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      "author": "cloudpalomar",
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      "author": "matthew-analysis",
      "body": "# <center>Bitcoin</center>\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdq4zaBo9rE6TqX3c8qipwCS8eb9jyRc3Y45ZjreBocq1)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 4h)\n\nBitcoin couldn't hold above the $8684 support/ resistance, instead reversing to drop through the $8239 support. Volume on the second leg down was a bit lower than the first, and we're seeing strong signs of bullish divergence waiting to be confirmed with a bounce.\n\nDepending on your risk tolerance, it may be wise to wait for a second break above $8684 before taking on any positions. If you wish to take on a trade here, make sure to keep a tight stop loss and size positions appropriately.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Ethereum</center>\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVkSYy7bQvjqiMCgDRQ6qnxmx5G45V7W3j8pD3Bx57cHy)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 2h)\n\nETHBTC has held around highs nicely since my last post on the 14th, looking increasingly like a secondary bullish consolidation. I recommend buying into any positions closer to the 0.08276 support to reduce risk, but this could provide a good level for the next leg of the bull run to push up from.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Bitcoin Cash</center>\n![Bittrex:BCCBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUw6Lg2yDP3viLtrP5Ffe3BkPFetibt2LrU4Z5GnNHQDH)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 2h)\n\nBitcoin Cash ended up breaking down from its ascending channel before breaking the 0.1545 support that it bounced from on the 12th. It also pushed to new lows on both the RSI and MACD, showing no sign of weakness to the bearish trend. I recommend holding off on longs until we've found a strong support along with some signs of bullish divergence.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Litecoin</center>\n![Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPZ7fXStGWsQN2iqjDLepFJfjrR8FrBCxXpoWNxH3eRkM)\n(Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h)\n\nLitecoin remains around the 0.01670 and 0.01659 levels after bouncing from the 0.01636 support. We haven't seen a retest of the 0.01714 resistance yet, which is the main level to watch here. I'm looking for a sustained break of 0.01714 before I'd be willing to take any bullish positions. However, I wouldn't consider Litecoin particularly bearish at the moment either - we're in an awkward state of indecision.\nIts best to avoid taking any positions until the market has given a clearer indication of direction.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Monero</center>\n![Poloniex:XMRBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYJGooADXaAdU3jTfo4F38FUXvbXxhDco6ZZ5czGDBdv3)\n(Poloniex:XMRBTC 2h)\n\nMonero is in a similar situation to Litecoin, holding near lows without any clear signals of the market direction. As with LTCBTC, its best to hold off until we've got a better view on where the market could go.\n<br><br>\n\n\n### Disclaimer\nI will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but **I can make no promises about my accuracy.**\n**All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas** and **do not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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      "author": "matthew-analysis",
      "body": "@@ -683,101 +683,327 @@\n tmex\n-, with no public announcement about them at the time, nor any since (as of time of writing). \n+. They made 2 posts on their blog (%5B1%5D(https://blog.bitmex.com/why-ups/), %5B2%5D(https://blog.bitmex.com/bitmex-market-making-desk/)) explaining the situation. Although, the blog posts weren't posted on the website announcement feed nor (to my knowledge) on their twitter, so many people (including myself) missed them. %0A%0A\n Whil\n@@ -6306,8 +6306,244 @@\n dvice.**\n+%0A%0A%0Aedit:%0AThanks to /u/happy__hippo on Reddit for %5Bpointing out the Bitmex posts about the contracts%5D(https://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/8jmkwf/bitmex_options_shenanigans/dz15oge/). I've amended the article to reflect this.\n",
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      "body": "This post is a look at the recently released Bitmex Up and Down contracts and the lack of clarity around them and the issues that has caused. There will be a little bit of maths and options terminology, but I'll do my best to try to keep it simple.\n\n\n# <center>Background and Contract Specification</center>\n\nBitmex released the Weekly Up Contract (XBT7D_U110) for live trading on the 30th Apr, with the Weekly Down contract (XBT7D_D90) coming later, on the 14th May. Both contracts are essentially European style options contracts (with the addition of a knock out price for the Down Contract), which settle weekly on Fridays.\n\nThis was an interesting development on the part of Bitmex, with no public announcement about them at the time, nor any since (as of time of writing). While the contracts came with the usual Bitmex explanation of specification and example, what struck me was the fact that:\n\n1. Throughout the whole contract guide there wasn't a single reference to \"Options\", despite that being the nature of the contacts.\n2. Traders aren't allowed to short them - \"Only the BitMEX anchor market maker can be net short\". \n\n(Full screen shots of the guides as of 15th May 2018 can be found at the bottom of the article)\n\nWe now have the issue of a contract that many traders will have no idea how to price, that is consequently trading over 10x higher than fair value, and only the market makers are allowed to short.\n<br><br>\n\n# <center>Options pricing and Fair Value</center>\n\nThe Up contract is equivalent to a European style options call, while the Down contract is a slightly modified European options put. Options contracts give the buyer the right (but not obligation) to buy (call) or sell (put) at the given strike price on the settlement time (European style).\n\nEuropean style options contracts are generally prices using the [Black-Scholes model](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Scholes_model), which is used to calculate the fair price of a contract along with measures of its sensitivity to various factors such as underlying price and volatility (known as Greeks).\n\n![Fair Pricing Chart](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXA9n5L3V8X9EPqgwS2vhhxukYKSEb2W5GtZTGAQpimrZ/image.png)\n\nAt time of writing the Up contract (XBT7D_U110) last trade price is 0.00300 BTC (~$25.57), with 2.89 days until expiry. The Bitmex historical volatility index is currently 54.15%, strike price is $9500 and Bitcoin is $8530.\nThe [black-scholes calculator](http://www.option-price.com/index.php) suggests that the fair price is actually $1.916. And that is the calculation for a 1 Bitcoin contract. Where as the Bitmex contracts represent 0.1 XBT each. Making the fair value $0.1916, rather than the current $25.57. Which is a bit insane.\n\nWhat if we use a higher value of volatility for our calculations, will the price be a bit more reasonable? Similar contracts trading on a different exchange have an implied volatility of ~75% annualised. This gives a fair value of $1.351 for each Up contract.\nI've also occasionally seen Bitcoin volatility reach up to 120% or higher. This value still gives a fair value of $7.870. \n\nIn other words, even by the craziest stretch, the Bitmex contracts are trading way higher than their fair value - and only the Bitmex designated market makers are allowed to short.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Options profit outlook</center>\n\nNow, what if the contracts were trading at fair value, what is the probability that the options would actually expire \"In the money\" (payout not zero).\n\nOne of the \"Greeks\" calculated under the black-scholes model, Delta, is generally used as a measure of exposure to the underlying asset, but can also be used as a probability that the option will expire in the money.\n\nThe absolute of Delta (non negative value) gives said probability. A call contract with Delta 0.75 has a 75% chance of expiring ITM. A put contract with a delta of -0.3 has a 30% chance of expiring ITM.\n\n![Probability of Expiring ITM](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTAYvWFftP2qVN9vPk3kypQUaguMSQn6AfjyxcxKxjeuu/image.png)\n\nSo, what are the chances of our Up and Down contracts expiring ITM?\nThe Up contract's ticker is \"XBT7D_U110\", meaning that it expires every 7 days and its strike is placed at 110% of the trading price at the start of the trading period.\n\nAgain looking at the Bitmex volatility index at 54.15%, the Delta of this contract over 7 days comes to 0.1087, only an 11% chance of expiring in the money. 75% volatility gives Delta at 0.1933 and 120% gives Delta 0.3119. Not the best bet however you look at it.\n\nFor the Down contracts its even worse, with Delta being -0.07458 (7.458%), -0.1431 and -0.2367 for 54.15%, 75% and 120% volatility respectively.\n\nThe likelihood that any of these contracts actually pays out any money is rather stacked against the trader. And, as I've mentioned before, only the designated market makers are allowed to short these contracts to collect the price premium.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Are Options ever worth it?</center>\n\nOptions trading is a wide and very mathematical discipline to master. When contracts are traded fairly (with reasonable pricing and without restrictions) options trading can be very profitable and allow all sorts of novel trades, such as betting on volatility.\n\nHowever, in its current state, I personally wouldn't touch the Bitmex Up and Down contracts with a 10 foot pole. They are over priced and restricted from the ability to short.\nI have seen Bitmex as a generally reputable exchange in the past, however situations like this make be question that assessment.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# Contract Guide Screenshot\nI tried to archive the Bitmex contract guides with both [archive.fo/](https://archive.fo/) and [archive.org/web/](https://archive.org/web/), however neither worked, so I used [web-capture.net/](https://web-capture.net/) for screenshots instead. \nThe full screen shots can be found here: [Up Contracts](https://i.imgur.com/3v3biWG.png), [Down Contracts](https://i.imgur.com/zcKCzaE.png).\n\n### Disclaimer\n**This does not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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      "body": "# <center>Bitcoin</center>\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYj2Sz9GirWRLGPutt4exAYgYL8JuU8vShgL7RRnHhQbU)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 4h)\n\nAfter bouncing above the $8239 support, Bitcoin appears to have formed a double bottom, invalidating the bearish continuation pattern. The volume pattern fits, with lower bearish volume on the retest than the initial leg down.\n\nWe still wait to break above the $8854 resistance, but this is looking increasingly bullish. Swing traders may wish to start building up longs, using the $8239 support as a reference point for stops.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Ethereum</center>\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSF1ssxSehUfn8gqiUYfhhrpWJUgN6YTpoBVFE5ys22b9)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 2h)\n\nETHBTC made a wick through the 0.08460 resistance before pulling back to the 0.08276 support. Holding around this level for the next few days would form a great bullish consolidation, allowing for a strong bullish leg. However, its best to hold off until that's been confirmed.\n\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQHaAQEiiaTS5jFGVq8r8Fkq9SJ2AwXvkX4UP8dYf6Z7o)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 4h)\n\nOn the 4h time frame, there are still signs of bearish divergence at the moment, hence why I'd be looking for a good secondary consolidation before a push higher.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Bitcoin Cash</center>\n![Bittrex:BCCBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmctniyvBVYhPJWsMNeyfHVUKcR7vHv5CaBkjnRxVjZeag)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 2h)\n\nBitcoin Cash is continuing its state of weirdness, at this point I'm more confused than anything. As I suggested yesterday, its probably best to wait for a clearer signal rather than taking a position on a coin flip.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Litecoin</center>\n![Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQme3PEVuRWfVRePAjci4pWUvef1HTWUwDJ31hsE1VuTo4t)\n(Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h)\n\nLitecoin is finally looking up again, with a high volume pump through the 78.6% resistance. I'm still waiting for a sustained break above the 0.01714 support/ resistance, but this is looking promising.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n### Disclaimer\nI will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but **I can make no promises about my accuracy.**\n**All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas** and **do not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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      "body": "# <center>Bitcoin</center>\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQcs4u274qA6VCUumY6TZArRGkbC9GY8TTnjvF8ySEraw)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h)\n\nBitcoin is still holding below $8684 after its test of the $8239 support yesterday. This test was followed by a sharp bounce due to the bullish divergence of the drop, however, the bounce retraced very quickly and volume has been declining since.\n\nThis could be interpreted as a bearish consolidation of a larger bearish movement, supported by the high time frame bearish divergence from the 25th Apr to the 5th May. The ascending channel I've marked shows the level at which this theory is invalidated.\n\nOn the other hand, the bullish argument would be the fact we've held a strong support level. I would still require a retest of $8239 as confirmation, but its an alternative view to keep in mind.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Ethereum</center>\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYeBkDnXkWEgGmDMmobdbYuuVw2AeRZtDHXcGhm3sqrGm)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 1h)\n\nEthereum managed to bounce back above its support line and is now making a retest towards the 0.08460 resistance. Volume is a bit low for my liking, considering the speed of the climb. I recommend wait for a secondary consolidation around highs before buying into this move, otherwise it carries quite a lot of downside risk.\n\nIf we do manage to break to new highs without a pick up in volume, there is a high chance of bearish divergence and overall weakness to the trend. It may even provide a good opportunity for a short.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Bitcoin Cash</center>\n![Bittrex:BCCBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdCfW8CdXfhahS5rrGqojZSfLts9juoGMZujTvrJdJGM7)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 2h)\n\nBitcoin Cash has been all over the place over the last few days, making it a bit more difficult to analyse. The top chart is the first interpretation, where we've formed a loose ascending channel - a bearish continuation pattern. The drop off in volume after the bounce support this theory.\n\n![Bittrex:BCCBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQqHnKFX3Mrj3gFivMYajoxCU5uTaK8qsxMVLVYe3vw2K)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 1h)\n\nThe second interpretation has the double test of the 0.1545 support as a double bottom, which then pushed up into a weird pennant/ general bullish consolidation.\n\nI recommend holding off from any position here, at least until the market has given a clearer signal.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Litecoin</center>\n![Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQkUzGkTo2A5X9Z9zKRudq6EAdS7wPBNkfDuA3MnTQXQ3)\n(Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h)\n\nLitecoin bounced just above the 0.01590 support yesterday, before making a test of the 78.6% retracement of the previous bullish leg. Volume is still very low, especially so for a bounce, so we're receiving mixed signals. While this could be a confirmation of the bottom for LTCBTC, it could easily turn into a bearish continuation pattern and a push to new lows.\n\nIts best to wait for a sustained break above the 0.01714 resistance before considering any bullish positions.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Monero</center>\n![Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmenGggutcJ8J3n9iHhq4fK4f4qJAexhsGEsgHccgKYQiC)\n(Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h)\n\nMonero is still holding near lows, with a similar situation to LTCBTC. In this case, a break above 0.02590 is the minimum I'd be looking for to confirm a bullish sentiment.\n<br><br>\n\n\n### Disclaimer\nI will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but **I can make no promises about my accuracy.**\n**All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas** and **do not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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      "body": "**Coins mentioned in post:**\n\nCoin | | Price (USD) | 📉 24h | 📉 7d\n- | - | - | - | -\n**BTC** | Bitcoin | 8489.490$ | _-5.3%_ | _-13.06%_\n**ETH** | Ethereum | 686.133$ | _-6.01%_ | _-13.88%_\n**LTC** | Litecoin | 138.453$ | _-6.55%_ | _-18.33%_\n**XMR** | Monero | 201.501$ | _-6.5%_ | _-17.07%_",
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      "body": "Thanks for the analysis. Based on my chao theory analysis, we expect bitcoin to drop further to 8K level before retracing upward between 38.2% to 50%  then continuing further breaking 8K level and dropping towards 7K level.  It will be your last chance to buy cheaper and hold it for the next 6 months.  After which we expect the price to break usd10K and  usd11K to finally confirm the bull trend .    Follow me to see how it goes....",
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      "body": "# <center>Bitcoin</center>\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmX1969Xgh8hp7pDQVrBs9dieMr8zn3ApanC1DY73EEcUA)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 4h)\n\nBitcoin continued its drop through $9023, to break all the major supports near highs. Volume has picked up as we continue to descend, so the bearish trend is looking pretty strong. The first support comes at $8425, the peak of the previous consolidation. However, a drop as low as $7888 isn't unlikely.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Ethereum</center>\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTZiHSGASiquckng7DABYLwZkkKAswd5Jr7dVTyVRJU5N)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 2h)\n\nETHBTC managed to drop through the 50% support earlier, with a large spike in volume, to test the major ascending support of the past few weeks. The volume on the bounce candle is rather low so far, so it'll be interesting to see whether or not the support holds.\n\nNeedless to say, the bullish consolidation zone was invalidated by the sustained break below the 50% support, and this carries too much downside risk to justify buying back into the position just yet. A break below the ascending support could lead to a significant pullback towards 0.07360 or further.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Bitcoin Cash</center>\n![Bittrex:BCHBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcA11teKFFfW1NjV2194DqQFrtnVvWQY61CqDi3brGQx1)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 2h)\n\nBitcoin Cash failed to hold the top of the channel, breaking down swiftly towards the 0.1545 support. The speed and volume of this movement suggests the bears are back in control and a continued move lower is likely.\n\n![Bittrex:BCHBTC 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXxpeMwnBWL9Q4Wim2uF8yP8pCbz5UBKiqZ9ivKaoU65R)\n(Bittrex:BCHBTC 4h)\n\nAdding to this, the breaking down of the bull flag confirms the bearish divergence on the 4h time frame, making this the start of a bearish pullback. A retest towards 0.1360 (at minimum) is looking increasingly likely.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Litecoin</center>\n![Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmeM7nWtV74wRPVscBFBAaNictvJJKYiEGYKM98adCGTMP)\n(Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h)\n\nLitecoin continued to drop, breaking below the 0.01636 support and dashing any hope of a bullish leg in the near future. We may hold above the 0.01590 support, but this rejection of highs is looking pretty bearish. We'll have to keep an eye over the next few days where the market is signalling.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Monero</center>\n![Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQma29XwAGoeEFo7FqJSXLWreSUX9YiwjAYEEfKcu2xUzsb)\n(Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h)\n\nMonero finally broke below the 0.02370 support, although on surprisingly low volume. We're in a tricky middle ground where the bigger picture is looking pretty bearish, but the trend is looking weak after the break of support. I recommend holding off here until the market picks up volume, whichever direction that may be.\n<br><br>\n\n\n### Disclaimer\nI will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but **I can make no promises about my accuracy.**\n**All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas** and **do not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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      "body": "# <center>Bitcoin</center>\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmW6NfPjhMFD3ZzGFV7TYM46ww2UZHNgvPkCAqtSi3ZQr7)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h)\n\nBitcoin decided to spike down sharply just as I was writing this article. The volume on the candle so far is extremely strong, suggesting panic to the market. We'll have to keep an eye on the $9023 support to see whether we break lower in the next few hours. \n\nPast $9023, the next major supports come at $8854 and $8780. Although, if we make a bounce above $9023 instead, we could still end up forming a large ascending wedge.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Ethereum</center>\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQU7qpyWkvemTap1ERygS1giJpsUZZkQzSM6RSrytTgXp)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 1h)\n\nETHBTC is still holding its little consolidation zone nicely, which turns out to be the 50% and 23.6% retracements of the run from 0.07360. At this point, the bullish argument is looking pretty strong. However, I'd recommend building up any position closer to the support of the zone to reduce risk.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Bitcoin Cash</center>\n![Bittrex:BCCBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYvTUsRExmz1Q57rK5P9u2XaGzHUGBXyrNd7jM15qbYDD)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 1h)\n\nThe volume never picked up after Bitcoin Cash's break upwards yesterday, so we just held around 0.1760. We now appear to be making a retest of the upper support/ resistance of the channel. If we can bounce, it'll be a strong confirmation of a new bullish leg. However, I would recommend waiting for that to be confirmed before taking on too much risk, as a break below would likely signal a retest to 0.1644 and below.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Litecoin</center>\n![Bittrex:LTCBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVBWLSdLe2p4mZ9PcdY6pzCQsjfiJEyt9bFw711dMDFNA)\n(Bittrex:LTCBTC 1h)\n\nBreaking yet more supports, Litecoin is continuing its descent. While there are signs of possible bullish divergence, they are yet to be confirmed with a bounce. We're already in a slightly precarious position but, if we continue to drop, a break below the 0.01636 support would signal a wider rejection of the bullish movement and a retest towards 0.01590.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n\n### Disclaimer\nI will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but **I can make no promises about my accuracy.**\n**All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas** and **do not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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      "body": "# <center>Bitcoin</center>\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmU6LRdX9CZo6NFE4gC41GQ9AkXtPHVmn37MPgTSZrDH7S)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h)\n\nBitcoin bounced nicely from around the $9023 support after forming double bullish divergence on both the RSI and MACD (single divergence for RSI for time frames other than 1h). We're now moving to test the 50% retracement and climb towards $9500.\n\nFor the bears in the market, this bounce will be the the place to build up shorts. Keep an eye out for sharp rejections of resistance levels for a sign of weakness/ signal to sell.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Ethereum</center>\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdpatf6RRx5PY4eF33FFPTwmkBFXX8BMBjcMFvFjWvVdh)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 1h)\n\nETHBTC has been holding the 0.07913 support nicely with a second retest today. More risk averse traders may wish to give it another day to be sure, but this looks like it could be a good bullish consolidation zone, ready for a new bullish leg in the next week or so.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Bitcoin Cash</center>\n![Bittrex:BCCBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmT6xtzmxMfKYcTMsVp15JMqWgVLPSSxWmgQJFYGHcQsxb)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 1h)\n\nAfter a small test below the support of the descending channel, Bitcoin Cash made a good bounce into a break upwards. The 0.1838 and 0.1862 resistance levels will be important to watch today and tomorrow. Volume is also very low at the moment, making me a bit concerned about the strength of the break. A trailing stop-loss may be a good way to capitalise on the rise while also limiting downside risk/ loss of profit.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Litecoin</center>\n![Bittrex:LTCBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNjKjrhg3c7fGpWT9iT153TVi9hJerK6q4zrRC8bUQBzT)\n(Bittrex:LTCBTC 1h)\n\nUnfortunately, Litecoin broke below the 0.01714 support yesterday while also making new lows on the RSI and MACD, invalidating the bullish argument for the moment at least. We'll have to wait for another good support to become apparent and/or bullish divergence.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Monero</center>\n![Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYL1Txc8jF8PDwNZu62fggcjnQfD49bVKSHHSrryfeT93)\n(Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h)\n\nXMRBTC continued to drop ever nearer to the 0.02370 support over the last few days. While there are still signs of bullish divergence, previous bullish divergence as been broken several times recently. We have also rejected the 0.02493 resistance twice in the last 2 days, which adds to the bearish argument.\n\nThis could easily be interpreted as a bearish consolidation zone, suggesting a break below 0.02370 in the near future - which would likely lead to a longer term bearish trend.\n<br><br>\n\n\n### Disclaimer\nI will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but **I can make no promises about my accuracy.**\n**All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas** and **do not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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      "body": "**Coins mentioned in post:**\n\nCoin | | Price (USD) | 📈 24h | 📈 7d\n- | - | - | - | -\n**BTC** | Bitcoin | 9318.140$ | _1.55%_ | _1.86%_\n**ETH** | Ethereum | 751.149$ | _2.05%_ | _10.55%_\n**LTC** | Litecoin | 158.134$ | _-1.07%_ | _6.08%_\n**XMR** | Monero | 229.127$ | _3.18%_ | _-6.89%_",
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      "body": "# <center>Bitcoin</center>\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmanWUEaNrNoKoCrUa5BmE7KySm5ygrvBNmdpW6AeYuq7e)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h)\n\nAfter a couple of small bearish consolidations, Bitcoin is continuing to push down towards $9000, recently bouncing from the $9023 support.\nWe're seeing bullish divergence on the MACD and RSI. However, the RSI divergence is only present on the 1h time frame, so its questionable at the moment. Meanwhile, there have also been strong volume spikes on many of the bearish candles, showing a strength to the bearish trend.\nIf you wish to open a short here, I'd recommend waiting for a larger bounce from support into an ascending wedge/ channel. This would give a better fill price and preferable risk: reward ratio from a confirmed resistance.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Ethereum</center>\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUbCkuZ1fR5XiLEYfd5ZprrrPbRLk6gkPr1WYPRN4uVML)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 1h)\n\nETHBTC made a strong bounce from the 0.07572 support after dropping through the 0.08000 support on the 7th. This lead to a push back above 0.08000, around which we currently reside. This is a strong sign for Ethereum due to the speed the dip was rejected.\nA few more days around this level, and a confirmed support nearer to highs, would make a good bullish consolidation zone. However, I do recommend holding off until that has been confirmed.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Bitcoin Cash</center>\n![Bittrex:BCHBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXhGHLPKTF9DwFofmYAAX54dCmWNdFguoPb1gKuYe4fua)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 1h)\n\nBitcoin Cash is currently holding above the 0.1700 support/ resistance, which marked the top of the previous bull run. We look to be forming a bull flag. Volume has been dropping off since the top of the flag, confirming this as a bullish pullback. The 0.1644 support seems to be a good level to place stops around, if you wish to build up longs. Make sure to keep position sizing appropriate and stop losses at a level you're comfortable with.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Litecoin</center>\n![Bittrex:LTCBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWjMHALaXHTmybEBTG3PW8LhqyGMAtnMp37WcT74MhHiC)\n(Bittrex:LTCBTC 1h)\n\nLitecoin continued its pullback to the 61.8% support of the bullish leg. We appear to be forming a double bottom here, giving a well defined risk level for stops. In higher time frames, Litecoin is still looking pretty bullish, so this serves as a good level to build up positions.\n<br><br>\n\n\n### Disclaimer\nI will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but **I can make no promises about my accuracy.**\n**All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas** and **do not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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      "body": "**Coins mentioned in post:**\n\nCoin | | Price (USD) | 📉 24h | 📈 7d\n- | - | - | - | -\n**BTC** | Bitcoin | 9310.130$ | _-3.19%_ | _1.26%_\n**ETH** | Ethereum | 740.736$ | _-6.1%_ | _11.22%_\n**LTC** | Litecoin | 163.677$ | _-4.15%_ | _10.38%_\n**XMR** | Monero | 232.020$ | _-1.17%_ | _-4.63%_",
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      "body": "# <center>Bitcoin</center>\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPfCbyLNqCKAgJ29tKFHALwfUMngHL9hEHHCcVzY4RKT4)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h)\n\nBitcoin confirmed the bearish divergence by pulling back from the $9950 resistance, before dropping to the 50% support of the bullish leg.\nVolume was fairly high on the bearish candles as we dropped, suggesting a level of fear to the market as it sold off. In the very short term, we look to be holding above the 50% retracement, however we may form a bearish continuation pattern to push lower.\n\nBearish divergence on the 4h was also confirmed, so a larger scale pullback below $9000 is a possibility over the next few days/ next week. $8780 marks the 50% retracement of the leg up from $7805, and has provided good support in the last week or two. A break below this level could see a retest down to $8240 or $7800.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Ethereum</center>\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYZg3tSNahV5CkMZMSvKV1bXVnhThPeXHg8Kv1c5tvD6N)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 2h)\n\nYet another push higher, against bearish, divergence was followed by a pullback towards the 0.08000 support, which has held nicely so far. If we can hold around these levels without incident for the next few days, this will make a great bullish consolidation zone.\nHowever, there is significant downside risk at the moment, so another bounce from 0.08000 would be required as confirmation. Until then, I recommend holding off to see whether or not it'll hold.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Bitcoin Cash</center>\n![Bittrex:BCCBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUZgmUJSMb6JFT4rxmJ9u3yuttfgYvGhzDVQvESYx5JwV)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 1h)\n\nAfter its brief consolidation around the 0.1700 support/ resistance, Bitcoin Cash made a nice break to 0.1850 on strong volume. However, we're seeing a possibility of bearish divergence on the 1h RSI and MACD. This would normally suggest weakness, but isn't much of an issue, as it hasn't been confirmed on other time frames.\n\nWe look to be forming a small bull flag, which is a good continuation pattern. Another leg up is looking likely in the near future. Make sure to size positions appropriately and keep reasonable stop losses.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Litecoin</center>\n![Bittrex:LTCBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPbgtiU9PRrKLHHWJQTP84x5e6LGFtcF4GYAgN5L9hRWz)\n(Bittrex:LTCBTC 1h)\n\nLitecoin briefly broke the 0.01850 resistance, to reach 0.01863, before pulling back to the 50% support of its leg up. Volume has dropped off nicely, suggesting this to be a bullish pullback rather than a bearish reversal.\nDepending on your risk tolerance, I'd recommend waiting for a stronger confirmation of support before building up any positions here. Otherwise you could risk a situation such as XMRBTC's drift into the floor.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Monero</center>\n![Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcDQe7P8TFuhiua4Xk4Tzp28cr29N65kYiLyDjJyTPDhP)\n(Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h)\n\nSpeaking of Monero's drift into the floor - its still going! We're edging closer to the 0.02370 support by the day. I'll probably reduce coverage on Monero until something particularly new happens.\n<br><br>\n\n\n### Disclaimer\nI will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but **I can make no promises about my accuracy.**\n**All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas** and **do not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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      "body": "# <center>Bitcoin</center>\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmegt8BYMHLYbG7o5mPT87YfwxVHtd5X2Ue2J5DxV7gWkY)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 1h)\n\nBitcoin has managed to scrape through the $9755 and $9892 resistance levels over the last two days. However, volume is staying low and we're seeing signals of bearish divergence on both the RSI and the MACD. This is a worrying sign, and a pullback is looking likely.\n\n![Bitstamp:BTCUSD 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUU11CM4KVhfBBDC3Cck94PJmnrNAgMPMimfWB4HLUkWC)\n(Bitstamp:BTCUSD 4h)\n\nWe're also seeing bearish divergence on higher time frames, between the current level and $9755. While this is yet to be confirmed with a pullback, its something to keep an eye on if volume and momentum don't pick up.\n<br><br>\n\n\n# <center>Ethereum</center>\n![Bitstamp:ETHUSD 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdU29J95Q3LmpWKvWudYvoftze237WM6nhXmoWYMY3Jan)\n(Bitstamp:ETHUSD 1h)\n\nETHUSD is also showing a similar bearish divergence to Bitcoin, as it pushes ever higher on relatively low volume. If bitcoin pulls back, this is definitely coming with it. For the moment, there is still the possibility of further upside, but I would be looking to take profit and/or keep tight stop losses on any trades. We can buy back into any positions after a solid pullback.\n\n![Bittrex:ETHBTC 1h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYQ8gggTBDaPQ5WjsQpkWV29ZyGpZ5HUAUFxgRZDN2Hpp)\n(Bittrex:ETHBTC 1h)\n\nETHBTC, too, is showing signs of weakness, with double bearish divergence. We can also see a bit of a pullback in volume on the uptrend since the break of 0.07572 on the 3rd. As with ETHUSD, I'd recommend looking to take profit and waiting for a pullback and/or consolidation zone.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Bitcoin Cash</center>\n![Bittrex:BCCBTC 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUUKBnkDsXx41CasQmLtgKweyn43gDA3mfZmUjcdgm8ar)\n(Bittrex:BCCBTC 4h)\n\nBitcoin Cash finally broke above the 0.1700 resistance. There was strong volume on the candles leading up to the break, however momentum petered out somewhat above 0.1700. We may form a secondary consolidation zone around this level, which would be an extremely bullish sign, but keep an eye out for sudden pullbacks.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Litecoin</center>\n![Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQsi8FubQnzpwpWoGRaJ6L8bdaXnun8kr3Go6P9626zrj)\n(Bittrex:LTCBTC 2h)\n\nAfter retracing sharply from the 0.01714 resistance, Litecoin managed to hold the 0.01634 support. From there it made another leg up to break the resistance levels we've been watching. This is the confirmation we've been waiting for, and we can start building up a position on the next pullback/ consolidation.\n<br><br>\n\n\n\n# <center>Monero</center>\n![Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXpvXbJmYZcMnqUbvms1ZSJc7tSkdsvRsLS7XqWhLK2fY)\n(Poloniex:XMRBTC 4h)\n\nMonero draws nearer and nearer to the 0.02370 support against slight bullish divergence. Unless we can form a good bounce, this is looking pretty bleak for XMRBTC, with very few support levels below 0.02370.\n<br><br>\n\n\n### Disclaimer\nI will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but **I can make no promises about my accuracy.**\n**All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas** and **do not constitute professional financial investment advice.**",
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