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      "body": "![ава.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWfm8uHiUGh8K2oFfn3nu1fkg3WcjH39yhXMSKXiYEFTH/%D0%B0%D0%B2%D0%B0.png)\n\n\n# Bitcoin started the week with a bullish run, but it has now given back all of those gains.\n\nBitcoin (BTC) was trading around $9,296 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET), slipping 3.5% over the previous 24 hours. \n\nAt 00:00 UTC on Wednesday (8:00 p.m. Tuesday ET), bitcoin was changing hands around $9,624 on spot exchanges such as Coinbase. Price remained steady until 07:00 UTC (3 a.m. ET) when heavy sell volume sent bitcoin to as low as $9,195. Bitcoin’s price is well below its 10-day and 50-day moving averages, which is a bearish signal for market technicians. \n\n\n![1.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmeSks2WwjHwwv1mifdpf4d5b125bkympAnrTcr2RRzAEj/1.jpg)\n\nBearish sentiment is affecting all markets today as investors appear to be de-risking, selling liquid assets for the safety of instruments like cash, said Neil Van Huis, director of institutional trading at liquidity provider Blockfills. “Looks a little risk-offish on all risk assets across the board,” \n\nIndeed, major stock indices are all in the red Wednesday. In Asia, the Nikkei 225 of publicly traded companies ended the day flat, down 0.07%. Concern about increased coronavirus infection rates in Japan led to some selling pressure. In Europe, the FTSE 100 index dropped 3.1% Wednesday. The prospect of U.S. tariffs on U.K., French, Spanish and German goods dragged the index lower. \n\nThe U.S. S&P 500 stock index lost 2.6%. The round of stock selling has been attributed to concerns of the coronavirus pandemic’s resurgence in some states.\n\nJune hasn’t exactly been a winner for bitcoin so far, but it’s not like stocks were hot either.\n\n\n![2.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYGCGM9Wztrv2ni2xkgikpkXFwZYe3p68tsDeGvK9uAHV/2.jpg)\n\n\n\nAs bitcoin dropped Wednesday, traders with long positions on Seychelles-based derivatives exchange BitMEX were forced to liquidate. A spike of over $19 million in total liquidations occurred at 10:00 UTC (6 a.m. ET), exacerbating bitcoin’s price fall. Over the past 24 hours, total liquidations on BitMEX heavily skewed towards the red, with $33 million in sell liquidations versus a mere $406,000 in buy liquidations. \n\nLiquidations on BitMEX are the equivalent of margin calls on conventional exchanges. A “buy liquidation” on a bitcoin contract is when a losing short position is forced to close, requiring purchases of bitcoin. When a “sell liquidation” occurs, those long bitcoin are forced to sell. \n\n\n![3.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYwHrzhjSaUUtmz2dgSHsCUm3qUUM21N5MRMicjJhLScy/3.png)\n\n\n> “It looks like someone was liquidating positions ahead of the Friday, June 26 option expiration – lifting hedges above $10,000-$11,000 as this is where the heavy portion of strikes lie,” \n\nsaid David Lifchitz, managing partner of ExoAlpha, a crypto quantitative trading firm. \n\nIn fact, strikes do favor bitcoin prices over $9,900, according to Skew data, as options traders appear to be making moonshot bets on the world’s oldest cryptocurrency skyrocketing. \n\n\n![5.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNfqu7eevcunzNsBzimwNUr4TrLGpU8t3WpA2nV7J2g4C/5.png)\n\n\nThe promising growth of the crypto options market is giving traders other alternatives than spot, as that market is closing in on $2 billion in open interest.\n\n\n![6.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbbFRS6qT4bPSPyVMiArFkRxxUnaMMxHhcYni5UPYMLKs/6.png)\n\n> Thus, traders can play bitcoin’s volatility through options without having to take on a spot position. “I believe crypto is still somewhat correlated to risk assets and there hasn’t been a ton of overwhelming buy side demand in crypto lately,” \n\nBlockfills’ Van Huis said. \n\n\nUSDC/USDT trading on DEXes\nThe second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, ether (ETH), was down Wednesday, trading around $233 and dipping 4% in 24 hours as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET). \n\nTrading of the U.S. dollar coin-tether (USDC/USDT) pair on Ethereum’s decentralized exchanges, or DEXes, jumped in June, according to data from Dune Analytics. For the week of June 8, USDC/USDT trading volume was a paltry $3.5 million. The next week, June 15, that number climbed to $131 million in volume.\n\n\n![7.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUD8rpjivxwgMaQKJH4MFK8ckwm5WEJkUZd2M2K6nEjYn/7.jpg)\n\nSpeculation on the lender Compound’s token COMP and the arbitrage opportunities surrounding it is the reason for the increase and in USDC/USDT on DEXes, said Peter Chen, a quantitative trader for Hong Kong-based OneBit Quant.\n\n> “I believe the market was driven up previously with the FOMO on COMP and it was over-hyped.” \n\n\n> “However, the market didn’t have enough solid support after the COMP frenzy has dropped,” Chen added. Indeed, this past week’s USDC/USDT volume subsided to $10 million, which suggests traders are looking at DeFi opportunities but speculation may ebb and flow based on token popularity.\n\nOther markets\nDigital assets on CoinDesk’s big board are in the red Wednesday. Notable losers include zcash (ZEC) dropping 7%, nem (XEM) down 5.6% and lisk (LSK) down 5%. All price changes were as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).\n\n\nIn commodities, oil is dipping 5% Wednesday as a barrel of crude was priced at $37.97 at press time. \n\n\n\n![8.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQC4d1r4d6nCUvt3W6UPWtnijRNomp5wRX8VDd26av1UN/8.jpg)\n\nGold is holding flat during a day where most assets are lower, down just 0.10% and trading around $1,765 for the day. \n\n\nU.S. Treasury bonds all slipped Wednesday. Yields, which move in the opposite direction as price, down most on the 10-year, in the red 4.5%.",
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      "body": "![1.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTcKXDem98eUJppUMuETQa5ytRUfdGFxLGynxrB82PUyE/1.jpg)\n\nBitcoin‘s price movement has not been astounding in recent weeks, with the world’s largest cryptocurrency’s price oscillating between $9.5k and $9.7k on the charts. At press time, Bitcoin was priced at $9,656, with a 24-hour trading volume of $19.9 .9 billion.\n\n\n![2.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbUDHfGnUH1ajs5aMHWsfBRxiaWTRRG5paGfGr9NLAVzs/2.jpg)\n\nWith the price action so restricted, Bitcoin’s Realized volatility [RV] may make a move under its Implied Volatility [IV] soon.\n\n\n![3.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaiPST8KvUXwkuvLefC5mkY4u9vVLEkFUN64ki8RcHmxx/3.png)\n\nIdeally, the implied volatility is higher than the realized volatility to compensate the seller for the risks involved. However, in this case, the realized volatility had shot up with the implied volatility due to the huge sell-offs in the month of March. Soon after, the implied volatility started to trend lower since traders did not expect the price of the digital asset to swing any higher in the near future. On the other hand, the realized volatility more or less plateaued.\n\nHowever, on 11 June, as the Bitcoin market plunged by 8.74% within hours, the price of the largest crypto crashed from $9.9k to $9k. This resulted in the realized volatility of Bitcoin dipping from 6.7% to 4.5%, and it has been trending lower ever since. At press time, the implied volatility and realized volatility were at 3.6%, with the realized volatility expected to move further down.\n\nThis downward movement in realized volatility’s charts pointed to consolidation taking place in the market. When the RV slides under the IV, this might just be confirmed.\n\nAs the IV gauges the impact of future movement of the underlying asset, it is an essential metric for traders. When the IV remains higher than the RV, it compensates the users for the risks in the Options market and traders can go long to earn money. The traders may not be able to reap profits when IV remains lower than the average realized volatility. In the present case, however, the consolidation of the Bitcoin market could continue, as was visible in December 2018 and 2019.\n\nIn December 2018, the RV sipped to 3.4%, while the IV remained at 4.9%. This resulted in the price of Bitcoin falling from $5.6k to $3.6k within days, before finally consolidating between $4.2k and $3.3k and later, shooting up. A similar trend was visible in December 2019 when the price first fell and then consolidated between $6.5k and $7k.\n\nWIth BTC Options contracts set to expire on 26 June, the term structure further highlighted a rise in volatility in the BTC market at the beginning of July.\n\n\n![4.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTfihrJ8NBkJNo8K9PY2oJrLDWwRzgJtxPzDXbiDwvLgr/4.png)\n\n\n\nBitcoin‘s price movement has not been astounding in recent weeks, with the world’s largest cryptocurrency’s price oscillating between $9.5k and $9.7k on the charts. At press time, Bitcoin was priced at $9,656, with a 24-hour trading volume of $19.9 .9 billion.\n\n\nSource: Coinstats\n\nWith the price action so restricted, Bitcoin’s Realized volatility [RV] may make a move under its Implied Volatility [IV] soon.\n\n\nSource: Skew\n\nIdeally, the implied volatility is higher than the realized volatility to compensate the seller for the risks involved. However, in this case, the realized volatility had shot up with the implied volatility due to the huge sell-offs in the month of March. Soon after, the implied volatility started to trend lower since traders did not expect the price of the digital asset to swing any higher in the near future. On the other hand, the realized volatility more or less plateaued.\n\nHowever, on 11 June, as the Bitcoin market plunged by 8.74% within hours, the price of the largest crypto crashed from $9.9k to $9k. This resulted in the realized volatility of Bitcoin dipping from 6.7% to 4.5%, and it has been trending lower ever since. At press time, the implied volatility and realized volatility were at 3.6%, with the realized volatility expected to move further down.\n\nThis downward movement in realized volatility’s charts pointed to consolidation taking place in the market. When the RV slides under the IV, this might just be confirmed.\n\nAs the IV gauges the impact of future movement of the underlying asset, it is an essential metric for traders. When the IV remains higher than the RV, it compensates the users for the risks in the Options market and traders can go long to earn money. The traders may not be able to reap profits when IV remains lower than the average realized volatility. In the present case, however, the consolidation of the Bitcoin market could continue, as was visible in December 2018 and 2019.\n\nIn December 2018, the RV sipped to 3.4%, while the IV remained at 4.9%. This resulted in the price of Bitcoin falling from $5.6k to $3.6k within days, before finally consolidating between $4.2k and $3.3k and later, shooting up. A similar trend was visible in December 2019 when the price first fell and then consolidated between $6.5k and $7k.\n\nWIth BTC Options contracts set to expire on 26 June, the term structure further highlighted a rise in volatility in the BTC market at the beginning of July.\n\n\nThis volatile market may last by the end of the year, as per the chart above.",
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      "body": "![file-20190514-60557-38cbgs.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbJuMVT1D2Z4VUbWJ3q6ABdYiFQHosqymgi1ZySS2DriH/file-20190514-60557-38cbgs.jpg)\n\n* Untethered from the machinations of modern-day monetary policymakers, cryptocurrencies have long been lauded for their \"safe haven\" properties.\n\n* The novel coronavirus pandemic presented a unique opportunity to finally test these assumptions.\n\n* The cryptocurrencies - namely Bitcoin and Ethereum - failed miserably.\n\n* Researchers from Dublin have found virtually any portfolio allocations of Bitcoin or Ethereum for any major market index portfolio only increased downside risk (VaR).\n\nThe decade-long bull run investors had enjoyed post-GFC was a fecund spawning ground for cryptocurrencies to thrive and grow. But, one major thesis of cryptocurrency enthusiasts was that, similar to gold, they could act as 'safe havens' - hedges against the movements of major market indices and macroeconomic conditions like inflation. The world flush with cash and inflation basically non-existent, the bear market conditions in which to test such assumptions were largely absent.\n\nHowever, this year, the novel coronavirus pandemic presented an opportunity to finally test these assumptions.\n\nConstraining ourselves to the two largest cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and Ethereum (ETH-USD) - we can find not only did the cryptocurrencies fail to act as a 'safe haven' during this crisis, but as a whole - over the entire period since their inception.\n\n![1.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZyHsLfVcFFrLqtMLD2VALBvU7hTjZrzE777G4upwyCGU/1.png)\n\nAt the height of the pandemic panic, Bitcoin and Ethereum moved in lockstep with the S&P 500 - Ethereum losing over 53% of its value and Bitcoin losing over 47% of its value from the first week of February to the first week of March.\n\n![40994725-1592601834371937.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZwZy1PfLKHPBWHD7PuiVvnPfWbThKUTdJysgwoetxXCd/40994725-1592601834371937.png)\n\nAs markets reeled, Bitcoin and Ethereum reeled right along with them, reaching a near perfect positive correlation with the S&P 500 in March.\n\nAnd even though the cryptocurrencies have come roaring back (as have markets generally) since March - Bitcoin and Ethereum have managed to eke out positive returns YTD, approx. 18% and 64%, respectively - it has not come without great cost.\n\nBoth during the COVID-19 crisis and since data began being recorded on the value of these cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum have displayed massive volatility, not seen in any other asset class.\n\n\n![40994725-15925967822789674.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRuDN7UzYggsuQkNpM1QSZVwd5VNykAigA3Fr5Gbpu3Yx/40994725-15925967822789674.png)\n\nThe average weekly gain/loss for the S&P 500 from June 2016 to June 2020 was about 1.48% or -1.75%; contrast that with Bitcoin which had an average weekly gain/loss of 43.82% or -41.49% or Ethereum which had an average weekly gain/loss of 60.56% or -48.14%.\n\n\n![4.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTR3KVkpgPp6P1vsH2pyM6iu5Cbe9AdXmPEdJKwbttRLC/4.png)\n\n\nIn their article, 'Are cryptocurrencies a safe haven for equity markets? An international perspective from the COVID-19 pandemic,' published in Research in International Business and Finance, Thomas Conlon, Shaen Corbet, and Richard McGee examine the statistics and elucidate a number of key findings about Bitcoin and Ethereum's incredible volatility:\n\n* While Bitcoin and Ethereum have been found to have significantly higher returns than those of major market indices, they exhibit far greater standard deviation. In the period from April 2010 to April 2020, Bitcoin has experienced an annualized standard deviation of 98%; for Ethereum, since August 2015, that's an even more volatile 123% a year.\n* Unlike Bitcoin and the major market indices which display negative skewness, i.e. more extreme negative outliers, Ethereum exhibits positive skewness, a highly unusual property for any asset class.\n* Similarly, over the long term, with the exception of the CSI 300, Ethereum exhibits lower kurtosis relative to the major market indices and Bitcoin, suggesting less extreme outliers.\n\n\n![5.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNkRu6fiDVFhTWSDKJyJyUiVaKVXsXDLFu6FJ9Xwy96xL/5.png)\n\nTheir more significant finding, however, is that, using a modified value-at-risk equation* as the measure of downside risk, virtually no portfolio with allocations of Bitcoin or Ethereum reduced downside risk.\n\n\n![saupload_1-s2.0-S0275531920304438-gr1_lrg_thumb1.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNuzrj9AQrjvsKwZhJPVemVkAJMXHF9XxzKDkZHrFAdHX/saupload_1-s2.0-S0275531920304438-gr1_lrg_thumb1.jpg)\n\nWith the only exception being portfolios containing the CSI 300 index with allocations of up to 16% Bitcoin or up to 14% Ethereum, Bitcoin and Ethereum only served to increase downside risk of the portfolios.\n\n\n![saupload_1-s2.0-S0275531920304438-gr2_lrg_thumb1.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcLijdLSPsdbpPhtT7ujA5rQPq7ny5frsAaEjLP64cZN4/saupload_1-s2.0-S0275531920304438-gr2_lrg_thumb1.jpg)\n\nThese findings finally debunk the long-held notions about cryptocurrencies as 'safe haven' investments; the data gathered from the coronavirus pandemic has been the final nail in the coffin of that theory. On the contrary, they are extremely speculative, prone to massive deviations in value, and no risk-averse investor should be holding them. That being said, for investors with a high degree of risk tolerance, the outsized returns from cryptocurrencies and volatile markets may be an attractive feature.",
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      "title": "As Pandemic Struck, Cryptocurrencies Failed A Key Test"
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      "body": "![3.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmauCiSDfsvoJUcUTrKHXGcyGubpQDh7wFg2feaZ8wiVGd/3.jpg)\n\n* Bitcoin saw a sharp rise overnight that allowed it to firmly surmount the $9,000 region\n* This upwards movement liquidated nearly $20 million in short positions, with buyers now attempting liquidate even more shorts in an attempt to fuel an uptrend\n*The crypto has been rejected within the $9,200 region, however, which could halt its short-term uptrend\n* Analysts are now also noting that heavy resistance just above Bitcoin’s current price level could be enough to fuel an immense downtrend\n\nBitcoin saw a sharp overnight rise that allowed it to venture into the $9,000 region once again. This movement came about after a prolonged period of rangebound trading at its key support level of $8,800.\n\nBuyer’s defense of this level is an overtly bullish sign, as it signals that the cryptocurrency could be well positioned to climb higher in the near-term.\n\nDespite this, its overnight uptrend did halt at $9,250 after buyers liquidated just under $20 million in short positions.\n\nIt now appears that the cryptocurrency could soon see further weakness as analysts note that it is likely to face insurmountable resistance within the $9,300 region.\n\n# BITCOIN RALLIES PAST $9,000 IN MOVEMENT FUELED BY SHORT LIQUIDATIONS \nAt the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading up just under 4% at its current price of $9,150. This marks a slight decline from daily highs of $9,250 that were set at the peak of the movement.\nIt appears that the buyers who triggered this rally were bolstered by the continued defense of $8,800.\n\nThis level has been a significant support region on multiple occasions throughout the past several weeks and months, and it is imperative that buyers continue defending it, as a dip below this level could lead BTC to see tremendous losses.\n\nThis move also appears to have been fueled by a large number of liquidations. Data from Skew reveals that nearly $20 million in short positions were liquidated in the hour following this upswing.\n\n\n![1.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmc33dGjo41xuhHW7WgcvbgwVEWp4haiMZsrxya5t28s4S/1.png)\n\nShort-fueled movements are historically fleeting, which could be a grave sign for the longevity of this newly established uptrend.\n\n# BTC APPROACHES HEAVY RESISTANCE AS ANALYSTS FORESEE A MASSIVE DECLINE \nBitcoin is now rapidly approaching its next key resistance level at $9,360, with the amount of sell orders here potentially being enough to spark a massive selloff.\n\nAs for how far this selloff could lead the cryptocurrency, one analyst is noting that he believes that BTC will continue plunging lower until it reaches the lower-$8,000 region.\n\n\n![2.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYiYtj4iWayb7bb9n889i5JpZALBFJ6c3EEMp4gwYuqPL/2.jpg)\n\nToday’s break above $9,000 is also sure to lead to a resurgence in the number of long positions.\n\nThese positions could provide sellers with fuel to spark a sharp decline once the crypto reaches its near-term resistance.",
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      "title": "BITCOIN’S MOVE PAST $9,000 LEAVES WAKE OF DESTRUCTION; LIQUIDATES $20M IN SHORTS"
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      "body": "![лого.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUx1CtKhAiMbnsqrzdF9Kan7epLnzP5yxj5PJT22XejAK/%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%BE.png)\n\n\n# On May 21, 2020, the infamous Craig Wright, the man who claims to be Satoshi Nakamoto, submitted a list of blocks and bitcoin addresses to the court that stem from the alleged Tulip Trust. However, armchair sleuths and blockchain analysis shows that a few blocks recorded in Wright’s recently filed list have been spent.\n\n# Craig Wright Files a New List of Bitcoin Blocks and Addresses That Allegedly Belong to the Tulip Trust(s)\n\nThe ongoing Kleiman vs. Wright lawsuit is heating up once again, as Craig Wright submitted a list on May 21, that allegedly belongs to the infamous Tulip Trust(s). The Kleiman estate, specifically Ira Kleiman represents the now deceased David Kleiman. Kleiman who was also known as ‘Dave,’ was a security researcher that some believe may have been a member of a pseudonymous group operating under the Satoshi Nakamoto moniker.\n\nAccording to Ira Kleiman, his brother David’s inheritance was manipulated during a multi-year partnership with Australian native Craig Wright. The Tulip Trust is an alleged trust that claims to have 1.1 million BTC from mining bitcoins in the early days. Throughout the two year lawsuit filled with depositions and discovery, the judge asked Wright to produce a list several times. The list submitted on Thursday, is the third list filed during the lawsuit and cryptocurrency detectives are already scrutinizing the addresses and blocks.\n\n\n![1.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVRUYbbBgJs1sHkra782iV2FF4SBi9UqZe65rWYUeu5YZ/1.png)\n\n\n> The list filed on May 21, 2020 is extensive and people have already been scrutinizing the list for errors. This list has a few blocks that have been spent between 2017 and 2019. Blocks 57,585 – 63,790 – 67,690 were spent between July 8, 2019 and September 2, 2019. According to a Reddit post published on Friday, there are three lists called the CW list, the DK list, the Shadder’s list, and the recently submitted CSW filed list which was produced on May 21, 2020.\n\n# The Three Lists Contain Spent Blocks and ‘None of the Lists Contain Any Blocks That Are Well-Known to Have Been Mined and Spent by Satoshi Nakamoto’\n\n“All three lists have recently spent blocks in them, when Wright testified that the keys are inaccessible,” explains a Reddit post written on Friday, which studies the list in great detail. The Redditor notes that after the first list (CW list) and another grouping of addresses called the ‘Shadders list,’ the judge gave Wright one more chance to give the court a better list.\n\nThis led to the ‘bonded courier’ theory and allegedly the courier showed up and provided Wright with the necessary information. The Redditor also notes there is a list called the ‘DK list’ which belongs to the plaintiffs. “None of the four lists (Shadder’s List, CW list, DK list, CSW list) contain any blocks that are well-known to have been mined and spent by Satoshi, including block 9,” the armchair sleuth wrote. The individual further stated:\n\n> Again, as the CW list is a forgery, and the [recent] CSW filed list is obviously derived from it, the CSW filed List is also a forgery. To bring this all back to the early block that was spent yesterday, it was included in the Shadder’s List. At this point, we don’t know whether it was in any of the other three lists. However, it’s not particularly important, since the Shadders list, CW list, and CSW filed list already have recently spent blocks.\n\nEssentially, the Redditor and other crypto proponents following the case, believe that Craig Wright’s latest address and block submission is another fake. The first Reddit post called “A primer on Craig Wright’s claimed blocks, Tulip Trust(s), and list of addresses” finds three definitive faults with the three lists submitted to the Florida court. “The Shadder’s List – a bug-ridden list made in 2019 meant to simply narrow down the blocks that could potentially belong to Wright,” the post stresses.\n\n“CW List – a list produced by the ‘Trust” that is an obvious forgery derived from the Shadders List, [and] the CSW filed List – the list submitted by Wright to the court [on May 21, 2020], which is supposed to be an accurate list of his actual mined bitcoin. This is also an obvious forgery based on the CW List (and the Shadder’s List). It was supposedly made around 2010,” the post concludes.\n\nWhat do you think about the recent list Craig Wright submitted to the court on Thursday? Let us know in the comments below.",
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      "author": "wishmir",
      "body": "![Bitcoin-with-Chart-770x515.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmds2DcmTXe4oK1p8DrmNoAtQuLWVbHDRrpbSKNv3YBApz/Bitcoin-with-Chart-770x515.jpg)\n\n\n# Top analyst believes that Bitcoin has upward potential capable of propelling BTC to $17,200.\n\nIn brief:\n\n* Bitcoin is once again attempting to break the crucial psychological price of $10,000.\n* Top Bitcoin analyst sees the possibility of BTC breaking this level and others on its way to $17,200. \n* However, BTC has to first prove itself by breaking several resistances. \n\nAnother week is upon us and Bitcoin is once again attempting to gather fresh momentum to break the crucial psychological price of $10,000. This area is the same price zone the King of Crypto attempted to claim on the 8th of May before this year’s Bitcoin halving event.\n\nAfter the halving, BTC fell hard to $8,100 and began another slow climb to $9,950 where its upward movement was rejected a second time. At the time of writing this, BTC is once again attempting another climb to this level and is valued at $9,800 (Binance rate).\n\n# Top BTC Analyst Suggests Bitcoin Could Retest $17,200\n\nIn his recent analysis of Bitcoin, MagicPoopCannon explained a scenario where Bitcoin could retest its 2018 peak of $17,200. In the highly informative post on TradingView.com, Magic explained that Bitcoin has been in a descending broadening wedge since mid-2019. If the wedge breaks out to the upside, we could see a scenario where Bitcoin could overcome several resistance levels all the way to $17,200. He further explained the situation as follows.\n\n> Either way, all we can do is wait to see if [the broadening wedge] actually produces an upside breakout.\nTo find the price target for a descending broadening wedge, traders will generally take a measurement of the widest part of the formation, and add it to the breakout point.\nI’ve done that with the dashed vertical pink trendlines. You can see that it actually projects a price target around the 17200 level, which is right near the high of January 2018.\nSo, if BTC can print a solid breakout here, and get above 10600, I think there is a very good chance that it will take out the 14000 level, and rally all the way up to the projected target of 17200.\n\n![Broadening-Wedge-BTC-May-17th.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYyoeaiLmYyXPYqbbpaN2CpAiJsv1D91QTud5hYRHAdSx/Broadening-Wedge-BTC-May-17th.jpg)\n\n# Several Resistances Ahead for Bitcoin.\n\nMagic, however, stressed the importance of understanding the intense resistance levels Bitcoin is facing. One such resistance is the black trend line seen in the above screenshot of his analysis. The trendline which has its genesis in December of 2017, could provide the biggest hurdle for BTC.\n\nHe explained:\n> Here on the daily BTC chart, we can see that it’s currently contending with massive resistance. That resistance has been generated by a convergence of a two-and-a-half-year-old falling trendline (in black) and the 38.2% retracement level of the 2018 bear market (in red).",
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      "body": "Dear @wishmir\n\nSolid read. It's clear that we're sharing similar interests towards blockchain technology and crypto.\n\nPerhaps you would like to check out this contest / challenge done by my good friend hardaeborla: [\"What is Bitcoin Halving ?\"](https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@hardaeborla/learn-and-earn-challenge-1).\n\nEnjoy your weekend,\nYours, Piotr",
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      "author": "wishmir",
      "body": "![лого.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmf2AzZEoDeA2sDvCoyX9SknqkxUnsWHQ6fd4CtJyL5jXM/%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%BE.jpg)\n\nAfter a brief pause, it seems that Bitcoin bulls are back at it again trying to break above the $10,000 psychological barrier. There is a lot of resistance around this area and Bitcoin has been rejected 2 times from this area in the last 8 months.\n\nEvery rejection from this level has led to a crash in the next weeks, however, it seems that this time bulls are stronger and they are enjoying a lot more trading volume. One thing is certain, Bitcoin halving wasn’t as apocalyptic as some analysts believed.\n\nIn fact, it seems to be helping Bitcoin even in the short-term. The daily uptrend is still in play even though bears were able to break below the last low. Bears saw no real continuation and the bulls clearly bought the dip.\n\nBTC is currently trading above both daily EMAs and the MACD is looking for another bull cross within the next 2 days if everything goes to plan. In the last 3 days, Bitcoin has seen increasing bull volume which is a great indicator that the bulls have a lot of strength and that perhaps they will be able to break above $10,000 and remain there.\n\n# What Would Be Worst Case Scenario?\n\nAt the end of the day even if the bulls seem really strong now, the possibility of another rejection at $10,000 and a double top is real. There are still a lot of longs on BitMEX and Bitfinex which could lead to another long squeeze if things turn ugly. The bulls are hoping to at least see a daily equilibrium pattern with a lower high compared to $10,067 and a higher low from $8,117. \n\n\n![1.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQHSc5UT7G6MvsjtRg4Y9Gzh3637g99b59CWEckAzcVVt/1.png)\n\nIf not, breaking below this low would confirm a daily downtrend and we would be looking for a higher low on the weekly chart which has been heavily dominated by the bulls in the last 8 weeks. \n\nThe last low in the weekly chart is all the way down at $3,782, so really anything above this level constitutes a higher low. It’s also important to note that weekly EMAs have crossed bullish this week and the MACD has been bullish for the past 3 weeks. \n\nThings are looking extremely good for Bitcoin in the long-term even though the weekly chart is currently in a downtrend.",
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      "memo": "Dear @wishmir, I hope you don't mind this little memo. I would like to introduce you to new \"LEARN AND EARN\" initiative which I came up together with @hardaeborla. Check out my latest post and hopefully you will enjoy our new idea. Obviously I would appreciate every resteem and your feedback. I read all comments. Yours, Piotr // LINK: https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@crypto.piotr/learn-and-earn-our-project-hope-new-awesome-initiative",
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      "author": "wishmir",
      "body": "![Bitcoin-1.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPwLbknE8jSyy8KBWHfkEkEFB3sMd3giq1NybxqebQdz7/Bitcoin-1.jpg)\n\n* In the past, halvings have preceded surging Bitcoin prices by 12-18 months. Will this time around be any different?\n\nAfter weeks, months, or perhaps even years of anticipation, the Bitcoin halving is over. As of approximately 3:21 p.m EST, the Bitcoin mining reward was cut in half, falling from 12.5 BTC for every block of transaction data that was added to the network to 6.25 BTC; the number of BTC produced each day fell from 1800 to 900.\n\nDespite the massive news cycle that surrounded the halving event, the price of Bitcoin has managed to stay relatively stable over the last 24 hours.\n\nHowever, with all of the narrative buzz surrounding whether or not Bitcoin’s price will increase as a result of the halving, many are asking: what comes next?\n\n# BTC’s immediately pre- and post-halving price movements are par for the course.\n\nFor most of last week, BTC began a steady ascent from $9,000 to around $9,600. On Sunday, the price of Bitcoin suddenly dropped from roughly $9,640 to around $8,650, where it has more or less remained until press time; around the time that the halving occured, there was a brief push just about the $9,000 mark.\n\nJose Llisterri, co-founder and chief product officer at cryptocurrency derivatives exchange Interdax, explained the price movements this way:\n> “the price of bitcoin and the halving was a case of ‘buy the rumour, sell the news’, with the price increasing in anticipation of the event as optimism among investors grew,” he said. \n\n“However, just prior to the halving, the price has fallen as the block subsidy is halved.”\n\n\nInterdax co-founder and Chief Product Officer Jose Llisterri.\nThe “rumor” that Llisterri was referring too is likely the narrative that Bitcoin’s price will increase following the halving. After the two halvings that have taken place in the past, Bitcoin’s price has seen a sizable increase in the 12-18 months that follow; analysts who support this theory say that this happens because of increased BTC scarcity.\n\n# BTC’s post-halving price boost could take months (or years) to arrive–and when it comes, it might not stay.\n\nHowever, if the post-halving price boost does eventually come, it will likely be at least a year before it begins. Therefore, the “news” that Llisterri is referring to is likely the halving in actuality: a significant event, certainly, but one with consequences that won’t be fully realized for months, even years.\n\nIt’s also important to note that historically speaking, the price increases that Bitcoin experiences in the time after halvings are not linear: in the past, the price of Bitcoin spikes somewhere between 12 and 18 months after halvings occur; after that point, the price of BTC steadily falls for months before eventually bottoming out and, finally, recovering.\n\n\n![1.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQ2h6iYb46rACA4qjeTpaL1Jz5YG6NbfGifTcgeXKiGhf/1.png)\n\nThe key, however, seems to be in where the bottom is–sure, the post-halving spikes in the price of 2017 are impressive (late 2017, anyone?), but they certainly don’t last; some could even argue that because of the damage they do to BTC’s reputation (and the unwitting investors that they inevitably burn), that these spikes do more harm than good.\n\nBut after the spikes are over–after Bitcoin has spent months falling, and falling, and falling–the post-halving price floor has been much higher than the pre-halving price ceiling.\n\nIn the past, this cycle seems to have taken somewhere between two and three years: the halving occurs, and then 12-18 months later, there is a massive spike in the price. After the spike passes, there’s a price decline that lasts another 12-18 months; then, in the remaining months before the next halving, an upward trend begins to form. The process then seems to repeat itself.\n\n# When will the post-halving price peak come?\nFor example, the first Bitcoin halving, which occurred in November of 2012, resulted in an increase from about $11 to a peak of nearly $1,150, but it took 12 months–the second figure wasn’t reached until late November of 2013. Even then, the high was short-lived; by mid-December, the price had crashed down to nearly $500.\n\n\n![2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYfCguUBxxcweeT41GWLvkX4CY6nPcPG3AHhi4oaAuJpr/2.png)\n\n\nIn fact, the price continued to fall throughout 2014 and into 2015; it bottomed out around $200 in January of 2015 (14 months later), and stayed between $200-$300 until late October of that year.\n\nIt wasn’t until early November of 2015 (24 months after the $1,150 peak, and 36 months after the halving) that Bitcoin was able to break past the $300 point; by the end of 2015, BTC had climbed to $430.\n\n\n![3.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbjazhncQ2NCoN9y1AZ9STbpQrdshqoxczGjcKrWTY7qL/3.png)\n\nThe second halving came in July of 2016. When the halving took place, Bitcoin was hovering around $660; by the end of the year (5 months later), Bitcoin had reached $957 (a price that still wasn’t as high as the post-halving spike in 2013).\n\n\n![4.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVPx7ChbTesXn4x7ngCtefrwh2S8L8BSF6hJ8JmHSW2Eu/4.png)\n\nThis time around, it took about 17 months for the post-halving price peak to form: from July of 2016 to July of 2017, the price of Bitcoin had nearly quadrupled from roughly $660 to $2,550. Then, in mid-December of 2017, the price of Bitcoin peaked around $20,000.\n\nHowever, just as in the previous halving, the peak was short-lived: by December 31st, the price of Bitcoin was $13,240.\n\n\n![5.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTt7FKe5wC2sqqCHhnt2peRcCQ1QsbYuq8ujDsXqdDMSv/5.png)\n\n\nAnd then, still in accordance with what happened during the first halving, the price began a long, slow decline: six months later, in June of 2018, the price of Bitcoin had fallen to $7,650; it finally bottomed out 12 months later, in December of 2018, around $3,200.\n\n(Still, it’s important to note that in spite of this massive decline, the price of Bitcoin still showed a significant increase from its pre- to post-halving price points: as low as $3,200 is compared to $20,000, it’s still nearly 400% higher than Bitcoin’s pre-2016-halving price of $660.)\n\nBitcoin remained in the $3000-$4000 range until April of 2019 (16 months after the peak), when the price began to recover–it briefly climbed all the way to nearly $13,000 in early July of 2019. Since then, Bitcoin has largely stayed within the $7,500-$10,500 price range, with a brief dip below $5,000 in the wake of the coronavirus’s economic fallout.\n\n\n![6.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTR97psmovABCoX1p69r3vDaMYCC7LpkJWHa2YKCxYVSL/6.png)\n\n\n# How high will Bitcoin’s next price peak be?\n\nOf course, there are myriad factors that affect the price of Bitcoin post-halving: scarcity is certainly one of them, but so too are the number of users on the network, the rate of BTC adoption in institutional settings, economic factors that exist outside of the cryptosphere (ie the coronavirus and the government stimulus that followed).\n\nHowever, if history were to repeat itself unfettered, we’re likely to see a post-halving price peak somewhere between 18-24 months from yesterday (assuming that it takes progressively longer for the price peak to form each time a halving occurs.)\n\nAdditionally, we could expect a proportionately smaller post-halving price peak.\n\nThis is because the previous halvings had progressively smaller price peaks (in relation to the price at the time of the halving); from November 2012 (BTC at $11) to November 2013 (BTC at $1,1050), there was a 9400% price increase. From July 2016 (BTC at $660) to December 2017 (BTC at $20,000), there was a 2900% increase.\n\nIn other words, the percentage relationship between the Bitcoin price at the time of previous halvings compared to the post-halving Bitcoin price peak may be getting smaller: the growth rate from the 2016 halving price to the 2017 post-halving price peak was proportionally 3.24 times smaller than the growth rate from the 2012 halving price to the 2013 price peak.\n\nTherefore, if this pattern continues uninterrupted by outside factors, the growth rate from the price peak could continue to get progressively smaller: if the same percentage decrease occurs between the 2020 halving price and the post-halving price peak, the next peak would be a 740% increase from the current price, or roughly $64,000.\n\n# Where will the new floor be?\nBut enough about price peaks–what of price floors?\n\nThere are a number of analysts who believe that BTC price floors are ultimately set by miners who refuse to sell their BTC at a loss.\n\nJeremy Britton, the chief financial officer at Boston Trading Co., explained to Finance Magnates earlier this year that before yesterday’s halving, it cost “around $3000 just in electricity to mine a single bitcoin (notwithstanding the cost of hardware, and internet access),” Britton explained. “This is why, when BTC ‘crashed’ earlier in 2019, the price did not go below $3000; miners did not wish to sell for a loss.”\n\nNow, because miners’ profits have been cut in half, we can assume that it costs roughly $6000 in electricity to mine a single Bitcoin. Therefore, if miners continue to refuse to sell their BTC at a loss, the new price floor should theoretically be at least $6000.\n\nAdd the increased scarcity of Bitcoin into the market that the halving will allegedly bring about, and the price floor could go even hire: Interdax’s Jose Llisterri told Finance Magnates that “in the long term, the reduction of the daily issuance of bitcoin from 1,800 to 900 BTC will gradually influence the market and should in theory push prices higher in the long term.”\n\nOther factors are also at play, particularly in a post-corona era: “the contrast between the traditional monetary system and the fixed supply schedule of bitcoin could also boost demand for the cryptocurrency,” Llisterri said.\n> “As inflation within the Bitcoin system is now 1.80% for the next four years, which is lower than the mandates of most central banks and almost lower than gold’s rate of inflation, this sets the stage for bitcoin to make its mark.”\n\n\n\n* What do you think about the future of Bitcoin now that the halving has taken place? Let us know in the comments below.",
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      "body": "![213.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbzba1y2ewusbX7Xm6QrE4a6EibmDvxWPCs31fDN1sGWk/213.jpg)\n\n\n* Bitcoin has entered what appears to be consolidation phase as it struggles to firmly surmount the $9,000 region.\n* The cryptocurrency is flashing some hints of bullishness as it attempts to gain a foothold within this region, although bulls need to garner greater buying pressure to make this happen.\n* One factor that could bolster Bitcoin and send it screaming back up towards its all-time highs is an extremely bullish technical pattern that just emerged.\n\nBitcoin has seen some turbulence throughout the past few days. After reeling to lows of $8,100, buyers have since “bought the dip” and helped propel the crypto back towards $9,000.\n\nIt is important to note that there does appear to be some heavy resistance at this price region, and its rebound may start slowing down as it struggles to firmly surmount the selling pressure seen here.\n\nOne factor that could help propel the benchmark cryptocurrency significantly higher in the days and weeks ahead is a recently remerged technical pattern.\n\nThe last time this pattern flashed, Bitcoin saw a 160% rally. But whether history will repeat itself this time around remains to be seen.\n\n# BITCOIN POSTS FIRM REBOUND FROM RECENT LOWS AS TECHNICAL STRENGTH MOUNTS\n\nAt the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading up marginally at its current price of $8,850. This is around the level at which the crypto has been trading throughout the past several days.\n\nIt does mark a roughly 10% rebound from lows of just over $8,000, although the selling pressure at $9,000 has slowed its momentum and has even put it at risk of seeing further downside.\n\nThe crypto has been able to form what appears to be an inverse head and shoulders pattern.\n\nThis is a bullish technical sign that tends to mark mid-term bottoms, and its break above this formations neckline today seems to confirm it as valid – as seen in the below chart offered by an analyst on Twitter.\n\n\n![1.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQnykvygMZ2YiEiobXqWEKjcVLvwYNMvKDhkgftYnvxCe/1.jpg)\n\n# THIS TECHNICAL PATTERN SIGNALS BTC COULD BE ON THE CUSP OF A MASSIVE UPSWING \n\nThe inverse head and shoulders pattern isn’t the only thing that could help boost Bitcoin in the days and weeks ahead.\n\nOne popular cryptocurrency analyst explained in a recent tweet that the last time BTC posted seven consecutive doji patterns on its weekly chart it subsequently saw a parabolic 160% rally.\n\nBecause the crypto has formed this many doji candles throughout the past seven weeks, it is possible that it could be on the cusp of making a massive upside movement – should history repeat itself.\n\n> “Look what happened the last time we had 7 consecutive green weekly candles. We had a “doji” candle, followed by a 160% increase. By the looks of it, we’re in for a ride.”\n\n\n![2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPj77tTLf5SWpyY6H1MGnUUY9ttYi4WTGuLexRafz8U2v/2.png)",
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      "body": "![1.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQEWmhJmp5jZwfoQZNVAHK5Z36D6J2z6bP4dkeNgjhtXh/1.jpg)\n\n* The emergence of a futures and options market has created a new ecosystem for bitcoin markets, which faces its first supply cut since 2016.\n\n* The programmed supply reduction could potentially bring a supply shock and large price implications.\n\n* Bitcoin markets are bound to change between each successive halving, and the market has matured a great deal since 2016.\n\n* Whatever happens, the 2020 event will define bitcoin markets for the foreseeable future.\n\nAt A Glance\n\n> The emergence of a futures and options market has created a new ecosystem for bitcoin markets, which faces its first supply cut since 2016.\nThe programmed supply reduction could potentially bring a supply shock and large price implications.\n\nOnce every four years something happens to bitcoin that slashes the supply growth rate in half.\n\nBitcoin halving, as it's called, is set to take place for the third time on or around May 12. In the past, this event has coincided with a strong run-up in the bitcoin price and may lead to pre- and post-halving volatility, with price implications extending into 2020 and beyond.\n\nThe 2020 halving event has several additional factors than previous such events including the availability of CME Bitcoin futures and options, which investors and miners can use to hedge or express views on the bitcoin price. This changes the narrative around the halving for three key reasons: it enables price risks to be hedged, demand risk for bitcoin can be managed and speculators can look to the indicators of options pricing.\n\n# Miner Incentives\n\nNew units of bitcoin are created through mining. Mining is the process of confirming transactions, combining them into blocks and adding them to the blockchain. As a reward, and to keep miners incentivized, every time a block is completed, the miner responsible for creating that block receives a reward in the form of new bitcoin. Miners compete with each other to earn newly-issued tokens known as the block reward.\n\nThe bitcoin protocol was programmed with several rules; a cap on the total supply of bitcoin of 21 million and a planned reduction in the block rewards miners receive. Currently a new block of bitcoin transactions is solved by miners and added to the blockchain approximately every 10 minutes. Halvings happen once every four years - or more precisely, at every 210,000 blocks of transactions. The next one will happen at block 630,000; on or around May 12, 2020.\n\nWith this program of diminishing returns, miners reap fewer bitcoins with each halving. Initially, in 2009, winning miners were rewarded with 50 bitcoin per block. That halved in November 2012 to 25, and again in July 2016 to 12.5 bitcoin per block. The third halving will see the network incentives or block rewards fall to 6.25 bitcoin.\n\nIn notional terms, given the bitcoin price of approximately $8,750 as of May 1, 2020, miners receive ~$110,000K for their 12.5 BTC. After the next halving, assuming the same price level, they will instead earn ~$55,000 giving them less of an incentive to mine blocks.\n\n# What Can We Expect for the Price of Bitcoin?\nIn normal markets, lower supply with steady demand usually leads to higher prices. With bitcoin supply reduced, halving has the potential to push the price up, theoretically to double the pre-halving level. This hasn't happened in the past due to the preemptive run-up to the halving event; however, it has usually preceded some of bitcoin's largest runs.\n\nIn previous years, the price of bitcoin started rallying 12 months ahead of the reward halving and continued for some time after.\n\n\n![2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWKNXbeq1p34Hs4UFnQgzGFKE1eagHXGwMwGnrVMSq5b1/2.png)\n\nA year before the first halving, bitcoin was trading around $2.50. By the time of the halving event, it had hit $12.60. Over the course of the following year, the price rose to $1,007 before falling away.\n\nA similar pattern played out in July 2016 when bitcoin was gaining greater mainstream recognition and coincided with the first boom in initial coin offerings. One year prior to the event, bitcoin was trading at $270. Twelve months after, it was at $2,500.\n\n# Will 2020 Be Different?\n\nSo far, bitcoin's third halving looks different to prior events, and there doesn't appear to have been such a sustained price run-up. Given the reward change has been known since bitcoin's inception in 2009, and having already seen two such events, investors may have already incorporated the supply adjustment into their models and taken positions accordingly. The impact of COVID-19 has resulted in lower volumes as some participants focused on larger adjacent non-crypto markets and some mining operations being impacted by these difficult market conditions.\n\nPreviously, miners typically sold their bitcoin for fiat currency as they earned it to pay for operational costs. Mining is now dominated by professional mining companies seeking a profit. With lower rewards they may decide to hold onto their bitcoin until a new price forms that compensates them for their expenses. The halving could force a shakeup of the mining landscape.\n\n# The Evolution of a Derivatives Market\n\nFor the first time there is a robust derivatives market for bitcoin in both futures and options. In previous halvings, market participants could only express their views on bitcoin through the spot market. This time around, firms looking to hedge or speculate have the ability to trade a derivate rather than the underlying and so they can express both positive and negative views on bitcoin's price action.\n\nAt the time of the last halving, miners could either hold on to their block rewards or they could sell them in the spot market to pay for operating costs. This constant selling meant that price appreciation was measured. After a halving event, as miners would have fewer bitcoins to sell, there would be less selling pressure, meaning the price would go up. Now, with a liquid derivatives market, it is possible to hedge and lock in future bitcoin prices in order to cover expenses without selling bitcoin.\n\nIf this is the case, then selling pressure from miners is less likely to act as a drag on bitcoin prices going forward. A robust options market could also allow for additional income to be earned by miners or enhance long bitcoin positions which would further cushion the impact of the upcoming halving. With the emergence of a healthy options market, investors can take price signals and consensus estimates about market expectations.\n\n# The Final Countdown\n\nThere are multiple reasons why market participants would want a futures contract when the block reward will occur to help manage potential price volatility. The halving does not change the specifications of the CME contract. Bitcoin futures contracts continue to represent 5 bitcoin. Contracts are listed for six consecutive months, as well as two December contracts, meaning that participants can manage their risk from May/June 2020 out to December 2021.\n\nGrowing institutional participation saw open interest rise to $407 million - a record 8,706 contracts on May 6. Year to date average daily volumes in CME's BTC futures are 8,399 contracts, up 43% compared to the same period in 2019. Large Open Interest Holders (a LOIH is any entity that holds at least 25 BTC contracts) achieved a record of 62 holders on April 14, indicating a resurgence in institutions that want exposure to the cryptocurrency.\n\n\n![3.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUgoM6q25NQfpYt69jhYF9NVvU6L8favD2T48HDLAUcXL/3.jpg)\n\nBitcoin markets are bound to change between each successive halving, and the market has matured a great deal since 2016. Whatever happens, the 2020 event will define bitcoin markets for the foreseeable future.",
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      "body": "![лого.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmS7JwFwmU9Bw1ptfGv2cgxQCZoTrkJSokm3TFa4xVNu92/%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%BE.png)\n\n\nThe Bitcoin (BTC) price plunged by 19 percent from $10,000 to $8,100 across major exchanges. The sell-off was so intense that Coinbase went down temporarily amid the drop. But, key data shows institutional investors are patiently investing in the cryptocurrency market.\n\nGrayscale, which operates the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, saw its assets under management (AUM) surge to $3.7 billion in the last several days.\n\n\n![1.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRVyy2mtuhYuszvqAsesnMqwm62TBwEhUtishnpaKZFBK/1.png)\n\nThe noticeable increase in CME open interest and the surging demand for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust indicate institutions are not fazed by the recent trend of BTC.\n\n# Data shows crypto industry followed the lead of Paul Tudor Jones\n\nThe crypto industry has been captivated by macro investing legend Paul Tudor Jones offering an endorsement of Bitcoin as an investment tool in his latest market outlook – with many investors feeling vindicated by his comments.\n\nHis remarks may simply be the tip of the iceberg. Data suggests that he may just be one major investor who moved to gain exposure to the benchmark cryptocurrency throughout the past several months.\n\nThis comes as prominent figures within the crypto industry note that the public nature of Jones’ BTC endorsement is likely to spark a frenzy of institutionally driven BTC buying.\n\nBitcoin’s intense rally from its 2020 lows of $3,800 to recent highs of $10,100 has come about against a backdrop of immense global turbulence.\n\nIts strength in the face of this uncertainty has bolstered its value as a so-called “hard asset” and has also drawn the eye of large investors keen on gaining exposure to high-performing assets.\n\nThroughout the past two months, open interest on the CME for Bitcoin futures has been exploding, hitting fresh all-time highs of nearly $2 billion this past week, according to data from Skew.\n\n\n![2.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRHFpWUFZxkrdrRkC5P45H8SBsyKb1sBpEjWJCFVDPrUQ/2.jpg)\n\nThis has come about as trading volumes remain stagnant on the exchange, signaling that investors are less interested in attempting to trade Bitcoin, but are rather moving to gain mid or long-term exposure to the benchmark digital asset.\n\n# Could funds buy into Bitcoin?\n\nIt does appear that Jones’ comments regarding Bitcoin may mark the start of an institutional buying frenzy.\n\n\nBitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes explained that he anticipates “beta fund managers” to begin cooking up “copypasta” – meaning that they will follow suit and also add the crypto to their portfolios.\n\n> “Paul Tudor Jones just removed career risk from investing in Bitcoin. Expect a lot of beta fund managers to begin cooking some copy pasta.”\n\nFollowing a near 160 percent increase in price, a sharp Bitcoin pullback was widely expected. Historical data also showed that after a block reward halving, the price of BTC tends to drop.\n\nWith two days left until the activation of the halving, large traders seemingly front ran the market by initiating a steep sell-off, especially on BitMEX and Binance Futures.\n\n\n![3.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSrYftjeee55w5FYmgUK4ebJxtyzV2ebYzW7HxVV1k6JD/3.png)\n\nBitcoin, currently ranked #1 by market cap, is down 11.21% over the past 24 hours. BTC has a market cap of $158.95B with a 24 hour volume of $57.59B\n\n\n![4.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcezBv2dj9RhwbuJ9eazuc8jhruwP7hNzM9auhrJBZaKJ/4.png)\n\nBitcoin is down 11.21% over the past 24 hours.",
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      "body": "![0db8758-bitcoin-690.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmf4h7sNHRGEZYC2JMrCtMJMinCBrd1XCZ5AgM41JoaPjM/0db8758-bitcoin-690.jpg)\n\n\n* Bitcoin’s recent rally to $10,000 has renewed investor’s interest in the market, also drawing the attention of prominent traditional analysts and investors\n* One prominent commodity strategist at Bloomberg explained that he believes BTC and gold are the two assets most-likely appreciate throughout 2020\n* This comes as the cryptocurrency’s technical outlook begins growing incredibly bright\n\nBitcoin has seen some incredibly bullish price action in the time following its rebound from mid-March lows of $3,800.\n\nIt’s subsequent climb to $10,000 has revitalized crypto’s investors while also drawing the attention of traditional investors who are keen on discovering assets that can see high performance against a backdrop of global turbulence.\n\nEarlier this past week, a spotlight was directed onto the benchmark cryptocurrency after legendary macro investor Paul Tudor Jones gave a venerable mention to BTC in a recent market outlook note.\n\nNow, a commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence is claiming that Bitcoin and gold are the two assets that are most likely to appreciate throughout the year ahead.\n\n# THE BULL-CASE FOR BITCOIN GROWS STRONG FOLLOWING “KEY TECHNICAL BREAK”\n\nThis isn’t the first time Bitcoin has rallied towards $10,000 in the time following its 2018 crash, although each rise past this level has been shortly followed by immense downside movements.\n\nIt’s important to note that this movement has been different from those seen in year’s past, however, as it has been primarily driven by spot buying pressure rather than margin.\n\nThis trend is elucidated while looking towards its dwindling open interest – a sign that leveraged traders have largely been sidelined throughout the course of this recent rally.\n\nRaoul Pal – a global macro investor and the founder of the Real Vision Group – explained in a tweet thread following the crypto’s push past $10,000 that the chances of Bitcoin seeing vastly higher prices has grown significantly as a result of this movement.\n\n> “Whatever plays out, after a KEY technical break like today, the probability of vastly higher prices has risen dramatically. And this is confirmed by the stock to flow models by @100trillionUSD and the breakout has happened almost exactly at The Halvening,” he noted.\n\nThe stock-to-flow model he references suggests BTC will be trading at roughly $100,000 by the end of the year.\n\n# BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE STRATEGIST EXPECTING BTC TO SEE UPSIDE\n\nMike McGlone – senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence – explained in a tweet yesterday that he believes both Bitcoin and gold are the two assets most likely to appreciate during the year ahead.\n\n> “Bitcoin and gold sit atop our list of assets most likely to appreciate in 2020, on the back of unparalleled central-bank easing. Both have had significant shakeouts. Bitcoin is in an extended period of trading within a range and will eventually break out higher, in our view.”\n\n\n![McGlone.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmR4uvDL8tTCMTEjWa8XyBYk5ViPq24HpQCzoEXPRkMF2S/McGlone.jpg)",
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      "body": "This post has been rewarded by the Steem Community Curation Project. #communitycuration06\n\nps.\nYou seem to be posting mostly on Steem blockchain.\n\nConsider joining Project.hope community. They like to share publications related to technology, blockchain, AI and economy, marketing etc.\n\nLink: https://steemit.com/trending/hive-175254\"",
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      "author": "crypto.piotr",
      "body": "Dear @wishmir\n\nI wonder what are your personal expectation towards price of BTC in near future? \n\nMany people out there seem to expect price of BTC to increase after upcoming Halving. And I'm trying to understand if those are not mostly ... just lovely wishes.\n\nAfter all, we should ask ourselfs a question: how Halving would impact demand and supply? \n\nBased on my knowledge, supply will decrease. That's the fact. so there may be less bitcoins dumped on the market by miners. Which will surely reduce selling pressure.\n\nHowever, it doesn't mean that demand will increase. Am I right? So at the end of the day BTC price has higher chance to continue upward movement, but I wouldn't expect FIREWORKS.\n\nps.\nAlso I'm wondering, if halving isn't already priced-in. In the past not many people seemed to know about halving, so for many it came as a huge news. News which could bring some hype and switch on FOMO.\n\nCurrently many seem to be expecting similar market behaviours. And that's a major difference between now and past. Wouldn't you agree? Just curious what do you think.\n\nYours, Piotr",
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      "author": "project.hope",
      "body": "Hi @wishmir\n\nI've seen some of your content and I would like to share small recommendation with you.\n\nConsider joining Project.hope community. They like to share publications related to technology, blockchain, AI and economy, marketing etc.\n\nLink: https://steemit.com/trending/hive-175254\nOur discord server: https://discord.gg/uWMJTaW\n\nUpvote on the way,\nCheers",
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