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      "body": "Nice and realistic analysis.  Nice to see some reasonable interpretation of the facts without an abundance of emotion and blame game for who or what is responsible for the decline.  Time will prove Bitcoin to have true value.",
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      "body": "![Jan4hr.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdMJJCCcM8uTETMdjd1HNzEma2SctMMSKWFimVBQB7EKi/Jan4hr.png)\n\n\n\n\n\t\nSince December 17, 2017 Bitcoin has been in consolidation.  If Dec 17th sounds familiar that's because that is the day the CME launched it's Bitcoin Futures trading market.  That low on Jan 17th  corresponds with the first futures expiring.  Seems Wall Street wanted to let the Bitcoin world know (or think) they are in control.  So where do we go from here?\n\n![Longterm.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNSZEWc7jVG2wMcQCZqvKSxQwJKNzzKLajPSuMgvTmPHg/Longterm.png)\n\nIf you read my last report, I pointed out that Bitcoin maybe moving out of the green trendlines and forming new trendlines noted in red.  I have made adjustments to the red trendlines as I said I would when more data came in.  I'm still long term bullish on the price, but how long until we get some relief from this correction?\n\n\nIf you look, there was a similar correction in Jun and July at the same time that Bitcoin was shifting out of the yellow trendlines and into the green trendlines.  Let's see what happened in July 2017.\n\n![July4hr.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXK9kzhFRNaufz9CpJrdFfxeW2VumpvRHK1TiZQSJfGmT/July4hr.png)\n\nOn June 11th, Bitcoin formed a top after breaking the yellow trendlines.  It then formed a symmetric triangle and had a bearish break to the downside forming a low July 16th before rallying to all time new highs over 6.5x it's $3000 high over the next 6 months.  Take a look at the point marked with the arrow and let's go back to where we are today.\n\n![JanAnalysis.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTWmAdHxfbsaw4EYyxK74d4orAMFoV5F76oYwS1jXMxBd/JanAnalysis.png)\n\nScroll back and forth to ensure that you are in fact seeing a different image.  The similarities to the Jun/July correction is uncanny.  \n\t\nSimilarities\n\nDec's top is 6 months and 1 week from June's top.  June/July's correction lasted 1 month and 5 days, today marks 1 month and 5 days from Dec's top.  On both times the price rallied to touch the bottom trendline of the symmetric triangle and was rejected. (Marked by the tip of the arrow in both cases).  \n\nDifferences \n\nJune/July's correction bounced off the top of the “old” trendline whereas Dec/Jan's correction is below the “old” trendline.  June/July's break was near the tip of the triangle whereas Dec/Jan's break was near the middle of the triangle.\n\nHistory never repeats exactly, but it usually rhymes.  Although the patterns aren't exact, they are very close.  If the patterns do continue to align with each other, then we expect Bitcoin's price to hit around $7500 sometime within the next week before rallying to resistance of around $14,000 in mid-February before breaking out to a new 6 month run to probably past $100K.  \n\nPersonally\n\nI've held even though I was suspicious at the top but didn't have the courage to to sell on my intuition.  Now even though I suspect a further short-term decline, I'm still holding because I believe reward is much more heavily weighted than risk at this point.  Good luck trading!",
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      "body": "@@ -1763,15 +1763,1096 @@\n p;%3C/h1%3E%0A\n+%3Ch2%3E%3Cstrong%3E Wild Speculation %3C/strong%3E%3C/h2%3E%0A%3Ch2%3EIf the current trend holds, Bitcoin will reach the psychologically significant price of $50,000 by February 10th and then the next significant price of $64,000 when Bitcoin hits a $1 trillion market cap.  Since Bitcoin routinely has 30+%25 pullbacks we can attempt to profit off of these two price points. %3Cbr%3E%0A  %3Cstrong%3E%09%3C/strong%3E%3C/h2%3E%0A%3Ch2%3E%3Cstrong%3EScenario 1%3C/strong%3E %09%3C/h2%3E%0A%3Cul%3E%0A  %3Cli%3EBitcoin blasts past $50,000 on it's first attempt and continues until %09nearing $64,000 at which point the price drops to between $45,000 to %09$50,000.  $45,000 represents a 30%25 drop from $64,000. %3C/li%3E%0A  %3Cbr%3E%0A%3C/ul%3E%0A  %3Ch2%3E%3Cstrong%3EScenario 2%3C/strong%3E%3C/h2%3E %09%0A%3Cul%3E%0A%3Cli%3EThe more likely and also more bullish scenario would be that Bitcoin %09would approach $50,000 but is unable to breach or maintain the price, it %09will then consolidate for the next push.  The price will then rise 30%25 or %09greater than $50,000 ($72,000+) until a pullback where Bitcoin will %09back test $50,000 to form the new support. %3C/li%3E%0A%3C/ul%3E%0A\n %3C/html%3E\n",
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      "body": "<html>\n<h1>&nbsp;<strong>2016</strong>&nbsp;</h1>\n<h1><img src=\"https://www.tradingview.com/x/WBczxAFc/\" width=\"1191\" height=\"751\"/><br>\n&nbsp;From the middle of September 2015 until May 2017, Bitcoin entered a long term trend that saw 689% gains in 88 weeks. &nbsp;This trend ended on May 8th when the price broke the upper resistance trend channel at $1615.<br>\n&nbsp;<br>\n&nbsp;<br>\n&nbsp;<br>\n&nbsp;<strong>2017</strong></h1>\n<h1><img src=\"https://www.tradingview.com/x/ChfEO4Fa/\" width=\"1191\" height=\"751\"/><br>\n&nbsp;From late May till late June Bitcoin's explosive jump out of the 2016 trend channel. &nbsp;The price then traced out the new upper resistance until the unsustainable enthusiasm allowed the back testing of the old trend channel and forming the new support for the 2017 trend channel on July 15th. &nbsp;From then November 26th Bitcoin gained 414% in 133 days.<br>\n&nbsp;&nbsp;<br>\n&nbsp;<br>\n<strong>&nbsp;2018 prediction</strong></h1>\n<h1><img src=\"https://www.tradingview.com/x/l65ULZ9j/\" width=\"1191\" height=\"702\"/><strong><br>\n</strong>&nbsp;Assuming Bitcoin repeats the same behavior as it did in the beginning of 2017, we see that a potential upper line of resistance was formed on December 7th when Bitcoin failed to breach $20,000. &nbsp;If a new trend was to establish, it would have to bounce off the old upper line of the 2017 channel to create a new support. &nbsp;As luck would have it Bitcoin bounced right off the upper channel on December 22nd with a low $10,400. &nbsp;The price of Bitcoin at time of writing is $15,385, if Bitcoin can maintain this price consolidating sideways, it has until January 3rd to confirm the new trend channel and allow for more precise analysis for 2018 predictions. &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br>\n&nbsp;</h1>\n</html>",
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