body": "Hi again,\n\nthis is going to be another short post. Just a small update on Bitcoin's short term path. As always I am in not a financial advisor and this post is for educational use only. \n\nThis first picture shows Bitcoin's current path. Its a simple ABC correction. Five waves down, three waves back up and then another 5 waves down.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-23 at 14.23.51.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQma4UXa2dAQRboRzfSfRc6hYHUzp8iKoqMmmYTX2j6YiP2/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-23%20at%2014.23.51.png)\n\nFor quite a while I was debating where the first five wave structure ended. Either, where I have marked the A on the pic above; or move it down a pivot to where the first wave of the third corrective wave started. I decided to stick to the former as we get a nice ABC wave back up to complete the second wave of the correction. \n\nWhere are we going now?\n\nI personally think that Bitcoin still has some more correcting to do before we go back up. Yes, it has already perfectly corrected to the 0.618 level but I feel that it still has to bleed more. Also, the current wave structure doesn't support a run back up to 10k just yet. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-23 at 14.25.32.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbuL6wAkgNFy7ERrJ4MuC5SFU9UWZzfVdbySU3uzgqco7/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-23%20at%2014.25.32.png)\n\nThis last picture shows all the points at which Bitcoin could bounce. To find these fib levels I took the extension of the A wave and translated it onto where the B wave finished. The current bounce coincided with the 0.618 level. Watch for any more bounces at these levels as we move further down. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-23 at 14.24.51.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPzeP9KHUUwMUqdksbbQcVdCXPyfLxVB9hYFybokFi4T7/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-23%20at%2014.24.51.png)\n\nThanks  for reading!",
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      "author": "benharmer",
      "body": "Hi, \n\nI see two main Bitcoin paths occurring, both bullish in the short run but one will correct soon to form a wedge. As always, I am not a financial advisor and this is an educational post. \n\nThe picture below outlines the bullish count. It shows that we have already completed our first and second wave out of the motive wave. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-13 at 22.09.09.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPg1NpSeHH8iZKLYAmHg2uPEiYqmXnZDXjocEW5GrUn28/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-13%20at%2022.09.09.png)\n\nThe next picture supports this view. Firstly, I drew a fib retracement from the bottom of the Y wave up to where the 5th wave ended. We can see that there was a perfect bounce off of the 0.5 fib level. Second wave retracements are usually deep and it would have been more reassuring if it bounced off of a lower fib level (such as the 0.786 or the 0.854). Secondly, I drew a fib extension of the first sub wave onto the fourth wave, we see the fifth wave ends at the 1:1 level.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-13 at 22.29.26.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQzGA9kabW36YxQvyMRdFjSo7b1ejfAr2eGtfrwVM1grx/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-13%20at%2022.29.26.png)\n\nNext, the bearish view. The pic below supports the bearish outlook, we are now trading within a contracting wedge/triangle. It is a 5 wave structure (ABCDE) with 3-3-3-3-3 sub waves. This is a bearish shape, unless Bitcoin dramatically breaks out and pushes up above the red resistance line, a large drop normally occurs after the 5 waves are completed. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-13 at 22.52.47.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTALvWqiZSCdpeJ4ZkJx4jmRKtsJgpHa86om4Dd4mqhnk/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-13%20at%2022.52.47.png)\n\nI personally think that Bitcoin still has some correcting to do, or at least a few months of accumulation before the next bull run. \n\nHappy trading!",
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      "title": "Bitcoin 13/05/18"
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      "author": "benharmer",
      "body": "@@ -3061,18 +3061,71 @@\n rip down\n-.\n  \n+but we do see two nice bounces from both 0.864 levels.\n %0A%0A!%5BScre\n@@ -4044,18 +4044,17 @@\n  the\n-re\n  furthe\n-r\n+st\n  Neo\n@@ -4058,16 +4058,26 @@\n Neo has \n+currently \n correcte\n",
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      "permlink": "an-algorithmic-playground",
      "title": "An Algorithmic Playground"
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      "author": "benharmer",
      "body": "This is going to be a bit of a different post (a rather long post so be warned). Rather than being a TA, this post is going to be delving into the algorithms that run most of the price action and show how often they achieve their end goal. \n\nAlgorithms haven't been around for that long, the first computerised order flow originated in the 1970s on the New York stock exchange. Algorithmic play in the crypto market is a bit different than in the stock market. Because the market cap of some coins are relatively low and are also owned by a few large players, you can see how easily a market can be manipulated. For an example, take the Basic Attention Coin (BAT), the top owner owns a staggering 23% of total coins available! If they deploy an algorithm to automate their trades, not much is going to stop them. \n\nFor this example I will be using NEO. \n\nI will be making my way through the on-going correction, drawing fib extensions from swing highs and lows detailing the possible targets. I am sure I missed lots of pivot points but hopefully you get the general gist.\n\nThe first pic below is just the most recent swing low before the ATH drawn up to the ATH. You can see that the first target is  the golden zone and it does that perfectly, flawlessly bouncing off the 0.65 line.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.57.42.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcQSPi3ewWe9PJooBU87F9Dx59771pmKtB1ewFmaJZWmC/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.57.42.png)\n\nTo see where the next target is, I drew a fib extension from the 0.65 bounce back up to the ATH. We then see another perfect wave to the golden zone. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.58.26.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdtmA95rQ6k82vpXxEQVW8LjhX6nTpMsGEWHDaGzrZSFE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.58.26.png)\n\nAt first I couldn't see any obvious algo activity, none of the lines were showing obvious target zones. I searched for other sites that support NEO/USDT and Bittrex came up. I tried the same fib again and we can see a perfect 0.786 retracement. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.40.51.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmeBA7at2ghxWU4Ah3g5W8DTfaX7bntkEGTXyc1o5QmSu2/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.40.51.png)\n\nNext we push back up past the recent high and reach the 1.236 target.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.53.01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmS6qXJq5oyQhw2qTwsErxRb2t7r1r9t1HSXMupvYcL24i/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.53.01.png)\n\nThis is where it gets really interesting. There are now multiple algorithm targets focusing on an area. We see a perfect 0.786 retracement from the ATH and a front run on 1.236, which was drawn from the last two swing points in the previous two graphs. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.56.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUACfPP8obgmw9HzEQKqo1tFgWVbk6WUPsXcMyEU4N9T9/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.56.38.png)\n\nWe then see another confluence of targets below. This marks the point the impulse wave finishes (see the second bearish prediction in the last Neo post or the next graph where I put a count on). From here we have a straight rip down. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.52.06.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdTjRFwmt78XgeXareZXvjHg86J6z1mFbvZGdS9rmPvTs/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.52.06.png)\n\nThe graph below shows a possible count (this is more so I could name different sections of the graph rather than an actual analysis), I found the two pivot points by just playing around with a few swing points. The first arrow marks a 0.854 retracement drawn from the original swing low up to the X wave. The bounce then only pushes up further until it reaches the resistance of the 0.5 line, this was drawn from taking a fib extension from the ATH down to the first C wave and then back up to the top of the X wave. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.10.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbYnngkVmmj9s2e6TjXSMhhLrg3n3srvaiFpq49egA1vc/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.10.38.png)\n\nOkay last graph now, I promise. This is the most recent swing low and there further Neo has corrected. The fib levels were just drawn from the W-X impulse wave.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.11.27.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVvKmdWFS3zTAno9SWxftd5DAGjUkAdfGY2sj1gy2FRJE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.11.27.png)\n\nI hope this post sheds some light on how important it is to learn both Elliot Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels. Then you will have the tools to predict the path of a coin by working out probable algorithm targets. \n\nThanks for reading!",
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      "author": "benharmer",
      "body": "This is going to be a bit of a different post (a rather long post so be warned). Rather than being a TA, this post is going to be delving into the algorithms that run most of the price action and show how often they achieve their end goal. \n\nAlgorithms haven't been around for that long, the first computerised order flow originated in the 1970s on the New York stock exchange. Algorithmic play in the crypto market is a bit different than in the stock market. Because the market cap of some coins are relatively low and are also owned by a few large players, you can see how easily a market can be manipulated. For an example, take the Basic Attention Coin (BAT), the top owner owns a staggering 23% of total coins available! If they deploy an algorithm to automate their trades, not much is going to stop them. \n\nFor this example I will be using NEO. \n\nI will be making my way through the on-going correction, drawing fib extensions from swing highs and lows detailing the possible targets. I am sure I missed lots of pivot points but hopefully you get the general gist.\n\nThe first pic below is just the most recent swing low before the ATH drawn up to the ATH. You can see that the first target is  the golden zone and it does that perfectly, flawlessly bouncing off the 0.65 line.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.57.42.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcQSPi3ewWe9PJooBU87F9Dx59771pmKtB1ewFmaJZWmC/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.57.42.png)\n\nTo see where the next target is, I drew a fib extension from the 0.65 bounce back up to the ATH. We then see another perfect wave to the golden zone. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.58.26.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdtmA95rQ6k82vpXxEQVW8LjhX6nTpMsGEWHDaGzrZSFE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.58.26.png)\n\nAt first I couldn't see any obvious algo activity, none of the lines were showing obvious target zones. I searched for other sites that support NEO/USDT and Bittrex came up. I tried the same fib again and we can see a perfect 0.786 retracement. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.40.51.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmeBA7at2ghxWU4Ah3g5W8DTfaX7bntkEGTXyc1o5QmSu2/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.40.51.png)\n\nNext we push back up past the recent high and reach the 1.236 target.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.53.01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmS6qXJq5oyQhw2qTwsErxRb2t7r1r9t1HSXMupvYcL24i/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.53.01.png)\n\nThis is where it gets really interesting. There are now multiple algorithm targets focusing on an area. We see a perfect 0.786 retracement from the ATH and a front run on 1.236, which was drawn from the last two swing points in the previous two graphs. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.56.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUACfPP8obgmw9HzEQKqo1tFgWVbk6WUPsXcMyEU4N9T9/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.56.38.png)\n\nWe then see another confluence of targets below. This marks the point the impulse wave finishes (see the second bearish prediction in the last Neo post or the next graph where I put a count on). From here we have a straight rip down. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.52.06.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdTjRFwmt78XgeXareZXvjHg86J6z1mFbvZGdS9rmPvTs/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.52.06.png)\n\nThe graph below shows a possible count (this is more so I could name different sections of the graph rather than an actual analysis), I found the two pivot points by just playing around with a few swing points. The first arrow marks a 0.854 retracement drawn from the original swing low up to the X wave. The bounce then only pushes up further until it reaches the resistance of the 0.5 line, this was drawn from taking a fib extension from the ATH down to the first C wave and then back up to the top of the X wave. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.10.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbYnngkVmmj9s2e6TjXSMhhLrg3n3srvaiFpq49egA1vc/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.10.38.png)\n\nOkay last graph now, I promise. This is the most recent swing low and there further Neo has corrected. The fib levels were just drawn from the W-X impulse wave.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.11.27.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVvKmdWFS3zTAno9SWxftd5DAGjUkAdfGY2sj1gy2FRJE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.11.27.png)\n\nI hope this post sheds some light on how important it is to learn both Elliot Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels. Then you will have the tools to predict the path of a coin by working out probable algorithm targets. \n\nThanks for reading!",
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      "body": "This is going to be a bit of a different post (a rather long post so be warned). Rather than being a TA, this post is going to be delving into the algorithms that run most of the price action and show how often they achieve their end goal. \n\nAlgorithms haven't been around for that long, the first computerised order flow originated in the 1970s on the New York stock exchange. Algorithmic play in the crypto market is a bit different than in the stock market. Because the market cap of some coins are relatively low and are also owned by a few large players, you can see how easily a market can be manipulated. For an example, take the Basic Attention Coin (BAT), the top owner owns a staggering 23% of total coins available! If they deploy an algorithm to automate their trades, not much is going to stop them. \n\nFor this example I will be using NEO. \n\nI will be making my way through the on-going correction, drawing fib extensions from swing highs and lows detailing the possible targets. I am sure I missed lots of pivot points but hopefully you get the general gist.\n\nThe first pic below is just the most recent swing low before the ATH drawn up to the ATH. You can see that the first target is  the golden zone and it does that perfectly, flawlessly bouncing off the 0.65 line.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.57.42.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcQSPi3ewWe9PJooBU87F9Dx59771pmKtB1ewFmaJZWmC/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.57.42.png)\n\nTo see where the next target is, I drew a fib extension from the 0.65 bounce back up to the ATH. We then see another perfect wave to the golden zone. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.58.26.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdtmA95rQ6k82vpXxEQVW8LjhX6nTpMsGEWHDaGzrZSFE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.58.26.png)\n\nAt first I couldn't see any obvious algo activity, none of the lines were showing obvious target zones. I searched for other sites that support NEO/USDT and Bittrex came up. I tried the same fib again and we can see a perfect 0.786 retracement. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.40.51.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmeBA7at2ghxWU4Ah3g5W8DTfaX7bntkEGTXyc1o5QmSu2/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.40.51.png)\n\nNext we push back up past the recent high and reach the 1.236 target.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.53.01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmS6qXJq5oyQhw2qTwsErxRb2t7r1r9t1HSXMupvYcL24i/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.53.01.png)\n\nThis is where it gets really interesting. There are now multiple algorithm targets focusing on an area. We see a perfect 0.786 retracement from the ATH and a front run on 1.236, which was drawn from the last two swing points in the previous two graphs. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.56.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUACfPP8obgmw9HzEQKqo1tFgWVbk6WUPsXcMyEU4N9T9/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.56.38.png)\n\nWe then see another confluence of targets below. This marks the point the impulse wave finishes (see the second bearish prediction in the last Neo post or the next graph where I put a count on). From here we have a straight rip down. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.52.06.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdTjRFwmt78XgeXareZXvjHg86J6z1mFbvZGdS9rmPvTs/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.52.06.png)\n\nThe graph below shows a possible count (this is more so I could name different sections of the graph rather than an actual analysis), I found the two pivot points by just playing around with a few swing points. The first arrow marks a 0.854 retracement drawn from the original swing low up to the X wave. The bounce then only pushes up further until it reaches the resistance of the 0.5 line, this was drawn from taking a fib extension from the ATH down to the first C wave and then back up to the top of the X wave. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.10.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbYnngkVmmj9s2e6TjXSMhhLrg3n3srvaiFpq49egA1vc/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.10.38.png)\n\nOkay last graph now, I promise. This is the most recent swing low and there further Neo has corrected. The fib levels were just drawn from the W-X impulse wave.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.11.27.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVvKmdWFS3zTAno9SWxftd5DAGjUkAdfGY2sj1gy2FRJE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.11.27.png)\n\nI hope this post sheds some light on how important it is to learn both Elliot Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels. Then you will have the tools to predict the path of a coin by working out probable algorithm targets. \n\nThanks for reading!",
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      "author": "benharmer",
      "body": "This is going to be a bit of a different post (a rather long post so be warned). Rather than being a TA, this post is going to be delving into the algorithms that run most of the price action and show how often they achieve their end goal. \n\nAlgorithms haven't been around for that long, the first computerised order flow originated in the 1970s on the New York stock exchange. Algorithmic play in the crypto market is a bit different than in the stock market. Because the market cap of some coins are relatively low and are also owned by a few large players, you can see how easily a market can be manipulated. For an example, take the Basic Attention Coin (BAT), the top owner owns a staggering 23% of total coins available! If they deploy an algorithm to automate their trades, not much is going to stop them. \n\nFor this example I will be using NEO. \n\nI will be making my way through the on-going correction, drawing fib extensions from swing highs and lows detailing the possible targets. I am sure I missed lots of pivot points but hopefully you get the general gist.\n\nThe first pic below is just the most recent swing low before the ATH drawn up to the ATH. You can see that the first target is  the golden zone and it does that perfectly, flawlessly bouncing off the 0.65 line.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.57.42.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcQSPi3ewWe9PJooBU87F9Dx59771pmKtB1ewFmaJZWmC/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.57.42.png)\n\nTo see where the next target is, I drew a fib extension from the 0.65 bounce back up to the ATH. We then see another perfect wave to the golden zone. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.58.26.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdtmA95rQ6k82vpXxEQVW8LjhX6nTpMsGEWHDaGzrZSFE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.58.26.png)\n\nAt first I couldn't see any obvious algo activity, none of the lines were showing obvious target zones. I searched for other sites that support NEO/USDT and Bittrex came up. I tried the same fib again and we can see a perfect 0.786 retracement. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.40.51.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmeBA7at2ghxWU4Ah3g5W8DTfaX7bntkEGTXyc1o5QmSu2/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.40.51.png)\n\nNext we push back up past the recent high and reach the 1.236 target.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.53.01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmS6qXJq5oyQhw2qTwsErxRb2t7r1r9t1HSXMupvYcL24i/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.53.01.png)\n\nThis is where it gets really interesting. There are now multiple algorithm targets focusing on an area. We see a perfect 0.786 retracement from the ATH and a front run on 1.236, which was drawn from the last two swing points in the previous two graphs. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.56.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUACfPP8obgmw9HzEQKqo1tFgWVbk6WUPsXcMyEU4N9T9/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.56.38.png)\n\nWe then see another confluence of targets below. This marks the point the impulse wave finishes (see the second bearish prediction in the last Neo post or the next graph where I put a count on). From here we have a straight rip down. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.52.06.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdTjRFwmt78XgeXareZXvjHg86J6z1mFbvZGdS9rmPvTs/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.52.06.png)\n\nThe graph below shows a possible count (this is more so I could name different sections of the graph rather than an actual analysis), I found the two pivot points by just playing around with a few swing points. The first arrow marks a 0.854 retracement drawn from the original swing low up to the X wave. The bounce then only pushes up further until it reaches the resistance of the 0.5 line, this was drawn from taking a fib extension from the ATH down to the first C wave and then back up to the top of the X wave. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.10.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbYnngkVmmj9s2e6TjXSMhhLrg3n3srvaiFpq49egA1vc/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.10.38.png)\n\nOkay last graph now, I promise. This is the most recent swing low and there further Neo has corrected. The fib levels were just drawn from the W-X impulse wave.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.11.27.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVvKmdWFS3zTAno9SWxftd5DAGjUkAdfGY2sj1gy2FRJE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.11.27.png)\n\nI hope this post sheds some light on how important it is to learn both Elliot Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels. Then you will have the tools to predict the path of a coin by working out probable algorithm targets. \n\nThanks for reading!",
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      "body": "This is going to be a bit of a different post (a rather long post so be warned). Rather than being a TA, this post is going to be delving into the algorithms that run most of the price action and show how often they achieve their end goal. \n\nAlgorithms haven't been around for that long, the first computerised order flow originated in the 1970s on the New York stock exchange. Algorithmic play in the crypto market is a bit different than in the stock market. Because the market cap of some coins are relatively low and are also owned by a few large players, you can see how easily a market can be manipulated. For an example, take the Basic Attention Coin (BAT), the top owner owns a staggering 23% of total coins available! If they deploy an algorithm to automate their trades, not much is going to stop them. \n\nFor this example I will be using NEO. \n\nI will be making my way through the on-going correction, drawing fib extensions from swing highs and lows detailing the possible targets. I am sure I missed lots of pivot points but hopefully you get the general gist.\n\nThe first pic below is just the most recent swing low before the ATH drawn up to the ATH. You can see that the first target is  the golden zone and it does that perfectly, flawlessly bouncing off the 0.65 line.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.57.42.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcQSPi3ewWe9PJooBU87F9Dx59771pmKtB1ewFmaJZWmC/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.57.42.png)\n\nTo see where the next target is, I drew a fib extension from the 0.65 bounce back up to the ATH. We then see another perfect wave to the golden zone. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.58.26.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdtmA95rQ6k82vpXxEQVW8LjhX6nTpMsGEWHDaGzrZSFE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.58.26.png)\n\nAt first I couldn't see any obvious algo activity, none of the lines were showing obvious target zones. I searched for other sites that support NEO/USDT and Bittrex came up. I tried the same fib again and we can see a perfect 0.786 retracement. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.40.51.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmeBA7at2ghxWU4Ah3g5W8DTfaX7bntkEGTXyc1o5QmSu2/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.40.51.png)\n\nNext we push back up past the recent high and reach the 1.236 target.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.53.01.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmS6qXJq5oyQhw2qTwsErxRb2t7r1r9t1HSXMupvYcL24i/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.53.01.png)\n\nThis is where it gets really interesting. There are now multiple algorithm targets focusing on an area. We see a perfect 0.786 retracement from the ATH and a front run on 1.236, which was drawn from the last two swing points in the previous two graphs. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.56.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUACfPP8obgmw9HzEQKqo1tFgWVbk6WUPsXcMyEU4N9T9/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.56.38.png)\n\nWe then see another confluence of targets below. This marks the point the impulse wave finishes (see the second bearish prediction in the last Neo post or the next graph where I put a count on). From here we have a straight rip down. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 18.52.06.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdTjRFwmt78XgeXareZXvjHg86J6z1mFbvZGdS9rmPvTs/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2018.52.06.png)\n\nThe graph below shows a possible count (this is more so I could name different sections of the graph rather than an actual analysis), I found the two pivot points by just playing around with a few swing points. The first arrow marks a 0.854 retracement drawn from the original swing low up to the X wave. The bounce then only pushes up further until it reaches the resistance of the 0.5 line, this was drawn from taking a fib extension from the ATH down to the first C wave and then back up to the top of the X wave. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.10.38.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbYnngkVmmj9s2e6TjXSMhhLrg3n3srvaiFpq49egA1vc/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.10.38.png)\n\nOkay last graph now, I promise. This is the most recent swing low and there further Neo has corrected. The fib levels were just drawn from the W-X impulse wave.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-05 at 19.11.27.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVvKmdWFS3zTAno9SWxftd5DAGjUkAdfGY2sj1gy2FRJE/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-05%20at%2019.11.27.png)\n\nI hope this post sheds some light on how important it is to learn both Elliot Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels. Then you will have the tools to predict the path of a coin by working out probable algorithm targets. \n\nThanks for reading!",
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      "author": "benharmer",
      "body": "Indeed, looking bullish over the next few weeks but I still expect it to fall further over the coming few months (hoping it will). The more it retraces now the better prepared it will be for the next massive bull run!",
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      "author": "steemitboard",
      "body": "Congratulations @benharmer! You have completed some achievement on Steemit and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :\n\n[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/voted.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@benharmer) Award for the number of upvotes received\n\nClick on any badge to view your own Board of Honor on SteemitBoard.\nFor more information about SteemitBoard, click [here](https://steemit.com/@steemitboard)\n\nIf you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word `STOP`\n\n> Upvote this notification to help all Steemit users. Learn why [here](https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/http-i-cubeupload-com-7ciqeo-png)!",
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      "body": "BTC moving a lot slower than I expected, but price action looking good for the summer!",
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      "body": "Hello,\n\nthis is only going to be a small update post. Bitcoin didn't follow my bearish path I posted in the last blog. I misjudged the Elliot Wave count. As always this is an educational post and should not be taken as financial advice.\n\n1) The last two months\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 15.23.37.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNYP9c4ojxKytPKoXzyUMMHHKjVzgtcg6YP6n2pjjj2TA/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-04%20at%2015.23.37.png)\n\nThe detailed count in the picture above outlines Bitcoin's price over the past two months. I have also changed the background colour to white for this post as I found it was much easier to see all the different counts. \n\nBitcoin reaches a low on 06/02/18 and then impulse out of that with a 5 wave structure (marked with the yellow line), in the last two blogs I couldn't work out which peak was the ending 5th wave for the impulse but I have decided that the second peak is more likely. We then correct with a classic ABC (5 waves down, 3 waves up and then finishing with 5 waves down). \n\nI then then think there was another mini impulse wave out of that low (marked with the green line), another ABC correction follows but with an extremely extended C wave. This is where I mark the correction to be over, however I am still not completely convinced. Normally a retracements stops near a fib level, however this correction finished bang in the middle of 0.854 and 1 (unless I am missing an important fib level in the 0.9 region).\n\n2) Future Path \n\nThis is where it gets a bit confusing, I have two possible counts. The first count is the path outlined in the picture above, we have completed the first wave up and also a very shallow truncated second wave (which doesn't really follow the normal characteristics of a second wave). This means that we are now in the 3rd way up and going to retest the red trend line.\n\nThe second count I have is highlighted below:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 15.29.23.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmd9C8xNLoEXdAhoiKwqQf5jmBBZGkY4AZWTnwMdak5f1f/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-04%20at%2015.29.23.png)\n\nTo me, this looks more realistic. A shallow truncated 4th wave isn't as unusual as it occurring in a 2nd wave. We have a bit longer to go until we finish this first motive wave and after that we will start to correct into the 2nd wave. \n\n3) A spanner in the works \n\nCan you imagine if after all this time we are actually only half way through our Y wave shown below. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 15.41.07.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYGPkWM8YkvM5LadmeS9H9NbQQoVDtwRXvzzRRtTEiUJr/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-04%20at%2015.41.07.png)\n\nThis is definitely still a possibility. It could just react badly off where the upper red trend line and the 0.854 fib level intersect and plummet to new lows. Who knows what is going to happen.",
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      "body": "Hi,\n\nI'm trying a different coin today! Neo, a relatively new to the scene coin blew up this past year (it was roughly $0.30 this time lat year), dubbed as the \"Chinese Ethereum\" I think this project has great potential in the future. As always this post is for educational purposes only and I am not a financial advisor.\n\nIn this blog I will look at both the bullish and bearish view and also past price movements.\n\nBullish view:\n\nThe bullish view relies on the correction being finished, shown in the picture below \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-27 at 20.36.52.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNbJYBXaFiVz7gyx5XKHtcoeHojUbuXZi2Upag31rVGHC/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-27%20at%2020.36.52.png)\n\nWe can see Neo perfectly bounced off the 0.782 retracement of zero and the ATH. This is a very promising sign, the 0.782 retracement has been the favourite for lots of alt coins recently. We have completed a simple ABC correction with a possible extended C wave. If this is the case, we have completed our first wave up and are on an up trend. We need a break of the descending channel to turn bull, if a strong breakout occurs it is most likely on its way up.\n\nIf we lower the time frame to 4 hours we can see that Neo needs to correct a bit to complete the second wave of the impulse wave up.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-27 at 16.56.44.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmY8arLgo9xz6Y2RdNMVbCHJ3kHMdU6wxa8RNn3g5xjWFz/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-27%20at%2016.56.44.png)\n\nSecond waves are normally a deep retracement off the first, a bounce off the golden zone or the 0.786 would be reassuring.  The fib numbers on the left is the retracement from the swing low ($43) to the swing high ($85). The fib numbers on the right is is the extension from the swing high, down to the recent low ($69) and then back up to the highest price Neo has just reached after the recent low ($77). This second wave NEEDS to hold to remain bullish, if it breaks down it will remain bearish. \n\nBearish view:\n\nFor the bearish view, Neo has one more push downwards. I have found two possible graphs that fit in with the bearish trend. The first is a falling wedge \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-27 at 16.45.18.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdpvzEG4jLX44NWThNSoPwS28y9t835dCL5zcpBbiR95K/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-27%20at%2016.45.18.png)\n\nWe can see that it needs to complete the final 'E' wave.\n\nThe other is a double three correction \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-27 at 16.47.47.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWuHUiy362J7YxdLh4Yvx3TmDECPRSBFuL29pgAUmb9cx/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-27%20at%2016.47.47.png)\n\nI'm not sure which path I am most convinced by, both lead downwards with the double three being more likely to go lower. If it does retrace further it is most likely to bounce off of the 0.854 so definitely watch closely. \n\nFinally, I would also like to look back to the August/September period of 2017, the most recent big retracement of Neo:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-27 at 16.54.21.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmX7gmPS2guReapHE5bH5fjmkXcWZ4ZFBy3bwuiew6xAxc/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-27%20at%2016.54.21.png)\n\nLooks familiar right? If history is to repeat itself it should complete one more push downwards.\n\nIf you think Neo has great potential, you should definitely also invest in gas (Neo's utility token), gas' price follows Neo's relatively closely.",
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      "body": "Hi, \n\nI think Bitcoin is following my bearish path I posted in the last blog. The recent surge in price is just a bull trap with a lot of Whales closing their short positions:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-14 at 00.39.19.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPXGMfZk8c4jPF1cGDyqNuLMRDWsL5Vdy2QTvSejT4Crt/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-14%20at%2000.39.19.png)\n\nI mean look at this madness?!\n\nBefore I start I want to clarify that I am in no way a financial advisor and this blog is for educational purposes only. \n\n1 ) Firstly, I am going to try and explain why we are still in a bear trend\n\na. Wave Structure\n\nThere are many different possible scenarios. I have changed my count slightly from my last post. I now see a double three forming after the big yellow impulse X wave. We get an extended flat corrective wave first, with wave B retracing almost 100% of wave A, followed by a long extended C wave. We then get an impulse wave up (marked in green) followed by another 3 wave corrective pattern. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-14 at 18.00.18.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdC3gUdYhiuQx7sjEndXaRMkKGgWH7tTUV1TvTNJYT7Bp/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-14%20at%2018.00.18.png)\n\nWe can see that we are currently in wave B of the second corrective wave. The wave hit the golden pocket and thus broke the resistance line (will talk about the implications of this later on).\n\nb. Stoch RSI\n\nI like to use the Stoch RSI here, it shows a clear trend. BTC is dangerously overbought on the daily chart after the recent surge. Both the blue and the orange lines are hovering around 99, anything above 70 is considered overbought. I have highlighted overbought areas in the past and also marked their subsequent retracement. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-14 at 01.18.05.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdYVoW3egbnPNZ6udfv7MekSxm3Sx8KuT3fuXT3Y7ETzb/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-14%20at%2001.18.05.png)\n\nHowever on the 2HR and shorter charts we can see the Stoch RSI has bottomed so a small final push up might be attempted before carrying on back down.\n\nc. Shorts vs Longs \n\nIt was more due to the fact that people closed their shorts rather than more people went long that the price shot up. The graph below shows how many shorts closed:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-14 at 10.32.02.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXHsMKUwBHXb1PXMAgKpvGbg9dJR5mdqNJM1EgNj5BV8f/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-14%20at%2010.32.02.png)\n\nWhereas look at how little the longs increased by:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-14 at 10.31.42.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaKibTbsvZ77pzcBZGk5wYaKmvCAVUGSo7AT6xbeWR3s3/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-14%20at%2010.31.42.png)\n\nUnfortunately, the people who entered a long were most likely experiencing a bit of FOMO. \n\n d. The first break of the resistance (insert Star Wars reference here)\n\nOkay so earlier I mentioned how BTC had recently pushed up through the resistance line. However a small push through does not mean the reversal of a trend. This has happened before:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-14 at 10.25.09.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQ8Yjz53DSoP6WxMBR5bS1vVV8g8R6ntPALabCm5WYutL/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-14%20at%2010.25.09.png)\n\nWe can see that BTC broke out of the resistance line that we had first drawn, the line perfectly connects three of the highest peaks of the downtrend. However, even though it broke through the line (marked by the blue arrow)  it still didn't take away from the fact that we were in a massive correction, after breaking out it crashed back down again and we had to redraw our line. Shown in the picture below:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-14 at 10.25.31.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWB7J1jLRirg5yMMjCNgrFMPyAUH7iKbDD2oJ38xunMLN/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-14%20at%2010.25.31.png)\n\nThe new arrow points to where we have just broken out. \n\n2) CHALLENGES AHEAD\n\na. Resistance areas\n\n BTC needs to push down past the green line of resistance that has held since mid July last year. We can see the two times BTC has bounced off this line before going off parabolic and crashing back down to the line for its first touch on 06/02/18. It has been hovering around the line for the past week before this big push. \n\n![Screen Shot 2018-04-14 at 10.42.56.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmW43KqZR9qjvUztBcFyGW7iCt8kWqX3EQJk9B2bMW6o66/Screen%20Shot%202018-04-14%20at%2010.42.56.png)\n\nThe two horizontal lines (in blue) mark two price points that have previously supported a bounce. The $5900 mark will be a key region of support and if this is broken BTC will plunge (mainly due to psychological factors - it's the last major stand point for bulls), watch for bounces off both these lines. \n\nHappy trading!",
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      "author": "benharmer",
      "body": "@@ -2988,16 +2988,34 @@\n bearish \n+in the short term \n but what\n",
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      "author": "stoneheart",
      "body": "Very nice, Will be looking forward to your posts. Up-voted: hope you will visit my blog",
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      "body": "Hey there!\n\nThis is my first post on Steemit! I have only just started learning how to trade (about 2-3 months) and before actually investing any money I want to test my knowledge and do some \"dummy\" trades without any money. \n\nThis post is just to create a discussion and to see what the community thinks is going to happen in the short term. I am in no way a financial advisor, I could be completely wrong and if you see anything that disproves my counts please let me know! \n\nI have been studying Bitcoin since the start of the correction and have come up with two possible scenarios that could occur: \n\nThe bearish view:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-03-26 at 16.51.19.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcN9oBQ3AyzWXDUZHRDkUC7L4uyoXTFMRP8r4r5JBTyK5/Screen%20Shot%202018-03-26%20at%2016.51.19.png)\n\nBitcoin corrects further and reaches lower lows. I have come up with this by treating the wave up from 6000 to 11700 as an impulse after a three wave correction. From Elliot Wave Theory another ABC correction should follow (I think?) which creates a double three corrective pattern. We have already completed the A wave down with a nice 5 wave structure and we are currently completing the 3 wave structure up making the B wave. I am thinking the B wave will finish roughly around 9200 as there is major resistance, this would create a double top as shown by the white descending channel. I have then taken a trend based fib extension from the X down to the A and drawn up to where I think the B wave will end. This gives a 1-1 projection to roughly 4700 but this will obviously be a bit higher if the C wave finishes above 9200. This will signal the end of the correction.\n\nThe bullish view:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-03-26 at 17.28.03.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmT9xMgHjSYygSLt6rK7xG1NWXo2cQn8tABQzCBNvVciz8/Screen%20Shot%202018-03-26%20at%2017.28.03.png)\n\nOR\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-03-26 at 17.23.47.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmToN9JEjfG33RD44yC1BEbCCjceNssf7WtiQotaJCP8r3/Screen%20Shot%202018-03-26%20at%2017.23.47.png)\n\nThe second bullish scenario is more detailed, gets rid of the double top created in the first wave and shows a long extended c wave. However, there are a few wave 4s crossing over with the wave 1s in the second scenario which I know is a big no in EWT. Either way, both scenarios treat the low of 6000 as the end of the correction. Seeing as we have completed the correction, we have now finished both wave 1 and 2 of the next wave out of the pivot low with wave 2 being a perfect .786 Retracement of the 1st wave (a very good sign).\n\nLong term view:\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-03-26 at 17.45.35.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSaoHC1dKwsEooFsMKsuJaEyHJup35cmPDagFzMSto5rt/Screen%20Shot%202018-03-26%20at%2017.45.35.png)\n\nNo matter what the low is, wave 3 of the larger picture looks to make new all time highs. With the conservative view being a 1-1 extension (between 21800 and 23200) and the bullish view being a good 1.618 extension (32300 and 33700).\n\nI personally am bearish but what do I know...\n\nThanks for reading!",
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      "title": "Possible Bitcoin Paths"
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