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      "body": "Congratulations @lucashm! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@lucashm/birthday2.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 2 years!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@lucashm) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=lucashm)_</sub>\n\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/the-steem-community-has-lost-an-epic-member-farewell-woflhart\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQWnM36SWCPGn98nY83M1ArgweMz5fnovQEp2E4FiDdug/Wolfhart_header.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/the-steem-community-has-lost-an-epic-member-farewell-woflhart\">The Steem community has lost an epic member! Farewell @woflhart!</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemtoolbar/@steemitboard/steemtoolbar-update-display-bug-fixed\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/http://i.cubeupload.com/7CiQEO.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemtoolbar/@steemitboard/steemtoolbar-update-display-bug-fixed\">SteemitBoard - Witness Update</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/do-not-miss-the-coming-rocky-mountain-steem-meetup-and-get-a-new-community-badge\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUphCGZFWgt6bJ1XTtunV7esnwy6bxnGqcLcHAV3NEqnQ/meetup-rocky-mountain.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/do-not-miss-the-coming-rocky-mountain-steem-meetup-and-get-a-new-community-badge\">Do not miss the coming Rocky Mountain Steem Meetup and get a new community badge!</a></td></tr></table>\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "body": "Hello Steemit community! \n\nLike many other traders, I know of chart patterns and recognize them when I see them. There are a lot of them, but here is a list of the ones I believe every trader should know. \n\nhttps://steemitimages.com/DQmca9k7sjy6yXvhTxWyto59zLm5pfLxo45nvquVZCwm1PM/image.png\n\nReversal Patterns\n\n\tDouble Top Reversal\n\tDouble Bottom Reversal\n\tHead and Shoulders Top\n\tHead and Shoulders Bottom\n\tFalling Wedge\n\tRising Wedge\n\tRounding Bottom\n\tTriple Top Reversal\n\tTriple Bottom Reversal\n\tBump and Run Reversal\n\nContinuation Patterns\n\n\tFlag, Pennant\n\tSymmetrical Triangle\n\tAscending Triangle\n\tDescending Triangle\n\tRectangle\n\tPrice Channel\n\tMeasured Move - Bullish\n\tMeasured Move - Bearish\n\tCup with Handle\n\nTIP: My desktop background is a matrix of candlestick patterns with their names and an example of how they look. Also, I believe that all traders should have printed copies of patterns hung around their desk in an organized fashion from bearish signal to bullish signal, from trend continuation to trend reversal. Like this, by glancing up, you can instantly recognize if the pattern you are seeing is accurate or not. Also, by having them available for the viewing at all times, the patterns will slowly get ingrained in your head to the point that you no longer require having them hung there. \n\nThe reason that I am making this post though, is to discuss a thought of mine. \n\n**Do popular bullish/bearish patterns become self-fulfilling prophecies?** I think so.\n\nI believe that the patterns which are most known to traders such as cup-and-handle (bullish) or head-and-shoulders (bearish) are so well known to the average trader that they become self-fulfilling prophecies. \n\nSince so many people recognize these patterns, they act according to how those patterns should behave. By doing so, they create momentum into the direction they believe will happen and therefore the predicted price change does actually occur. \n\nhttps://steemitimages.com/DQmVbmLH3Q8bh1c9SWcoX6Z4duV3pgBEYeUJwfHkdHhvB9q/image.png\n\nFor example, if I see a cup-and-handle, I will long the coin, not short it. Therefore, if many people do this, the price increases as the pattern suggests it should. However, let us assume a cup-and-handle formation was a bearish signal and not a bullish signal. Would that mean that trader’s perspective on the formation would make them want to short it since it would be considered a great position to open a short from? I think it would. This means the cup-and-handle would become a sell signal that people would act upon and it would therefore drive the price down, becoming again a self-fulfilling prophecy. \n\nSo, if there was no list of patterns with their meanings, would they eventually receive the meaning they were originally given? I think so, but who knows!?\n\nI would be interested in hearing people’s thoughts on this. \n\nAlso, I believe this phenomenon is truer for cryptocurrencies than for stock markets since the vast majority of people are traders and not long term investors. \n\nYours truly,\nLucas Hohl-Marchetta.",
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      "body": "Hello Steemit community! \n\nLike many other traders, I know of chart patterns and recognize them when I see them. There are a lot of them, but here is a list of the ones I believe every trader should know. \n\nhttps://steemitimages.com/DQmca9k7sjy6yXvhTxWyto59zLm5pfLxo45nvquVZCwm1PM/image.png\n\nReversal Patterns\n\n\tDouble Top Reversal\n\tDouble Bottom Reversal\n\tHead and Shoulders Top\n\tHead and Shoulders Bottom\n\tFalling Wedge\n\tRising Wedge\n\tRounding Bottom\n\tTriple Top Reversal\n\tTriple Bottom Reversal\n\tBump and Run Reversal\n\nContinuation Patterns\n\n\tFlag, Pennant\n\tSymmetrical Triangle\n\tAscending Triangle\n\tDescending Triangle\n\tRectangle\n\tPrice Channel\n\tMeasured Move - Bullish\n\tMeasured Move - Bearish\n\tCup with Handle\n\nTIP: My desktop background is a matrix of candlestick patterns with their names and an example of how they look. Also, I believe that all traders should have printed copies of patterns hung around their desk in an organized fashion from bearish signal to bullish signal, from trend continuation to trend reversal. Like this, by glancing up, you can instantly recognize if the pattern you are seeing is accurate or not. Also, by having them available for the viewing at all times, the patterns will slowly get ingrained in your head to the point that you no longer require having them hung there. \n\nThe reason that I am making this post though, is to discuss a thought of mine. \n\n**Do popular bullish/bearish patterns become self-fulfilling prophecies?** I think so.\n\nI believe that the patterns which are most known to traders such as cup-and-handle (bullish) or head-and-shoulders (bearish) are so well known to the average trader that they become self-fulfilling prophecies. \n\nSince so many people recognize these patterns, they act according to how those patterns should behave. By doing so, they create momentum into the direction they believe will happen and therefore the predicted price change does actually occur. \n\nhttps://steemitimages.com/DQmVbmLH3Q8bh1c9SWcoX6Z4duV3pgBEYeUJwfHkdHhvB9q/image.png\n\nFor example, if I see a cup-and-handle, I will long the coin, not short it. Therefore, if many people do this, the price increases as the pattern suggests it should. However, let us assume a cup-and-handle formation was a bearish signal and not a bullish signal. Would that mean that trader’s perspective on the formation would make them want to short it since it would be considered a great position to open a short from? I think it would. This means the cup-and-handle would become a sell signal that people would act upon and it would therefore drive the price down, becoming again a self-fulfilling prophecy. \n\nSo, if there was no list of patterns with their meanings, would they eventually receive the meaning they were originally given? I think so, but who knows!?\n\nI would be interested in hearing people’s thoughts on this. \n\nAlso, I believe this phenomenon is truer for cryptocurrencies than for stock markets since the vast majority of people are traders and not long term investors. \n\nYours truly,\nLucas Hohl-Marchetta.",
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      "body": "Interesting i upvote and follow you :)",
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      "author": "lucashm",
      "body": "Hello Steemit community,\n\nI keep on seeing videos and reading articles on the web that keep on ranting about how trading & investing in cryptocurrencies is risky.\n\nhttps://steemitimages.com/DQmSPmiNq7FboamhA4Nr4AuKYtBURqx8HiFJoQngmLVSnGc/image.png\n\nIn today's post I will be explaining the difference between the words risky and risk and why knowing the difference is so important.\n\nSomething that is *risky* has an unknown and unpredictable outcome. The outcome of a trade, investment, or activity could be considered risky if you are not making your decision based on any criteria. I would agree that purchasing a random cryptocurrency without having done any analysis, without having an entrance & exit strategy, and without having a time frame in mind **is** risky. Buying anything at an all time high because you keep on seeing it go higher and higher is risky. People call this FOMO (fear of missing out). You want to purchase something because you hear how so many people have made great profits. That is risky. If you enter a trade at an all time high without setting a stop loss (stop loss: a % loss at which you call it quits and sell your position in the red; a very important thing to do), you are making a risky decision.\n\nOn the other hand, if you enter a position at an all time high, but have a game plan, there is risk involved but the trade is no longer considered risky. You have a defined situation. You create your own defined rules for the trade. \n\n1. The first and most important part is the definition of your risk-reward ratio for the trade. Lets say, you set a 1:3 ratio. This means you sell, for example, at 10% loss or sell at a 30% profit, regardless of anything. You wait until either of the scenarios occurs and then act accordingly. By doing so, you can find out what type of analysis is proving to get you more winners and what type is getting you more losers. Like this, you can acknowledge, document and modify your analysis to favor the method which is granting you more winning trades. \n\n2. You have done your analysis and believe it is more likely for the trend to continue than it is for the trend to be broken and have the coin turn around in value. It is okay to buy a coin at an all time high if it just broke an all time high. If the coin has been breaking all time highs for hours or even days, the likelihood of the trend to continue is much lower than if it just began.\n\n3.  A time frame or another criteria such as defined limits on indicators are also important. If I notice a coin is oversold or overbought I am open to changing my first rule to create a new defined rule to which I will stick. For example, I am willing to exit a trade early if the *Relative Strength Index* and the *Stoch RSI* agree with one another that a coin is extremely overbought. By understanding this, I can tell that a local high has been achieved and it is time for a new local low to be generated. Then, I wait until the indicators tell me it's time to re-enter the trade and I set new defined rules such as 21% profit or 7% loss from the new entrance. \n\nhttps://steemitimages.com/DQmbk8L3HrhBg3r7fkRJ4TCsDnquF3HJRLWjrGtBYASqVBQ/image.png\n\nTrading and investing is a perfect example of capitalism. You can start any trade whenever you want and end it whenever you want. You can buy at whatever price people offer and you can sell at whatever price people are demanding. You can long (predict the price will go up) or short (predict the price will go down) a coin at any time. By having such extreme freedoms you can place yourself in a risky position. But, if you generate rules for yourself and for your trades you can turn risky into risk. \n\n***Risk is manageable and risky is not.***\n\nWhen/if you trade, make rules for yourself and stick to them. By doing so, you can learn what is working for you and what is not. You can then learn from your trading log and find out which indicators and which patterns are acting as you predict and which are not. By doing so, you can stop trading the patterns and indicators that are harming your portfolio and add to the patterns and & indicators which are benefiting it. \n\n***Risk is calculated & risky is leaving the outcome to chance***\n\n\nI hope this post was able to change people's minds on the idea that trading is risky. \n\n**Trading is only risky if you don't have a plan!**\n\nYours truly,\nLucas Hohl-Marchetta.",
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      "title": "Risk vs. Risky: Why knowing the difference is CRUCIAL for investing/trading"
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