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      "body": "Congratulations @araz! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@araz/birthday2.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 2 years!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@araz) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=araz)_</sub>\n\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "body": "it seems so, unfortunately.",
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      "body": "You read it correctly. There is no typo. I do mean World War IV\nActually, World War III will be sharp and very fast. It can, best, be described as a click of 'Reset' button of life on earth.\nWait for the new life to load on Earth.\n\nThree people appear to have survived after WWIII. Two men, and one lady. Namely Trump, Putin, and Teresa.\nThey happen to be on the coast of the Atlantic ocean. A few months later, Teresa became pregnant. Both Trump and Putin claim the baby is his. World War IV starts. Trump and Putin, each using his previously collected stones, is throwing at the other. Then, each tries to escape the hit by hiding in the ruins of the forest. Sometimes they try to deviate the stone thrown at them with another stone aimed at it. They called that Anti-missile weapons.\n\n![ww04.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRaRPVSydrvqfdzyGpFadnKu9za3NgQF3RfXN35UUZ6Fa/ww04.png)\nTrump (shouting): The baby is American. Mission accomplished!.\nPutin (laughing): Come on Old man! It can't be yours. It is Russian. We, Russians, are now a majority. We shall rule the new world.\nTeresa (crying): Stop it, both of you. Wasn't World War III enough for you. The baby is neither American nor Russian.\nTrump (astonished): Jesus!  What do you mean?  The baby has no father?\nPutin: Nonsense. I am the father.\nJinping (comes out of his hidden cave)\nTeresa (pointing at him): No! It is Chinese.\n\n第三次世界大战后，似乎有三个人幸存下来。两个男人和一个女人。特朗普，普京和特蕾莎。\n他们碰巧在大西洋的海岸上。几个月后，特蕾莎怀孕了。特朗普和普陀称他为宝贝。第四次世界大战开始。特朗普和普京，每个人都抛出他曾经扔进另一个石头的石头。然后每个人都试图隐藏在森林的废墟中以避免攻击。有时他们试图在石头上扔另一块石头。他们称这种反导弹武器。\n\n\n特朗普（大喊）：这个孩子是美国人。任务完成！ 。\n普京（笑）：男人，快点！它不能是你的。这是俄罗斯。我们的俄罗斯现在是多数。我们将统治新的世界。\nTeresa（哭泣）：停下来，你们两个。第三次世界大战对你来说还不够。宝贝既不是美国也不是俄罗斯\n特朗普（惊讶）：耶稣！你什么意思？没有父亲的婴儿？\n普京：废话。我是一位父亲。\n金平（来自他隐藏的洞穴）\n特蕾莎（指着他）：不！宝宝是中国人。这是他的！",
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      "body": "The trigger for WWI was the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria by Yugoslav nationalist Gavrilo Princip in Sarajevo on 28 June 1914. Germany presented an ultimatum to Russia to demobilize, and when this was refused, declared war on Russia on 1 August.\n\nThe immediate cause of World War 2 was the German invasion of Poland on 1 September.\n![Hitler3.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmemXHdL4s6Y831x8RQ4RYABGBrifE1r2WpMhGWmvEabbm/Hitler3.jpg)\n\nI think that mankind is now mature enough to not take such a step anymore and destroy life on earth. But, to be more conservative, I would say, if it is to occur, it will not be in the same manner as World War I and World War II.\n\nIt may involve evacuation of small poor parts of the world from inhabitants, to enable the relocation of others, and the use of resources in evacuated land, in favor of the invaders. \n\nWars may occur, when the balance of power is perceived, by each party, to be in disequilibrium, in his favor. \n\n\nNow, who will participate in such war, on top? Let aside small allies.\nWe can name Russia, Iran, China, USA, North Korea and Israel as candidates for a confrontation. Probably each of them believes he is capable of achieving victory and imposing superiority.\n\n\n![trump-putin_abkrg9.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmU5ZEHcLZsRBUBiwBn6ePRJX5fnaPmCacJFcwuiYq85KC/trump-putin_abkrg9.png)\n\nNext question is, where could the war start?\n\nAll candidates are mature enough not to be part of a Global war with hot spots close to their borders. They will try to create hot spots close to the other party borders. Regional wars to be ignited, that involve the participation of the other party, and aim at exhausting his abilities, before assumed confrontation. Same game previously played by the USA with Saddam Hussein, by supporting his war with Iran, followed by encouraging his invasion of Kuwait. The game ended up by exhausting his military power and facilitated the invasion of the USA to Iraq.\n\n\nWhat is going on in Syria, is far from the borders of all candidates except one which is Israel.\n\nIsrael, EU, and the USA stand on one side, and I shall refer to as Western Camp. On the other side could be Russia, Iran, China, and North Korea, referred to as Eastern Camp. Clearly, the Eastern Camp has a more in terms of geographical, and demographical power as well as competent economic and military capabilities.\n\nThe current allies will not remain so, for long. It is just a temporary relation, within a long strategy. However, for now, the balance of power seems to be in equilibrium. Attempts are made, though, to shake it violently.\n\nInterference by Nato in Lybia, by Saudi in Yemen, by the USA in Iraq, as well as the introduction of ISIS in the Middle East, suggests that the Western Camp has been dragged, strategically, to artificial hot spots, in order to exhaust their military abilities. Also, it seems, that exhausting Saudi Arabia financial abilities, by its paying the bills.\n\nIsrael has built up an economic empire, with huge financial influence all over the world. Its secret intelligence agency (MOSSAD) has enlisted local VIP's to serve its agenda, including Presidents, kings, military officers and secret intelligence people in other countries. Isn' that enough to ensure their safe existence that was threatened in the past by Hitler, and not too far by some Arab Countries (became neutralized later), and lately by Iran.? In addition to the claim of seeking security, there is, also, their ambition of extension beyond borders, and ruling the world as explicit Super Power, in accordance with their religious beliefs.\n\nSaudi Arabia, being Sunni, find themselves accused of supporting terrorism since ISIS and Taliban are also Sunni. (However, Taliban was - most likely supported by CIA - introduced in the scene to fight USSR, and It is highly suspected now that ISIS is supported by Russia and Iran, and was introduced in the scene to exhaust the Western Camp)\n\nHow could it be that ISIS, the Sunni, is owned by Iran? The simple answer, is, to remove any suspicion of being supported by Iran. ISIS was born to die, but before death, it has a mission to exhaust the Western Powers.\n\n\n![thinkingmonkey1.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPX7qHnd2Xuvh2Nu6tWXERSbnALcomWdN1GYqfw97RXPh/thinkingmonkey1.png)\n\nDespite its maturity, mankind is still under the threat of a crazy order, that might be given by a crazy politician, to ignite ww3.\n\nWhat - do you think - could be the trigger for WW3?<ol>\n<li> Assassination of Trump.</li>\n<li> Assassination of Putin.</li>\n<li> Assassination of Assad.</li>\n<li>Assassination of Bin Salman.</li>\n<li>Assassination of Khamenei.</li>\n<li> Assassination of Kim Jong-un</li>\n<li>Invasion of Qatar by Saudi Arabia.</li>\n<li>Invasion of Syria by Israel, in response to Iranian threats.</li>\n<li>Collapse of Ethiopian Dam, with accusations pointing to Egypt.</li>\n<li>Others</li></ol>\nPlease Put your answer in the comments",
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      "body": "Although the Elliott Wave Principle is mainly used by finance traders to analyze market cycles and predict market trends by identifying matches in investment psychology. I will try below to adopt it to the cascading movements of the Egyptian revolution, and try to predict the next move, and its probable features.\n<center>![elliott-wave-chart.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmddJ11BDZi2aQG2tAnDukG5hMvetgaAjceKDWVASHgwTg/elliott-wave-chart.png)</center><br>\n\nSince 'Revolution', plus or minus, is a driven sentiment, I thoght it would be worthwhile to try to adopt Eliot Waves sequence, and principles.\n\nLet us start!\n\nLooking back into recent Egyptian history (2000 - date), we may spot important movements in the political scene. If we put these movements in historical sequence, we get:  \"Kefaya movement\" , \"April 6,  movement\", \"Jan 25 movement\", and \"June 30 movement\".\n \nWe will consider all movements, regardless of, which of them is said to have been supported by the people real emotions, and which was kind of  \"pump and dump\" by whales.\n\n1 - \"Kefaya movement\" first emerged in 2004, and gained some popularity among politicians. It was aimed at stepping Mubarak down from authority, and stopping his plan of power handover to his son, Gamal.\n\n2 - \"April 6  movement\" started 2008, and was mainly addressing economical issues, prices, inflation, wages etc.\n\n3 - \"Jan 25 movement\" started by addressing \"Police misconduct\", and then elevated to the Request of Mubarak stepping down.\n\n4 - \"June 30 movement\" was mainly addressing the stepping down of Muslem Brotherhood from authority.\n\n\nNote that none of the movements, started by addressing \"Stepping down of the military Ruling of the the Country\", as a specific goal. This goal arouse after the stepping down of Mubarak, as subwave of Jan. 25 movement.\n\nWhile, the First and Fourth movements, are said to have achieved their goals. The Second and Third movements can be considered as have been forced backward by the retracement wave.\n\nWe can consider movements 1, 2, and 3 as subwaves of the higher degree level Wave 1 of Eliot waves.\n\nAlso, we may consider \"June 30 movement\" as Wave 2, with retracement equal to the gains of movements 2 and 3.\nThe retracement has been lengthy in time, because Wave 1, went almost vertically at some point. (In just 18 days, Mubarak, was forced to step down.)\n\nThe beginning of the \"June 30 Movement\" can be seen as the date of \"dismissal of Tantawi and Annan\", and can be seen as continuing, so far, in the opposite direction of wave 1.\n\nPer Eliot principles, Wave 2 can not go below the start of wave 1. (This is for sure, Mubarak will not be back in Authority at his current age of 90. Eliot principle does apply here)\n\nTill now, we can see no signs of the start of Wave 3. The current status can be descriped as \"Accumulation Phase\". It is seen as sideway movement of the retracement wave. \n\nTo validate Eliot Wave application in this case, Wave 3 shall not be the shortest (valuewise, but not necessarily timewise).  Meaning, it will provide gains above those of Wave 1. The breakout may occur at anytime.\n \nWe should, also, be aware of the fact that Wave 3 will be followed by a Wave 4, in the direction of Wave 2, and opposite in direction to Wave 1 and Wave 3.\nAwareness can reduce panic. \n\nWave 5, the last one, seems to be far away.\n\n\n<center>![EW-EG-REV.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmU9jRMaLQoyGSC4a8tzkGxBSQ4Mb7yhyaWXVTgVTbhC3k/EW-EG-REV.png)</center>\n\n<strong>Disclaimer</strong>: This is just an attempt to apply Eliot Waves Principle to political issues. It was not intended by Ralph Nelson Elliott, who discovered the underlying social principles and developed the analytical tools, to be used as such. Therefore, it is to be taken, with caution, as the writer's own openion.",
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      "parent_permlink": "politics",
      "permlink": "eliot-waves-and-the-egyption-revolution",
      "title": "Eliot Waves and The Egyption Revolution"
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      "author": "araz",
      "body": "Mr. President, <br>I feel sorry to tell you that, but the Blockchain has decided, with 200 confirmations - till now -  that \"You should be fired!\".\n\nThis is probably last time you shall be addressed with this title.<br> From now on, you are just a citizen. Or to be more accurate: For the blockchain, you are just an IP. (Do you know what is your IP? You can find out <a href=\"https://whatismyipaddress.com/\">here</a>)<br>\nNo! Don' cry man! You said you don't. Now what?\n![tenor.gif](https://steemitimages.com/DQmfA6gHjFptQ9kmvv6dH625prdw84cwhQALvmchj8CR4At/tenor.gif)\n\nI assure you, this has nothing to do with with James Comey.<br> It has no link, whatsoever, with <a href=\"\">The Impeach-O-Meter</a> that only shows 60% chance of impeachment as of Today 4/17/2018. <br>\nIt is just the Blockchain that took the decision.<br>\n It started by a proposal from someone somewhere, and it was confirmed by millions. As you probably heard, each million votes constitue a block. Segwit3 you know?  <br>\nThere is nothing really you can do about it, once a decision has been taken by the blockchain. It is recorded by millions of P.C.'s around the globe. No cheating can be made. It is an unbiased global reflection of the trend.<br> As you know \"The Trend is Your Friend\". If you move against the Trend you loose.\nTell you what? You can set up a Masternode and try again in 4 years. <br>\n<strong>Disclaimer</strong>: This is just a virtual message, written for fun, and should not be taken seriously.<br> Laugh at your own risk.",
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      "permlink": "mr-president-you-are-fired",
      "title": "Mr. President, You are fired!"
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