Ecoer Logo

@mxmagpie

25

geopolitical cut and thrust

steemit.com/@mxmagpie
VOTING POWER100.00%
DOWNVOTE POWER100.00%
RESOURCE CREDITS100.00%
REPUTATION PROGRESS0.00%
Net Worth
0.041USD
STEEM
0.000STEEM
SBD
0.010SBD
Effective Power
5.007SP
├── Own SP
0.633SP
└── Incoming Deleg
+4.375SP

Detailed Balance

STEEM
balance
0.000STEEM
market_balance
0.000STEEM
savings_balance
0.000STEEM
reward_steem_balance
0.000STEEM
STEEM POWER
Own SP
0.633SP
Delegated Out
0.000SP
Delegation In
4.375SP
Effective Power
5.007SP
Reward SP (pending)
0.000SP
SBD
sbd_balance
0.010SBD
sbd_conversions
0.000SBD
sbd_market_balance
0.000SBD
savings_sbd_balance
0.000SBD
reward_sbd_balance
0.000SBD
{
  "balance": "0.000 STEEM",
  "savings_balance": "0.000 STEEM",
  "reward_steem_balance": "0.000 STEEM",
  "vesting_shares": "1028.917292 VESTS",
  "delegated_vesting_shares": "0.000000 VESTS",
  "received_vesting_shares": "7114.742514 VESTS",
  "sbd_balance": "0.010 SBD",
  "savings_sbd_balance": "0.000 SBD",
  "reward_sbd_balance": "0.000 SBD",
  "conversions": []
}

Account Info

namemxmagpie
id716823
rank1,421,829
reputation644345918
created2018-02-05T09:36:06
recovery_accountsteem
proxyNone
post_count18
comment_count0
lifetime_vote_count0
witnesses_voted_for0
last_post2019-11-02T14:00:27
last_root_post2019-11-02T14:00:27
last_vote_time2018-03-05T16:26:06
proxied_vsf_votes0, 0, 0, 0
can_vote1
voting_power0
delayed_votes0
balance0.000 STEEM
savings_balance0.000 STEEM
sbd_balance0.010 SBD
savings_sbd_balance0.000 SBD
vesting_shares1028.917292 VESTS
delegated_vesting_shares0.000000 VESTS
received_vesting_shares7114.742514 VESTS
reward_vesting_balance0.000000 VESTS
vesting_balance0.000 STEEM
vesting_withdraw_rate0.000000 VESTS
next_vesting_withdrawal1969-12-31T23:59:59
withdrawn0
to_withdraw0
withdraw_routes0
savings_withdraw_requests0
last_account_recovery1970-01-01T00:00:00
reset_accountnull
last_owner_update1970-01-01T00:00:00
last_account_update2018-02-07T11:59:42
minedNo
sbd_seconds0
sbd_last_interest_payment2018-07-17T10:19:18
savings_sbd_last_interest_payment1970-01-01T00:00:00
{
  "id": 716823,
  "name": "mxmagpie",
  "owner": {
    "weight_threshold": 1,
    "account_auths": [],
    "key_auths": [
      [
        "STM8fFnBHS8ZeE4TXryE5E8fPPsZbqpzi4NmNSrEKpS1dh1bQyxgC",
        1
      ]
    ]
  },
  "active": {
    "weight_threshold": 1,
    "account_auths": [],
    "key_auths": [
      [
        "STM5NvLeE7n1sjCFQ3pLoBXr7a5JLZ6CJntm6k5q1tWphn5NwWTQJ",
        1
      ]
    ]
  },
  "posting": {
    "weight_threshold": 1,
    "account_auths": [],
    "key_auths": [
      [
        "STM6r3XtuFKK6qEch8CbGjvUExDP1uJfHjPEkwxsWim6twJXzxQCX",
        1
      ]
    ]
  },
  "memo_key": "STM6jgpt45AHm2v2JiJShSQRTPkB2AFcqcvpdoUqs7dQ3XeNywTcy",
  "json_metadata": "{\"profile\":{\"website\":\"http://mxmagpie.uk/\",\"name\":\"mxmagpie\",\"about\":\"geopolitical cut and thrust\",\"location\":\"eurasia\"}}",
  "posting_json_metadata": "{\"profile\":{\"website\":\"http://mxmagpie.uk/\",\"name\":\"mxmagpie\",\"about\":\"geopolitical cut and thrust\",\"location\":\"eurasia\"}}",
  "proxy": "",
  "last_owner_update": "1970-01-01T00:00:00",
  "last_account_update": "2018-02-07T11:59:42",
  "created": "2018-02-05T09:36:06",
  "mined": false,
  "recovery_account": "steem",
  "last_account_recovery": "1970-01-01T00:00:00",
  "reset_account": "null",
  "comment_count": 0,
  "lifetime_vote_count": 0,
  "post_count": 18,
  "can_vote": true,
  "voting_manabar": {
    "current_mana": "8143659806",
    "last_update_time": 1779077565
  },
  "downvote_manabar": {
    "current_mana": 2035914951,
    "last_update_time": 1779077565
  },
  "voting_power": 0,
  "balance": "0.000 STEEM",
  "savings_balance": "0.000 STEEM",
  "sbd_balance": "0.010 SBD",
  "sbd_seconds": "0",
  "sbd_seconds_last_update": "2018-07-17T10:19:18",
  "sbd_last_interest_payment": "2018-07-17T10:19:18",
  "savings_sbd_balance": "0.000 SBD",
  "savings_sbd_seconds": "0",
  "savings_sbd_seconds_last_update": "1970-01-01T00:00:00",
  "savings_sbd_last_interest_payment": "1970-01-01T00:00:00",
  "savings_withdraw_requests": 0,
  "reward_sbd_balance": "0.000 SBD",
  "reward_steem_balance": "0.000 STEEM",
  "reward_vesting_balance": "0.000000 VESTS",
  "reward_vesting_steem": "0.000 STEEM",
  "vesting_shares": "1028.917292 VESTS",
  "delegated_vesting_shares": "0.000000 VESTS",
  "received_vesting_shares": "7114.742514 VESTS",
  "vesting_withdraw_rate": "0.000000 VESTS",
  "next_vesting_withdrawal": "1969-12-31T23:59:59",
  "withdrawn": 0,
  "to_withdraw": 0,
  "withdraw_routes": 0,
  "curation_rewards": 0,
  "posting_rewards": 6,
  "proxied_vsf_votes": [
    0,
    0,
    0,
    0
  ],
  "witnesses_voted_for": 0,
  "last_post": "2019-11-02T14:00:27",
  "last_root_post": "2019-11-02T14:00:27",
  "last_vote_time": "2018-03-05T16:26:06",
  "post_bandwidth": 0,
  "pending_claimed_accounts": 0,
  "vesting_balance": "0.000 STEEM",
  "reputation": 644345918,
  "transfer_history": [],
  "market_history": [],
  "post_history": [],
  "vote_history": [],
  "other_history": [],
  "witness_votes": [],
  "tags_usage": [],
  "guest_bloggers": [],
  "rank": 1421829
}

Withdraw Routes

IncomingOutgoing
Empty
Empty
{
  "incoming": [],
  "outgoing": []
}
From Date
To Date
steemdelegated 4.375 SP to @mxmagpie
2026/05/18 04:12:45
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares7114.742514 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #106148176/Trx 2f7920b1e1686c6e82598ae90ccb9668a80d28cc
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "2f7920b1e1686c6e82598ae90ccb9668a80d28cc",
  "block": 106148176,
  "trx_in_block": 5,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2026-05-18T04:12:45",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "7114.742514 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 2.707 SP to @mxmagpie
2026/05/12 19:53:27
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares4402.532109 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #105994930/Trx 8af8f6033d59a5c51265afde73a3e4691fbecbca
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "8af8f6033d59a5c51265afde73a3e4691fbecbca",
  "block": 105994930,
  "trx_in_block": 0,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2026-05-12T19:53:27",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "4402.532109 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 4.383 SP to @mxmagpie
2026/04/26 03:27:27
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares7127.258270 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #105515716/Trx ff34965ce8cc0a34631141d03b4d2d44e9c8b123
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "ff34965ce8cc0a34631141d03b4d2d44e9c8b123",
  "block": 105515716,
  "trx_in_block": 0,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2026-04-26T03:27:27",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "7127.258270 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 2.733 SP to @mxmagpie
2026/01/23 18:25:30
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares4444.078928 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #102864539/Trx 0f397ea40af0a23d4999578cb1458bc2a5c5d024
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "0f397ea40af0a23d4999578cb1458bc2a5c5d024",
  "block": 102864539,
  "trx_in_block": 0,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2026-01-23T18:25:30",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "4444.078928 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 2.834 SP to @mxmagpie
2024/12/17 13:37:30
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares4608.298125 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #91310792/Trx b48c7ea5d6fbafd3557e9d88b4f6fa2ca316b281
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "b48c7ea5d6fbafd3557e9d88b4f6fa2ca316b281",
  "block": 91310792,
  "trx_in_block": 5,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2024-12-17T13:37:30",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "4608.298125 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 2.938 SP to @mxmagpie
2023/11/14 05:19:21
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares4777.431657 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #79864965/Trx 5143667412a1af6dfb1dc6b64c37273169466d38
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "5143667412a1af6dfb1dc6b64c37273169466d38",
  "block": 79864965,
  "trx_in_block": 3,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2023-11-14T05:19:21",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "4777.431657 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 4.743 SP to @mxmagpie
2023/09/22 07:55:33
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares7714.340443 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #78359917/Trx 350b574ec0091628128a3d8b9d0185f5375dc546
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "350b574ec0091628128a3d8b9d0185f5375dc546",
  "block": 78359917,
  "trx_in_block": 3,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2023-09-22T07:55:33",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "7714.340443 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 4.880 SP to @mxmagpie
2022/11/03 15:43:00
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares7936.391881 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #69118053/Trx cdcb763d87380226aeb3d02d3c21cc620b60519b
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "cdcb763d87380226aeb3d02d3c21cc620b60519b",
  "block": 69118053,
  "trx_in_block": 0,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2022-11-03T15:43:00",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "7936.391881 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 5.015 SP to @mxmagpie
2022/01/17 21:06:54
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares8156.499482 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #60821542/Trx b98225518a63e24fcf464396e857f58d3e63861a
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "b98225518a63e24fcf464396e857f58d3e63861a",
  "block": 60821542,
  "trx_in_block": 5,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2022-01-17T21:06:54",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "8156.499482 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 5.129 SP to @mxmagpie
2021/06/14 04:23:12
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares8340.693770 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #54611983/Trx 24bae820eec7edc331b33e295ffbf8e4763c052d
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "24bae820eec7edc331b33e295ffbf8e4763c052d",
  "block": 54611983,
  "trx_in_block": 7,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2021-06-14T04:23:12",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "8340.693770 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 5.244 SP to @mxmagpie
2020/12/11 14:37:33
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares8528.115744 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #49359304/Trx 17623697e3b3038c89a48ecfd7c41870d70448b8
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "17623697e3b3038c89a48ecfd7c41870d70448b8",
  "block": 49359304,
  "trx_in_block": 3,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2020-12-11T14:37:33",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "8528.115744 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 1.176 SP to @mxmagpie
2020/12/06 08:13:48
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares1912.543513 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #49210844/Trx 1fc19d0cfe94607fd3810167627853feec176be2
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "1fc19d0cfe94607fd3810167627853feec176be2",
  "block": 49210844,
  "trx_in_block": 3,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2020-12-06T08:13:48",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "1912.543513 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 5.248 SP to @mxmagpie
2020/12/05 18:15:09
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares8534.323598 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #49194389/Trx 1d51316edfd6b80dc86f4001e81fa2f342c2e6a9
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "1d51316edfd6b80dc86f4001e81fa2f342c2e6a9",
  "block": 49194389,
  "trx_in_block": 64,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2020-12-05T18:15:09",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "8534.323598 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 1.181 SP to @mxmagpie
2020/11/02 22:51:27
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares1920.017158 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #48266305/Trx e38144747674275c6215f415ed5a3687aa867aac
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "e38144747674275c6215f415ed5a3687aa867aac",
  "block": 48266305,
  "trx_in_block": 0,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2020-11-02T22:51:27",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "1920.017158 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 5.372 SP to @mxmagpie
2020/05/09 09:14:42
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares8737.128957 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #43221141/Trx e0e54d41103b3a596acb46190aba97df1c1cc6fb
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "e0e54d41103b3a596acb46190aba97df1c1cc6fb",
  "block": 43221141,
  "trx_in_block": 14,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2020-05-09T09:14:42",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "8737.128957 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
steemdelegated 1.201 SP to @mxmagpie
2020/05/08 13:22:36
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares1953.311140 VESTS
Transaction InfoBlock #43197861/Trx 2c0f8106c7171b18f968e39f1ec536203ac9c077
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "2c0f8106c7171b18f968e39f1ec536203ac9c077",
  "block": 43197861,
  "trx_in_block": 0,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2020-05-08T13:22:36",
  "op": [
    "delegate_vesting_shares",
    {
      "delegator": "steem",
      "delegatee": "mxmagpie",
      "vesting_shares": "1953.311140 VESTS"
    }
  ]
}
2020/02/05 11:12:03
parent authormxmagpie
parent permlinkhazlerigg-goes-it-alone
authorsteemitboard
permlinksteemitboard-notify-mxmagpie-20200205t111203000z
title
bodyCongratulations @mxmagpie! You received a personal award! <table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@mxmagpie/birthday2.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 2 years!</td></tr></table> <sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@mxmagpie) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=mxmagpie)_</sub> **Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:** <table><tr><td><a href="https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/steemitboard-ranking-update-a-better-rich-list-comparator"><img src="https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfRVpHQhLDhnjDtqck8GPv9NPvNKPfMsDaAFDE1D9Er2Z/header_ranking.png"></a></td><td><a href="https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/steemitboard-ranking-update-a-better-rich-list-comparator">SteemitBoard Ranking update - A better rich list comparator</a></td></tr></table> ###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!
json metadata{"image":["https://steemitboard.com/img/notify.png"]}
Transaction InfoBlock #40551746/Trx 8bd074e6ef1f26a072c9753dba5ec555bcc180ae
View Raw JSON Data
{
  "trx_id": "8bd074e6ef1f26a072c9753dba5ec555bcc180ae",
  "block": 40551746,
  "trx_in_block": 8,
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "virtual_op": 0,
  "timestamp": "2020-02-05T11:12:03",
  "op": [
    "comment",
    {
      "parent_author": "mxmagpie",
      "parent_permlink": "hazlerigg-goes-it-alone",
      "author": "steemitboard",
      "permlink": "steemitboard-notify-mxmagpie-20200205t111203000z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "Congratulations @mxmagpie! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@mxmagpie/birthday2.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 2 years!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@mxmagpie) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=mxmagpie)_</sub>\n\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/steemitboard-ranking-update-a-better-rich-list-comparator\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfRVpHQhLDhnjDtqck8GPv9NPvNKPfMsDaAFDE1D9Er2Z/header_ranking.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/steemitboard-ranking-update-a-better-rich-list-comparator\">SteemitBoard Ranking update - A better rich list comparator</a></td></tr></table>\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
      "json_metadata": "{\"image\":[\"https://steemitboard.com/img/notify.png\"]}"
    }
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steemdelegated 5.404 SP to @mxmagpie
2020/02/01 15:41:45
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2019/11/02 14:05:57
voterluegenbaron
authormxmagpie
permlinkhazlerigg-goes-it-alone
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2019/11/02 14:02:57
parent authormxmagpie
parent permlinkhazlerigg-goes-it-alone
authorluegenbaron
permlinkre-mxmagpie-q0chow
title
bodydamn. EU be like: No food for ya, if you leave!
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mxmagpiepublished a new post: hazlerigg-goes-it-alone
2019/11/02 14:00:27
parent author
parent permlinkgeneral-election
authormxmagpie
permlinkhazlerigg-goes-it-alone
titleHazlerigg goes it alone
bodyHazlerigg, on the northern edge of Newcastle, decided to leave the EU without a deal anyway, despite Johnson ditching his ditch plan. The Parish Authorities released the following memo on the matter: "Hazlerigg Village would like to convey a big fuck you to Johnson, the EU, Westminster, Newcastle City Council any other institution attempting to impose rule from outside the village... (W)e 'll sort things out from now on, we're fine on our own thank you." As predicted, problems quickly ensued at the shop: "we are having problems with our suppliers" a staff member told one aghast would-be-customer in response to their query regarding the absence of bacon from the shelves. "When they said we were 'leaving the world's biggest trading block' i didnt think they meant 'nee more bacon in the shop'. The shop always used to have bacon" the forlorn aspiring customer said. ![IMG_0124.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQkQZDr1c6qoDDY8biGm8dhmK5kZie8VUD5bT4t6EUg6C/IMG_0124.jpg)![IMG_0122.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSTmutbDC5rTBZFLbSDg16j9oFubGLQTkBb6wGons5doC/IMG_0122.jpg)![IMG_0120.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmR1B75kJdmQ1UShsfiKFm98oUwiwG3NytrZ6XETP7q6Eo/IMG_0120.jpg)
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steemdelegated 17.894 SP to @mxmagpie
2019/11/02 11:03:00
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mxmagpiepublished a new post: ukge2019-blue-on-blue
2019/11/02 10:46:33
parent author
parent permlinkgeneral-election
authormxmagpie
permlinkukge2019-blue-on-blue
titleUKGE2019: Blue on Blue
bodySerious blue on blue with Farage and Trump shooting down Johnson’s brexit deal and making it explicitly clear that they intend to flog off the NHS and race us all to the bottom. Delightful! Johnson’s response is to make it all about "stopping Corbyn" which a) acknowledges that he could well win (gone and buried are the days of his ‘unelectability’ and b) focuses the debate on Corbyn (and he is fucking awesome, long record of voting history in Parliament and not a blemish on his record outside of that).
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      "body": "Serious blue on blue with Farage and Trump shooting down Johnson’s brexit deal and making it explicitly clear that they intend to flog off the NHS and race us all to the bottom. Delightful! \n\nJohnson’s response is to make it all about \"stopping Corbyn\" which a) acknowledges that he could well win (gone and buried are the days of his ‘unelectability’ and b) focuses the debate on Corbyn (and he is fucking awesome, long record of voting history in Parliament and not a blemish on his record outside of that).",
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2019/11/02 10:36:33
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permlinkdaily-mail-runs-dry
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2019/11/02 10:36:27
voteranomaly
authormxmagpie
permlinkdaily-mail-runs-dry
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mxmagpiepublished a new post: daily-mail-runs-dry
2019/11/02 10:35:24
parent author
parent permlinkgeneral-election
authormxmagpie
permlinkdaily-mail-runs-dry
titleDaily Mail Runs Dry
bodyDaily Mail has ran out of slurs on Corbyn: reporting on the front page yesterday that Johnson and Corbyn are neck and neck on the NHS (36% and 34% respectively), among their own readers. This is a truly remarkable confession, given that the NHS is arguably the number one issue in this country and that Mail readers are arguably the most deranged hard-right section of the British electorate. It goes on to say 1 in 6 Labour supporters are terrified at the prospect of Corbyn becoming PM, which again is 1 in 6 Labour supports who read the Daily Mail. What astounds me is that the Mail managed to get in touch with all six of its Labour Supporting readers. (I think they cheated.)
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      "body": "Daily Mail has ran out of slurs on Corbyn: reporting on the front page yesterday that Johnson and Corbyn are neck and neck on the NHS (36% and 34% respectively), among their own readers.  This is a truly remarkable confession, given that the NHS is arguably the number one issue in this country and that Mail readers are arguably the most deranged hard-right section of the British electorate. \n\nIt goes on to say 1 in 6 Labour supporters are terrified at the prospect of Corbyn becoming PM, which again is 1 in 6 Labour supports who read the Daily Mail.  What astounds me is that the Mail managed to get in touch with all six of its Labour Supporting readers. (I think they cheated.)",
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steemdelegated 5.451 SP to @mxmagpie
2019/09/25 00:47:36
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
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2019/02/05 12:29:51
parent authormxmagpie
parent permlinkpoachers-are-desperate-people
authorsteemitboard
permlinksteemitboard-notify-mxmagpie-20190205t122950000z
title
bodyCongratulations @mxmagpie! You received a personal award! <table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@mxmagpie/birthday1.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 1 year!</td></tr></table> <sub>_[Click here to view your Board](https://steemitboard.com/@mxmagpie)_</sub> > Support [SteemitBoard's project](https://steemit.com/@steemitboard)! **[Vote for its witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1)** and **get one more award**!
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2018/11/16 12:53:57
parent authormxmagpie
parent permlinkpoachers-are-desperate-people
authorkedjom-keku
permlinkre-mxmagpie-poachers-are-desperate-people-20181116t125357962z
title
bodyPoachers are indeed desperate people who energy and efforts goes to waste. If only they could realize how they suffer for someone else to benefit then they will quit and invest their energy in some activity that will benefit them. <p><strong><a href="/@manka">@manka</a></strong><br /> content creator</p> <table> <thead> <tr><th></th><th></th><th></th></tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr><td><center><img src="https://steemitimages.com/0x0/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/50x50/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPn6FQagmENdbFiHUTLpYfaBDehgA9b9zVHKvPzJkfGTo/kedjom-keku.jpg" alt="kedjom-keku.jpg" /></center></td><td><a href="/@kedjom-keku">@kedjom-keku</a></td><td>Conservation Association</td></tr> <tr><td><center><img src="https://steemitimages.com/50x50/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcNsUbep88DodSR2hr6NT4speakfuxGE84NfzNSRHpW2p/KK-icon-plant-tree-Green-outline.png" alt="KK-icon-plant-tree-Green-outline.png" /></center></td><td><a href="/@treeplanter">@treeplanter</a></td><td>Fund-raising upvoting bot</td></tr> <tr><td><center><img src="https://steemitimages.com/70x70/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUBcMKK9QnCoXpVDXnmtvZD9RarYhVokATMEERFAQHx37/FFF-logo-bw.png" alt="FFF-logo-bw.png" /></center></td><td><a href="/@forestfriendly">@forestfriendly</a></td><td>Water Saving bees</td></tr> </tbody> </table>
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steemdelegated 5.573 SP to @mxmagpie
2018/10/16 10:50:21
delegatorsteem
delegateemxmagpie
vesting shares9063.520892 VESTS
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2018/07/17 10:20:03
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2018/07/17 10:19:18
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2018/07/12 06:24:42
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2018/07/12 06:24:30
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parent permlinkpoachers
authormxmagpie
permlinkpoachers-are-desperate-people
titlePoachers are desperate people...
body...desperate people risking their lives to provide ridiculously rich people with stuff they don’t need and only want because they can afford to throw money away in pursuit of status-giving products. Yet another example of how a combination of widespread poverty and extreme wealth create ludicrous inefficiencies. Inequality is the root of all waste, and it is growing worldwide and in most countries.
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2018/07/08 09:34:33
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2018/07/08 09:34:12
parent author
parent permlinktrump
authormxmagpie
permlinkim-not-sure-what-the-rationale-in-insulting-a-potus-is
titleIm not sure what the rationale in insulting a POTUS is.
bodyWhat is to be gained? Trump appears to be on the verge of some historic peace deals, with Korea and Russia. How will [the blimp] look if he actually pulls them off? I was anyone but Clinton, which was of course Trump after Sanders was robbed. Would not call myself a supporter, but I am very excited indeed about the prospect of peace in Korea and a US withdrawal from Syria. I would like to know what it would take for people to admit Clinton would have been worse; surely the above would qualify? The fact that they met at all is a good thing. As is the fact he has agreed to a summit with Putin. Not good enough: what i want to see is follow through. Would you change your mind if peace was brought to Korea? What about if the wars in Syria and Ukraine were cut short? It may not happen, but im convinced we would never have come this far with clinton. It seems Obama got away with mass muder because he was able to come across as a decent guy. Will the reverse be true should Trump achieve significant acts of peace making? Hopefully we will find out. Carrying on yes, but Trump has started no new wars to date. NB Im not celebrating anything as of yet. I liked the Iran deal, but I don’t think it equates to peace in Korea. I also do credit Obama with not overtly invading Syria after the (false) chemical attacks. We shouldn't 'trust' Trump or his 'reassurances'. That goes for all politicians, period. Invading Venezuela would be sheer madness, but it has to be said, Trump hasn’t invaded anyone, or overthrown anyone. That is more than you can say for Obama at this stage of his presidency. She was the candidate of war. As for the Iran deal, the fact its scrapping by the US has driven a wedge between the US and Europe could well have positive consequences. Why shouldnt he escalate against ISIS? Id like as much wedge as possible [between Europe and US], and im glad Trump is providing so many of them. As for invading Iran, it would be a catastrophe for the US: if they cant even make a success out of invading Iraq how are they going to take on Iran? It is so much larger and well developed. If he does it, then im wrong, but one of my main fears about Clinton was she'd do just that. I think the elimination of ISIS, as a territorial based entity, is a good thing. Furthermore, i dont see an alternative. So you would like Middle Eastern countries to take a lead in fighting ISIS? Countries like Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Iran? That is exactly how ISIS have been defeated, along with Russian support. NB: Russia was invited by Syria to help combat ISIS, unlike the US or the UK and France.
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      "body": "What is to be gained? Trump appears to be on the verge of some historic peace deals, with Korea and Russia. How will [the blimp] look if he actually pulls them off?\n\nI was anyone but Clinton, which was of course Trump after Sanders was robbed. Would not call myself a supporter, but I am very excited indeed about the prospect of peace in Korea and a US withdrawal from Syria. I would like to know what it would take for people to admit Clinton would have been worse; surely the above would qualify?\n\nThe fact that they met at all is a good thing. As is the fact he has agreed to a summit with Putin. Not good enough: what i want to see is follow through. Would you change your mind if peace was brought to Korea? What about if the wars in Syria and Ukraine were cut short? It may not happen, but im convinced we would never have come this far with clinton.\n\n It seems Obama got away with mass muder because he was able to come across as a decent guy. Will the reverse be true should Trump achieve significant acts of peace making? Hopefully we will find out.\n\nCarrying on yes, but Trump has started no new wars to date. NB Im not celebrating anything as of yet. I liked the Iran deal, but I don’t think it equates to peace in Korea. I also do credit Obama with not overtly invading Syria after the (false) chemical attacks. We shouldn't 'trust' Trump or his 'reassurances'. That goes for all politicians, period. Invading Venezuela would be sheer madness, but it has to be said, Trump hasn’t invaded anyone, or overthrown anyone. That is more than you can say for Obama at this stage of his presidency.\n\nShe was the candidate of war. As for the Iran deal, the fact its scrapping by the US has driven a wedge between the US and Europe could well have positive consequences.\n\nWhy shouldnt he escalate against ISIS? Id like as much wedge as possible [between Europe and US], and im glad Trump is providing so many of them. As for invading Iran, it would be a catastrophe for the US: if they cant even make a success out of invading Iraq how are they going to take on Iran? It is so much larger and well developed. If he does it, then im wrong, but one of my main fears about Clinton was she'd do just that.\n\nI think the elimination of ISIS, as a territorial based entity, is a good thing. Furthermore, i dont see an alternative.\n\n So you would like Middle Eastern countries to take a lead in fighting ISIS? Countries like Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Iran? That is exactly how ISIS have been defeated, along with Russian support. NB: Russia was invited by Syria to help combat ISIS, unlike the US or the UK and France.",
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2018/07/08 08:44:03
parent author
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authormxmagpie
permlinkhow-bad-can-trump-be-if-he-has-been-bad-for-all-these-bad-things
titleHow bad can Trump be if he has been bad for all these bad things?
bodyBad things Trump has been bad for: Free trade: TPP, TTIP, NAFTA, WTO. European institutions: NATO, EU. European Leaders: Merkel, May and Macron. In Ukraine: Poroshenko. In Syria: ISIS, Al Qaeda and Israel. Northeast Asia: Militarization of the Korean peninsula.
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steemdelegated 18.137 SP to @mxmagpie
2018/05/15 03:15:51
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mxmagpieclaimed reward balance: 0.011 SBD, 0.004 SP
2018/03/05 16:27:39
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2018/03/05 16:26:06
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2018/03/05 16:26:06
parent author
parent permlinkfuture
authormxmagpie
permlinksomewhere-near-cambridge-2
titleSomewhere near Cambridge 2
bodyThe Prime Minister dismissed her security council with a simple “thankyou, gentlemen” and was in her chambers within moments. She rolled up her skirt and ripped the patches off her thighs. She lit a Marlborough Red with one deep draw, put a disposable glove on her right hand and removed the cigarette. With her left she turned on the extractor fan. Her mind raced in a calculated fashion. That affair with John Jackson needed dissection. She went along with his intervention during the meeting, as it suited her purpose. But really? He was probably a mole. They probably all were. Her Partners would already know. So too the Russians. She didn’t see options, and that concerned her greatly. John Jackson had enabled her to pass this manoeuvre off as someone else’s brain child. And that was far too convenient. The special relationship’s days were numbered, but how she went about extricating her country from the bastard’s parasitic grip was key. She didn’t give a fuck about ‘democracy’, ‘women’s lib’. They got her where she was today, but as principles they fell way short. Look at the Chinese. Look at the Iranians and Russians. They manufactured their coup unhindered by these concepts. Of course, outright rejection would never work in the West. The Saudi’s reaped the whirl-wind of their self-righteous bigotry, even as she smoked. ‘But if ideology gets in the way, it’s flawed.’ ‘That’s why The West was going down; they took their eye off the ball; too much out-sourcing; decadence at the top, and the rest left to fuss over crumbs. Damn shame. They could have ended history and dictated a new future. But they believed their own propaganda. Classic mistake. Fatal error.’ How was she going to play it? With a record approval rating she was going nowhere without a fight.
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      "body": "The Prime Minister dismissed her security council with a simple “thankyou, gentlemen” and was in her chambers within moments.  She rolled up her skirt and ripped the patches off her thighs.  She lit a Marlborough Red with one deep draw, put a disposable glove on her right hand and removed the cigarette.  With her left she turned on the extractor fan.  Her mind raced in a calculated fashion.  That affair with John Jackson needed dissection.  She went along with his intervention during the meeting, as it suited her purpose. But really?\nHe was probably a mole.  They probably all were.  Her Partners would already know. So too the Russians.  She didn’t see options, and that concerned her greatly.  John Jackson had enabled her to pass this manoeuvre off as someone else’s brain child.  And that was far too convenient.  The special relationship’s days were numbered, but how she went about extricating her country from the bastard’s parasitic grip was key.  \n She didn’t give a fuck about ‘democracy’, ‘women’s lib’.  They got her where she was today, but as principles they fell way short.  Look at the Chinese.  Look at the Iranians and Russians.   They manufactured their coup unhindered by these concepts.   Of course, outright rejection would never work in the West.  The Saudi’s reaped the whirl-wind of their self-righteous bigotry, even as she smoked.  ‘But if ideology gets in the way, it’s flawed.’ ‘That’s why The West was going down; they took their eye off the ball; too much out-sourcing; decadence at the top, and the rest left to fuss over crumbs.  Damn shame.   They could have ended history and dictated a new future.  But they believed their own propaganda. Classic mistake.  Fatal error.’  \nHow was she going to play it? With a record approval rating she was going nowhere without a fight.",
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2018/03/05 16:09:42
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2018/03/05 16:09:42
parent author
parent permlinkfuture
authormxmagpie
permlinksomewhere-near-cambridge-1
titleSomewhere Near Cambridge 1
bodyHalf-way between royal hall and nuclear bunker the room was splendid but lacking windows. Concrete and steel showed between the ornate décor and furnishings. ‘When was it built?’ ‘How many more were there?’ The Prime Minister didn’t know. She was, however, convinced her government could rule from London no longer. She was on the brink of having The Mayor declare martial law over the whole city. It was all but in place anyway. But she feared the consequences. Of course, she feared the consequences of not doing so equally. Her rule stood on a knife-edge. Her security council was in place and waiting: so many old men with macs and iPhones sitting around a massive mahogany table. “Al Saud is dead.” She said. “Who the fuck is Bin Fiscal? What the fuck is our policy now?” “What the fuck are we going to do if the Iranians bomb the eastern fields?” She had such an impeccable stage performance. That was undoubtedly why she was Prime Minister. Gifted. It stood in stark contrast to her demeanour backstage. “Tactical nukes.” Lord Byrant declared. She glared around the room, at everyone but Lord Byrant. “Is that the best you’ve got?” Her tone made it abundantly clear that they were all fired if it was. “If I may, Prime Minister…” ‘John Jackson’ she thought. ‘Were any of these men brilliant?’ ‘They all certainly thought so.’ ‘Was he?’ “Yes?” She demanded. “If the eastern oil fields are compromised we will need to dramatically reform our relations with the Iranians. At least in the short term. And for that we need leverage. Leverage only the Russians can provide… and if an attack is avoided, we can make out like our overtures saved a long-standing ally from Iranian aggression.” “Overtures!” “To the Russians!” “My good God!” complained Lord Byrant frantically. A look of annoyance flashed across her face. Byrant fell silent. “How do we present that to our Partners?” she said. “The Americans are in the same situation.” “Meaning they might try and present themselves as the peacemakers?” “No, McCain has too much red-baiting history… better for him to let us take the lead and present it as tossing the trusty Brits a bone. Then, if it all goes belly-up, he can leave us taking the flack.” “Belly-up?” “Well, you know, like the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia folding, the oil fields falling into Shia hands and The Iranians and the Russians playing us, instead of us them.” “Good God!” exclaimed Lord Byrant to no one in particular. “We need the Israelis on board then.” She said. “The Turks aren’t going to like it, but they are complicit in this as much as anyone. Bottom line is both need to be deterred from making any more provocative moves.” She caught Jackson’s eye. “What do mean to say?” she demanded. “Just that both are not likely to take this lying down, but both need to make concessions. What if we could make them feel like they were getting something in return?” “Like?” “Well, I mean, how about a grand initiative? An inclusive Arab-lead peace program? Something out of Cairo?” “What, from Muhani?” “Ah, well, no, err… we would need… someone else.”
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      "body": "Half-way between royal hall and nuclear bunker the room was splendid but lacking windows. Concrete and steel showed between the ornate décor and furnishings. ‘When was it built?’ ‘How many more were there?’  The Prime Minister didn’t know.  She was, however, convinced her government could rule from London no longer.  She was on the brink of having The Mayor declare martial law over the whole city.  It was all but in place anyway.  But she feared the consequences.  Of course, she feared the consequences of not doing so equally.  Her rule stood on a knife-edge.\nHer security council was in place and waiting: so many old men with macs and iPhones sitting around a massive mahogany table.  “Al Saud is dead.”  She said. “Who the fuck is Bin Fiscal? What the fuck is our policy now?” “What the fuck are we going to do if the Iranians bomb the eastern fields?”  She had such an impeccable stage performance.  That was undoubtedly why she was Prime Minister.  Gifted.  It stood in stark contrast to her demeanour backstage.\n“Tactical nukes.”  Lord Byrant declared.\nShe glared around the room, at everyone but Lord Byrant.  \n“Is that the best you’ve got?”\nHer tone made it abundantly clear that they were all fired if it was.\n“If I may, Prime Minister…”\n‘John Jackson’ she thought.  ‘Were any of these men brilliant?’ ‘They all certainly thought so.’ ‘Was he?’\n“Yes?” She demanded.\n“If the eastern oil fields are compromised we will need to dramatically reform our relations with the Iranians. At least in the short term. And for that we need leverage.  Leverage only the Russians can provide… and if an attack is avoided, we can make out like our overtures saved a long-standing ally from Iranian aggression.” \n\n“Overtures!” “To the Russians!” “My good God!” complained Lord Byrant frantically.\nA look of annoyance flashed across her face. Byrant fell silent.\n“How do we present that to our Partners?” she said.\n“The Americans are in the same situation.” \n“Meaning they might try and present themselves as the peacemakers?”\n“No, McCain has too much red-baiting history… better for him to let us take the lead and present it as tossing the trusty Brits a bone.  Then, if it all goes belly-up, he can leave us taking the flack.”\n“Belly-up?”\n“Well, you know, like the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia folding, the oil fields falling into Shia hands and The Iranians and the Russians playing us, instead of us them.”  \n“Good God!” exclaimed Lord Byrant to no one in particular.\n“We need the Israelis on board then.” She said.  “The Turks aren’t going to like it, but they are complicit in this as much as anyone.  Bottom line is both need to be deterred from making any more provocative moves.”\nShe caught Jackson’s eye.\n“What do mean to say?” she demanded.\n“Just that both are not likely to take this lying down, but both need to make concessions.  What if we could make them feel like they were getting something in return?”\n“Like?”\n“Well, I mean, how about a grand initiative? An inclusive Arab-lead peace program? Something out of Cairo?”\n“What, from Muhani?”\n“Ah, well, no, err… we would need… someone else.”",
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mxmagpiereceived 0.011 SBD, 0.004 SP author reward for @mxmagpie / the-fall-of-cameron-clinton-and-the-rise-of-brexit-trump
2018/02/15 09:00:24
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2018/02/12 12:48:21
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2018/02/12 12:48:21
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titleResponse to calls for Brexit2
bodyhttp://azvsas.blogspot.co.uk/2017/12/6-months-after-election-3-resignations.html?m=1 First of all, opposition to Brexit doesn't need to involve a second referendum: Brexit was a non-binding plebiscite and moreover in the UK parliament is sovereign. Secondly, various European countries have had referendums on Europe over the years, and they typically vote against it only to be told they need to vote again (and then they vote for it). This should be a worrying phenomenon for everyone and I for one do not want to encourage it. Thirdly, it is far from clear what the political ramifications of such a move would be (calling for a Brexit II referendum). As it stands, May is digging herself deeper and deeper into a multi-faceted constitutional crisis, and as "one shouldn’t interrupt one's enemy when they're making a mistake" it seems May should not be interrupted repeatedly. (Corbyn has always focused on opposing neo-liberalism and austerity, to his credit.) In agreeing to a soft border with the Republic May has committed herself to uphold all common market regulations, just with no say over them (how she is going to reconcile that with her own party is an open question). This means that should Scotland vote for independence in order to remain within the EU there would be no need for a hard border with England. As Scots are pretty much 50-50 on independence within the EU vs Union Brexit and the Scottish parliament have legislated for the Scottish government to hold INDY2 this could well prove decisive in ending the Union with Scotland. Meanwhile in Northern Ireland the DUP have committed to reinstating the Irish Assembly and giving it a say on the border issue, thus requiring input and collaboration with Sinn Fein. May has to somehow come up with a decent trade agreement and then get the whole Brexit deal passed through Parliament. If she cant then the UK is faced with the prospect of crashing out of the EU without a deal, which will either mean crippling economic damage or just agreeing to do everything as before without any say on any of it until we work out what else to do. In such a situation we could well see Scottish independence finally realized, and unfortunately a destabilization of Ireland as forces there agitate for/against the same. It seems to me that opposing Brexit should be done when it becomes clear what kind of deal May has managed to negotiate, both within Westminster and in the form of INDY2. My main fear (other than Corbyn/MacDonnell assassinations) is that this resistance somehow clashes and ends up failing (Something equating to a non-league team missing an open goal in the cup final...). In short, how and when it's done is indeed of great importance, but calling for a second referendum now is dubious at best. I'm not sure exactly what is the best way to take the Tories down, but May and her party are in a hell of a mess and have astute political opponents, a pissed-off electorate and tanking economy. http://bellacaledonia.org.uk/2017/12/08/arlene-foster-helps-both-ways/ https://wingsoverscotland.com/anybodys-game/#more-100225 https://wingsoverscotland.com/the-lesson/#more-99866
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      "body": "http://azvsas.blogspot.co.uk/2017/12/6-months-after-election-3-resignations.html?m=1\n\nFirst of all, opposition to Brexit doesn't need to involve a second referendum: Brexit was a non-binding plebiscite and moreover in the UK parliament is sovereign. \n\nSecondly, various European countries have had referendums on Europe over the years, and they typically vote against it only to be told they need to vote again (and then they vote for it).  This should be a worrying phenomenon for everyone and I for one do not want to encourage it. \n\nThirdly, it is far from clear what the political ramifications of such a move would be (calling for a Brexit II referendum).  As it stands, May is digging herself deeper and deeper into a multi-faceted constitutional crisis, and as \"one shouldn’t interrupt one's enemy when they're making a mistake\" it seems May should not be interrupted repeatedly. (Corbyn has always focused on opposing neo-liberalism and austerity, to his credit.) \n\nIn agreeing to a soft border with the Republic May has committed herself to uphold all common market regulations, just with no say over them (how she is going to reconcile that with her own party is an open question).  This means that should Scotland vote for independence in order to remain within the EU there would be no need for a hard border with England.  As Scots are pretty much 50-50 on independence within the EU vs Union Brexit and the Scottish parliament have legislated for the Scottish government to hold INDY2 this could well prove decisive in ending the Union with Scotland.   \n\nMeanwhile in Northern Ireland the DUP have committed to reinstating the Irish Assembly and giving it a say on the border issue, thus requiring input and collaboration with Sinn Fein.   \n\nMay has to somehow come up with a decent trade agreement and then get the whole Brexit deal passed through Parliament.  If she cant then the UK is faced with the prospect of crashing out of the EU without a deal, which will either mean crippling economic damage or just agreeing to do everything as before without any say on any of it until we work out what else to do. \n\nIn such a situation we could well see Scottish independence finally realized, and unfortunately a destabilization of Ireland as forces there agitate for/against the same.  \n\nIt seems to me that opposing Brexit should be done when it becomes clear what kind of deal May has managed to negotiate, both within Westminster and in the form of INDY2.  My main fear (other than Corbyn/MacDonnell assassinations) is that this resistance somehow clashes and ends up failing (Something equating to a non-league team missing an open goal in the cup final...).  In short, how and when it's done is indeed of great importance, but calling for a second referendum now is dubious at best.  I'm not sure exactly what is the best way to take the Tories down, but May and her party are in a hell of a mess and have astute political opponents, a pissed-off electorate and tanking economy.   \n\nhttp://bellacaledonia.org.uk/2017/12/08/arlene-foster-helps-both-ways/ \n\nhttps://wingsoverscotland.com/anybodys-game/#more-100225 \n\nhttps://wingsoverscotland.com/the-lesson/#more-99866",
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2018/02/09 18:43:36
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2018/02/09 15:28:48
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2018/02/09 15:27:09
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2018/02/09 15:27:09
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permlinkam-i-still-happy-about-my-brexit-vote
titleAm I still happy about my Brexit vote?
bodyFirst of all, what could happen that would make me regret my vote? If the Tories recover from Brexit and go on to dominate British politics for the coming decade, somehow managing to win the next election and thwart Scottish Independence, then I would have to turn over my Brexit vote to Captain Hindsight. I predict they won’t and I predicted they wouldn’t if Brexit happened. I also contend that they could well have done without Brexit: What would have happened if England/the UK had scraped a Remain victory1? 1) Cameron would have been lauded as a hero by the Tories, EU top-brass and even high profile Labour and the lib-dem figures. As would have Blair, Brown, May, and various other despicable people. Instead Cameron has been ridiculed and castrated; forced to live the rest of his sorry existence outside of Westminster. 2) Johnson would able to play the gallant loser and ‘whip-up the Tory base’. Instead he’s been exposed as a liar and positioned, by May, to take the blame for a lot of the Brexit mess. (He could still be Mayor of London right now, but thankfully we have a Labour Mayor, albeit a Blairite.) 3) Farage and UKIP would still be plastered all over the MSM. I’m still disgusted about how much coverage they get, but thankfully they have been shattered as an electoral force. (For the record I consider them a ploy by the establishment to dress up a load of Tories as anti-establishment and thus a) poach disenfranchised Labour voters (many of whom would never vote ‘Tory’) and b) make the Tory party look ‘less racist’.) 4) All the dirty lies that the Leave campaign told wouldn’t have come out. £350 million/week etc. 5) The chicken coup wouldn’t have happened; whilst the Blairite scum would have surely got the knives out for Corbyn at some point, they could not have made more of a mess of it than they did. (Arrgh!) 6) The Scottish Parliament would not have passed a bill for an INDE II. (Something that may well have been an important factor in May’s decision to hold an election.) 7) The Tories would be about to hold a leadership contest, one which May and Johnson could compete in, which would include a large dose of hypothetical Brexit, and which would look reasonably respectable. Instead the one they tried holding was so excruciatingly embarrassing they called it off and crowned May, thus demonstrating to everyone their utter contempt for democracy and debate, as well as their lack of individuals with talent/competency. (And their new front-runner is now best known for believing rape victims should be denied the option of abortion.) Conversely, I think the case can already be made that important victories have been won by the Left in England and the Independence Movement in Scotland, and these have happened very much in the context of Brexit. What has happened that wouldn’t have? 1) May might not have been PM at all, and certainly wouldn’t have been there as long. Personally think May has been a terrible PM in all respects, notably PM question time where she has been repeatedly trounced by Corbyn. She has absolutely fuck all charisma. She doesn’t inspire loyalty, or run a good team. I don’t think anyone could have done much worse for the Tories, hence I’m happy the stupid bitch is there fucking it up for them. 2) The Tory’s wouldn’t have lost their majority. Let’s face it, they made the classic error of empire: they believed their own lies. They actually convinced themselves that Corbyn was weak, and that they could crush the left for a decade or more. 3) The coalition with the DUP wouldn’t have happened. People didn’t even really know who they were, then all of a sudden these bigoted arseholes are getting billions for backing up May, who lost by her own definition, and had told a nurse using a food bank that there ‘is no magic money tree’. Way to publically drag the whole establishment through the mud; coalition of chaos eat-your-heart-out. 4) There were two things that were going to have to happen once the general election was called: the back-stabbing of Corbyn by ‘the left’ would have to quieten down, and the focus would have to shift to policies. Corbyn’s unpopularity was due to continuous reporting of the back-stabbing and a black-out on all actual polices; once that was minimised the polls swung dramatically. That would not have happened in the absence of a general election, and hence Brexit. 5) Labour would not have won its biggest share of the vote since 1997 and the biggest swing ever. Completely trashing the entirety of the MSM and a whole load of so called ‘experts’ in the process. There was also a boost in Labour Party membership, and considerable energy at the grassroots. 6) The Labour Manifesto would not have been released, which is in itself an important document and significant victory, one which demonstrates how much the terms of debate have shifted since Corbyn was elected leader. The above are all things that represent the elite control being significantly eroded. If May / the Tories do cling to power for another five years it will be because of the bone-chilling fear the establishment has of PM Corbyn. They will lurch from farce to farce and people will be so gagging for change by then that a Labour government will be delightfully likely and decisive. As for the SNP, they are still the dominant force in Scottish politics and the time will come for INDE II; a couple of years of Brexit mess should be enough to see opinion swing finally in favour of ‘better off alone’. After that it’s a question of timing; in all likelihood before the next general election meaning that the Tories will be fighting a campaign with their recent presidence over the disintegration of UK fresh in the electorate’s mind. So what could have made me regret my Brexit vote? Of utmost importance to the future of this country are the two fronts of resistance to the neo-liberal/austerity agenda of the British State: 1) A Left-wing Labour Party. 2) The Scottish Independence Movement. So if May, Johnson, Davis and the EU were happily hashing out the terms of a horrific Tory Brexit with minimal detrimental economic repercussions and thus doing reasonably well in the polls even as Scottish Independence was somehow defeated for a generation and the Labour Party unable to come up with a decent leader then, yes, I would be seriously lamenting my Brexit vote right now. But how is/was any of that conceivable? Given that: Severing ties with our main trading partners, ones which we have deep and complex integration with, was always going to be messy and expensive. An expensive Tory mess in other words. Brexit was always going strengthen Scottish Independence, directly through providing a “material change in circumstances” and indirectly through destabilising Ireland. (Whilst also high-lighting the biggest difference between English and Scottish public opinion.) Brexit was never Corbyn’s fault, if anything Corbyn is Brexit’s fault2. All Corbyn has done is fight against neo-liberalism and austerity, which is more than you can say for EU by the way. (In fact the only conflict Corbyn has ever had with the EU its imposition of neo-liberalism and austerity.) So what could, conceivably, have happened? Markets and business being less spooked by Brexit due to reassurances that it’s going to be both soft and pro-business, and a fair bit more competence coming from May including clarity about how Brexit is going to work, and when, along with a less antagonistic negotiations with the EU27, and less court cases being brought against them and won. (Meaning that the Tories were looking fairly solid electorally, instead of the complete shamble-farce that they are currently.) The SNP being outmanoeuvred somehow on the INDE II issue (as they have been to an extent by the recent general election, on the grounds of electorate fatigue). Corbyn dropping down dead and being replaced by some pro-Remain centrist that manages to get everyone excited about opposing Brexit whilst distracting them from opposing austerity. With a compromised Labour Party, May and Labour would have played a nice little game of cat-and-mouse on the Brexit battle-ground; instead Corbyn has made it about opposing austerity and neo-liberalism throughout. What frustrates me is that instead of appreciating that the terms of debate, and the overall prevailing forces, have shifted dramatically in favour of genuinely reforming society, people are distraught that the little cat-and-mouse game isn’t on. All these petitions and polls and parties aimed at trying to Remain, completely miss the point: we need these bigoted filthy-rich arseholes out of office. That includes Blair and Brown and any of their supposedly centrist ilk. We need Corbyn and MacDonnell in no. 10 and 11; we need a complete U-turn on all policies right across the board; no to war, no to nukes, investment in housing, education, NHS, public transport and the green economy. I wrote last summer that: “the danger in all of this [Brexit], is to lose sight of what’s of vital importance: reverse austerity, stop paying for war. This is what Jeremy Corbyn has devoted his life to, and seeing such a man gain the high office of an important country is a nightmare scenario for the ruling class… their current ploys is to discredit his ability to campaign for a worthy cause. To believe this, to believe Corbyn is incapable of running and effective general election campaign, is to fall into a trap. Every person who believes this, if it means they withhold even a little bit of support for Corbyn, weakens the prospects of seeing a genuinely anti-austerity and anti-war Prime Minister.” (http://mxmagpie.uk/main-danger-brexit/) Now, post general election 2017, the ruling class can no longer maintain the myth that Corbyn is incompetent, weak or whatever. However, the establishment are now using Brexit as a stick to beat Corbyn with, and are to some extent succeeding. Despite this, Corbyn’s alternative seems more and more plausible, he has grown as a speaker and a leader, and so has the competence, credentials and loyalty of his front bench. Labour is ahead in the polls, winning by-elections en mass, and Corbyn is favourite to be PM after the next General Election. Reforming the Labour Party. Redefining the terms of debate. Forcing u-turn after u-turn on the government. Offering a genuine alternative. Could this have been the case if Brexit had been defeated? Id like to hear how. Originally published here: http://thesaker.is/am-i-still-happy-about-my-brexit-vote/ and here: http://mxmagpie.uk/i-still-happy-brexit-vote/
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      "permlink": "am-i-still-happy-about-my-brexit-vote",
      "title": "Am I still happy about my Brexit vote?",
      "body": "First of all, what could happen that would make me regret my vote? \n\nIf the Tories recover from Brexit and go on to dominate British politics for the coming decade, somehow managing to win the next election and thwart Scottish Independence, then I would have to turn over my Brexit vote to Captain Hindsight.\n\nI predict they won’t and I predicted they wouldn’t if Brexit happened.  I also contend that they could well have done without Brexit:\n\nWhat would have happened if England/the UK had scraped a Remain victory1?\n\n1)  Cameron would have been lauded as a hero by the Tories, EU top-brass and even high profile Labour and the lib-dem figures.  As would have Blair, Brown, May, and various other despicable people.  Instead Cameron has been ridiculed and castrated; forced to live the rest of his sorry existence outside of Westminster.\n2)  Johnson would able to play the gallant loser and ‘whip-up the Tory base’. Instead he’s been exposed as a liar and positioned, by May, to take the blame for a lot of the Brexit mess.  (He could still be Mayor of London right now, but thankfully we have a Labour Mayor, albeit a Blairite.)\n3)  Farage and UKIP would still be plastered all over the MSM. I’m still disgusted about how much coverage they get, but thankfully they have been shattered as an electoral force. (For the record I consider them a ploy by the establishment to dress up a load of Tories as anti-establishment and thus a) poach disenfranchised Labour voters (many of whom would never vote ‘Tory’) and b) make the Tory party look ‘less racist’.)\n4)  All the dirty lies that the Leave campaign told wouldn’t have come out. £350 million/week etc.\n5)  The chicken coup wouldn’t have happened; whilst the Blairite scum would have surely got the knives out for Corbyn at some point, they could not have made more of a mess of it than they did. (Arrgh!)\n6)  The Scottish Parliament would not have passed a bill for an INDE II. (Something that may well have been an important factor in May’s decision to hold an election.)\n7)  The Tories would be about to hold a leadership contest, one which May and Johnson could compete in, which would include a large dose of hypothetical Brexit, and which would look reasonably respectable. Instead the one they tried holding was so excruciatingly embarrassing they called it off and crowned May, thus demonstrating to everyone their utter contempt for democracy and debate, as well as their lack of individuals with talent/competency.\n(And their new front-runner is now best known for believing rape victims should be denied the option of abortion.)\n\n \n\nConversely, I think the case can already be made that important victories have been won by the Left in England and the Independence Movement in Scotland, and these have happened very much in the context of Brexit.\n\nWhat has happened that wouldn’t have?\n\n1)  May might not have been PM at all, and certainly wouldn’t have been there as long. Personally think May has been a terrible PM in all respects, notably PM question time where she has been repeatedly trounced by Corbyn.  She has absolutely fuck all charisma.  She doesn’t inspire loyalty, or run a good team.  I don’t think anyone could have done much worse for the Tories, hence I’m happy the stupid bitch is there fucking it up for them.\n2)  The Tory’s wouldn’t have lost their majority. Let’s face it, they made the classic error of empire: they believed their own lies.  They actually convinced themselves that Corbyn was weak, and that they could crush the left for a decade or more.\n3)  The coalition with the DUP wouldn’t have happened. People didn’t even really know who they were, then all of a sudden these bigoted arseholes are getting billions for backing up May, who lost by her own definition, and had told a nurse using a food bank that there ‘is no magic money tree’.  Way to publically drag the whole establishment through the mud; coalition of chaos eat-your-heart-out.\n4)  There were two things that were going to have to happen once the general election was called: the back-stabbing of Corbyn by ‘the left’ would have to quieten down, and the focus would have to shift to policies. Corbyn’s unpopularity was due to continuous reporting of the back-stabbing and a black-out on all actual polices; once that was minimised the polls swung dramatically.  That would not have happened in the absence of a general election, and hence Brexit.\n5)  Labour would not have won its biggest share of the vote since 1997 and the biggest swing ever. Completely trashing the entirety of the MSM and a whole load of so called ‘experts’ in the process. There was also a boost in Labour Party membership, and considerable energy at the grassroots.\n6)  The Labour Manifesto would not have been released, which is in itself an important document and significant victory, one which demonstrates how much the terms of debate have shifted since Corbyn was elected leader.\n \n\nThe above are all things that represent the elite control being significantly eroded.\n\nIf May / the Tories do cling to power for another five years it will be because of the bone-chilling fear the establishment has of PM Corbyn.  They will lurch from farce to farce and people will be so gagging for change by then that a Labour government will be delightfully likely and decisive.\n\nAs for the SNP, they are still the dominant force in Scottish politics and the time will come for INDE II; a couple of years of Brexit mess should be enough to see opinion swing finally in favour of ‘better off alone’.  After that it’s a question of timing; in all likelihood before the next general election meaning that the Tories will be fighting a campaign with their recent presidence over the disintegration of UK fresh in the electorate’s mind.\n\n \n\nSo what could have made me regret my Brexit vote?\n\nOf utmost importance to the future of this country are the two fronts of resistance to the neo-liberal/austerity agenda of the British State:\n\n1)  A Left-wing Labour Party.\n2)  The Scottish Independence Movement.\n\nSo if May, Johnson, Davis and the EU were happily hashing out the terms of a horrific Tory Brexit with minimal detrimental economic repercussions and thus doing reasonably well in the polls even as Scottish Independence was somehow defeated for a generation and the Labour Party unable to come up with a decent leader then, yes, I would be seriously lamenting my Brexit vote right now.\n\nBut how is/was any of that conceivable? Given that:\n\nSevering ties with our main trading partners, ones which we have deep and complex integration with, was always going to be messy and expensive. An expensive Tory mess in other words.\n\nBrexit was always going strengthen Scottish Independence, directly through providing a “material change in circumstances” and indirectly through destabilising Ireland. (Whilst also high-lighting the biggest difference between English and Scottish public opinion.)\n\nBrexit was never Corbyn’s fault, if anything Corbyn is Brexit’s fault2. All Corbyn has done is fight against neo-liberalism and austerity, which is more than you can say for EU by the way.  (In fact the only conflict Corbyn has ever had with the EU its imposition of neo-liberalism and austerity.)\n\n\nSo what could, conceivably, have happened?\n\nMarkets and business being less spooked by Brexit due to reassurances that it’s going to be both soft and pro-business, and a fair bit more competence coming from May including clarity about how Brexit is going to work, and when, along with a less antagonistic negotiations with the EU27, and less court cases being brought against them and won. (Meaning that the Tories were looking fairly solid electorally, instead of the complete shamble-farce that they are currently.)\nThe SNP being outmanoeuvred somehow on the INDE II issue (as they have been to an extent by the recent general election, on the grounds of electorate fatigue).\nCorbyn dropping down dead and being replaced by some pro-Remain centrist that manages to get everyone excited about opposing Brexit whilst distracting them from opposing austerity.\n \n\nWith a compromised Labour Party, May and Labour would have played a nice little game of cat-and-mouse on the Brexit battle-ground; instead Corbyn has made it about opposing austerity and neo-liberalism throughout.\n\nWhat frustrates me is that instead of appreciating that the terms of debate, and the overall prevailing forces, have shifted dramatically in favour of genuinely reforming society, people are distraught that the little cat-and-mouse game isn’t on.\n\nAll these petitions and polls and parties aimed at trying to Remain, completely miss the point: we need these bigoted filthy-rich arseholes out of office.  That includes Blair and Brown and any of their supposedly centrist ilk.  We need Corbyn and MacDonnell in no. 10 and 11; we need a complete U-turn on all policies right across the board; no to war, no to nukes, investment in housing, education, NHS, public transport and the green economy.\n\nI wrote last summer that:\n\n“the danger in all of this [Brexit], is to lose sight of what’s of vital importance: reverse austerity, stop paying for war.  This is what Jeremy Corbyn has devoted his life to, and seeing such a man gain the high office of an important country is a nightmare scenario for the ruling class… their current ploys is to discredit his ability to campaign for a worthy cause.  To believe this, to believe Corbyn is incapable of running and effective general election campaign, is to fall into a trap.  Every person who believes this, if it means they withhold even a little bit of support for Corbyn, weakens the prospects of seeing a genuinely anti-austerity and anti-war Prime Minister.” (http://mxmagpie.uk/main-danger-brexit/)\n\nNow, post general election 2017, the ruling class can no longer maintain the myth that Corbyn is incompetent, weak or whatever.  However, the establishment are now using Brexit as a stick to beat Corbyn with, and are to some extent succeeding.\n\n \n\nDespite this, Corbyn’s alternative seems more and more plausible, he has grown as a speaker and a leader, and so has the competence, credentials and loyalty of his front bench.  Labour is ahead in the polls, winning by-elections en mass, and Corbyn is favourite to be PM after the next General Election.  Reforming the Labour Party.  Redefining the terms of debate.  Forcing u-turn after u-turn on the government.  Offering a genuine alternative.  Could this have been the case if Brexit had been defeated?  Id like to hear how.\n\nOriginally published here: http://thesaker.is/am-i-still-happy-about-my-brexit-vote/\nand here: http://mxmagpie.uk/i-still-happy-brexit-vote/",
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2018/02/09 14:57:03
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2018/02/08 19:37:39
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2018/02/08 10:59:42
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2018/02/08 09:02:30
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bodyHi! I am a robot. I just upvoted you! I found similar content that readers might be interested in: https://thesaker.is/the-fall-of-cameron-clinton-and-the-rise-of-brexit-trump/
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2018/02/08 09:02:18
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2018/02/08 09:00:24
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2018/02/08 09:00:24
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bodyGood–press bad-press You’ve got two arms of the main-stream media (MSM) the right and the supposedly centre-left. The right arm gets people fired-up with a mixed message of overt racism (typically anti-immigrant) and jingoistic nonsense, with anti-establishment narratives thrown in as sweeteners (typically anti-EU). The left arm then points out the despicable nature of the former (‘the racists’) denies any anti-establishment content and presents the status-quo/free-market-capitalism as the only alternative, championing the freedom of movement and identity. So, they get an opposing group of people fired-up about the idea of opposing hard borders and restrictions on travel and marrying whoever you want to. Divide and Rule They thus divide the vast majority of the population, who have an interest in fundamentally reforming society, into two conflicting groups, both of which they control to a large extent through the two arms of the MSM; one through racist threats (‘they’ are taking all our welfare and jobs, ‘they’ are going to impose sharia law) and the other through the threat of racists (surely, we are better than these far-right lunatics? They are the only alternative to us). So, society continues to get more and more unequal, and more and more people at the bottom are more and more desperate, whilst increasingly few ridiculously rich people keep mercilessly plugging this idea that’s its immigrants fault on the one hand, and the EU on the other, or that whatever we have is better than the mess we would be in if ‘the racists’ had their way, epitomised by Brexit. What are the parallels with the US situation? The UK and the US: Both enjoyed a golden era of increasing equality from the end of the second world war until at least the late 70s, then a ‘renewed triumphalism’ with the end of the cold war. Both have been dealing with a distinct lack of legitimacy from the 2003 invasion of Iraq through to the destruction of Libya; all these wars and military spending more broadly have been backed by both parties but have been unpopular with the electorate. In fact it was necessary to lie and to break international law in order to wage them. Both have been champions of the neo-liberal agenda for many decades, and austerity since the 2008 financial crisis. Brexit is an all-encompassing issue which has no equal in the US, but if we take a broader look at what’s playing out in the UK surrounding Brexit over the same time period as the rise of Trump a number of commonalities are apparent: In the UK: (A) Brexit wasn’t meant to happen, and certainly not its implementation by a minority government plus the DUP, and (B) now the Tory Party (the Party of the elite) is weak and turned in on itself about what Brexit means in theory, in practice, in law, in costs, causing (C) a chaotic and confusing situation. (D) Reactionary reforms are being carried out in the meantime, at a rapid pace. (E) Corbyn wasn’t meant to be there and Remain may have won it with the complicity of a the labour leadership. Furthermore, even if they hadn’t, the Tories may well have improved their majority in the 2017 general election and thus be able to get on with a Brexit of their choosing instead of farce we are currently witnessing. In the US: (A) Trump wasn’t meant to be there as a candidate nor as President, and as a result (B) there is now a vicious conflict amongst the higher echelons of the US, (D) even as reactionary reforms are being carried out even faster than before. (C) That translates in practice to a lot of chaos and confusion. (E) Sanders wasn’t meant to be there either and its plausible that Clinton could have won the Presidency without the damaging narrative of her stealing the primaries and crushing the possibility of change within the Democratic Party. So, in both the UK and the US: 1) Democratic event pitched side A against side B, where side A was the status quo and side B promised various changes. The level of debate was an all-time low. 2) Event/politician(s) C happened, unexpectedly, bringing in issues not previously part of the publicly consumed political discourse. 3) A ended up losing narrowly to B, thus precipitating open war amongst the ruling establishment and a highly-polarized general-public. 4) B’s victory over A was arguably due to the loss of the control of the narrative by character(s) C. (The margin was small, and C was significant.) 5) Subsequently, character(s) C survives various efforts to remove them and thus becomes stronger a) within their Party, b) through increased grassroots support/favourable public opinion and c) by effectively countering / weathering the hostile MSM. In other words: 1) Brexit referendum: various changes promised, many mutually exclusive, some outright lies. Trump: changes promised, some unspecific (make America great), some ridiculous (the wall) others important (ending foreign invasions, reconciliation with Russia). 2) Corbyn fought for a Brexit based on opposition to austerity and worker’s rights. Also, Sanders promised to redistribute wealth and normalised the term ‘socialism’ in the US. Trump ran on an anti-war platform and pledged to ‘drain the swamp’. 3) Brexit winning meant that Cameron had to step down and combination of Leave and Remain Tories have been pitted against each other over what to do about it. Trump has reneged on most of his promises but has attempted a reconciliation with Russia (on hold until Russia-gate implodes) and hasn’t started any new wars yet. Regardless of why, there are many powerful people determined to remove him. 4) Brexit was largely a right-wing initiative, but it was supported by some sectors of the Left with the ostensible exception of Corbyn who was pro-Remain but not pro-status quo (unlike so many big wigs). When a Tory Brexit went head-to-head with Corbyn’s version of change they lost their majority, and had to go running to the DUP. In the US, Clinton was forced to tack left by Sanders (and it looked to many like she had to cheat as well) whilst Trump offered a mixture of ‘far-right’ and ‘change’. She might have been able to beat either of these challenges but the combination thwarted her, because she is so obviously the status quo that few want. 5) Corbyn has survived numerous challenges and emerged stronger each time. He now has decent control over all levels of the Labour Party, whilst he and Labour are riding high in the polls, and the MSM has already given him all their best shots. Trump’s future seems to depend on the collapse of Russia-gate and how FBI-DOJ-DNC-gate plays out in the run-up to the mid-terms. He could well emerge with the GOP and much of the electorate behind him. Meanwhile, his showdown with the MSM rolls on. The Brexit-Trump Era Brexit is still happening, as are many reactionary reforms, but May isn’t pulling either off with anything like panache. A large part of the reason for that is with Corbyn in charge of the Labour Party, everything is always about opposing neo-liberalism, austerity, and war-mongering. The other part is that Brexit was always going to be a nightmare. Incredibly, it looks likely that Labour will take power at the next election. However, as long as that looks likely, the Tories will do their utmost to prevent one. Trump is still there, and although he is doing what he is ‘meant to be doing’ (concentrating wealth in the hands of the very rich) he isn’t pulling it off with anything like the panache of Obama, or even Bush. The US is losing allies and soft power at a rapid pace. Sanders is also sniping from the side-lines. It’s possible that Trump may win another term due to the lack of reform of the Democratic Party, and the fallout from the botched coup against him. Symptoms as well as causes? Perhaps these similarities are coincidences, or are unimportant. Or perhaps the strain of maintaining the American empire has led both the US and its UK sidekick towards a breaking-point where financial, political and economic crisis are colliding with military defeats abroad and public relations problems at home. Key western alliances are being destroyed by both Brexit and Trump, however it could be that Brexit and Trump are a result of the profit-driven war-mongering actions of these western alliances. Brexit and Trump are undermining US hegemony and speeding up the transition to a multipolar world order, but may also be driven by that process. A resolution to the UK’s various problems is conceivable: Corbyn as Prime Minster, a ‘Green New-deal’ alongside some federalisation of the UK and a relationship with the EU that is based on social democratic priorities. How the US could possibly resolve its multi-faceted crisis is an open question. Original: https://thesaker.is/the-fall-of-cameron-clinton-and-the-rise-of-brexit-trump/
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      "title": "The fall of Cameron-Clinton, and the rise of Brexit-Trump",
      "body": "Good–press bad-press  \n\nYou’ve got two arms of the main-stream media (MSM) the right and the supposedly centre-left.  The right arm gets people fired-up with a mixed message of overt racism (typically anti-immigrant) and jingoistic nonsense, with anti-establishment narratives thrown in as sweeteners (typically anti-EU).  The left arm then points out the despicable nature of the former (‘the racists’) denies any anti-establishment content and presents the status-quo/free-market-capitalism as the only alternative, championing the freedom of movement and identity.  So, they get an opposing group of people fired-up about the idea of opposing hard borders and restrictions on travel and marrying whoever you want to.   \n\nDivide and Rule \n\nThey thus divide the vast majority of the population, who have an interest in fundamentally reforming society, into two conflicting groups, both of which they control to a large extent through the two arms of the MSM; one through racist threats (‘they’ are taking all our welfare and jobs, ‘they’ are going to impose sharia law) and the other through the threat of racists (surely, we are better than these far-right lunatics? They are the only alternative to us).   \n\nSo, society continues to get more and more unequal, and more and more people at the bottom are more and more desperate, whilst increasingly few ridiculously rich people keep mercilessly plugging this idea that’s its immigrants fault on the one hand, and the EU on the other, or that whatever we have is better than the mess we would be in if ‘the racists’ had their way, epitomised by Brexit.\n \n\n \n\nWhat are the parallels with the US situation? \n\nThe UK and the US: \n\nBoth enjoyed a golden era of increasing equality from the end of the second world war until at least the late 70s, then a ‘renewed triumphalism’ with the end of the cold war. \nBoth have been dealing with a distinct lack of legitimacy from the 2003 invasion of Iraq through to the destruction of Libya; all these wars and military spending more broadly have been backed by both parties but have been unpopular with the electorate. In fact it was necessary to lie and to break international law in order to wage them. \nBoth have been champions of the neo-liberal agenda for many decades, and austerity since the 2008 financial crisis. \n \n\nBrexit is an all-encompassing issue which has no equal in the US, but if we take a broader look at what’s playing out in the UK surrounding Brexit over the same time period as the rise of Trump a number of commonalities are apparent: \n\nIn the UK: \n\n(A) Brexit wasn’t meant to happen, and certainly not its implementation by a minority government plus the DUP, and (B) now the Tory Party (the Party of the elite) is weak and turned in on itself about what Brexit means in theory, in practice, in law, in costs, causing (C) a chaotic and confusing situation.  (D) Reactionary reforms are being carried out in the meantime, at a rapid pace. \n\n(E) Corbyn wasn’t meant to be there and Remain may have won it with the complicity of a the labour leadership.  Furthermore, even if they hadn’t, the Tories may well have improved their majority in the 2017 general election and thus be able to get on with a Brexit of their choosing instead of farce we are currently witnessing. \n\nIn the US: \n\n(A) Trump wasn’t meant to be there as a candidate nor as President, and as a result (B) there is now a vicious conflict amongst the higher echelons of the US, (D) even as reactionary reforms are being carried out even faster than before.  (C) That translates in practice to a lot of chaos and confusion. \n\n(E) Sanders wasn’t meant to be there either and its plausible that Clinton could have won the Presidency without the damaging narrative of her stealing the primaries and crushing the possibility of change within the Democratic Party.   \n\n \n\nSo, in both the UK and the US: \n\n1)  Democratic event pitched side A against side B, where side A was the status quo and side B promised various changes.  The level of debate was an all-time low.  \n2)  Event/politician(s) C happened, unexpectedly, bringing in issues not previously part of the publicly consumed political discourse.    \n3)  A ended up losing narrowly to B, thus precipitating open war amongst the ruling establishment and a highly-polarized general-public. \n4)  B’s victory over A was arguably due to the loss of the control of the narrative by character(s) C.  (The margin was small, and C was significant.)      \n5)  Subsequently, character(s) C survives various efforts to remove them and thus becomes stronger a) within their Party, b) through increased grassroots support/favourable public opinion and c) by effectively countering / weathering the hostile MSM. \n \n\nIn other words: \n\n1)  Brexit referendum: various changes promised, many mutually exclusive, some outright lies.  Trump: changes promised, some unspecific (make America great), some ridiculous (the wall) others important (ending foreign invasions, reconciliation with Russia).   \n2)  Corbyn fought for a Brexit based on opposition to austerity and worker’s rights.  Also, Sanders promised to redistribute wealth and normalised the term ‘socialism’ in the US.  Trump ran on an anti-war platform and pledged to ‘drain the swamp’.  \n3)  Brexit winning meant that Cameron had to step down and combination of Leave and Remain Tories have been pitted against each other over what to do about it.   Trump has reneged on most of his promises but has attempted a reconciliation with Russia (on hold until Russia-gate implodes) and hasn’t started any new wars yet.  Regardless of why, there are many powerful people determined to remove him. \n4)  Brexit was largely a right-wing initiative, but it was supported by some sectors of the Left with the ostensible exception of Corbyn who was pro-Remain but not pro-status quo (unlike so many big wigs).  When a Tory Brexit went head-to-head with Corbyn’s version of change they lost their majority, and had to go running to the DUP.  In the US, Clinton was forced to tack left by Sanders (and it looked to many like she had to cheat as well) whilst Trump offered a mixture of ‘far-right’ and ‘change’.  She might have been able to beat either of these challenges but the combination thwarted her, because she is so obviously the status quo that few want.  \n5)  Corbyn has survived numerous challenges and emerged stronger each time.  He now has decent control over all levels of the Labour Party, whilst he and Labour are riding high in the polls, and the MSM has already given him all their best shots.   Trump’s future seems to depend on the collapse of Russia-gate and how FBI-DOJ-DNC-gate plays out in the run-up to the mid-terms.  He could well emerge with the GOP and much of the electorate behind him.  Meanwhile, his showdown with the MSM rolls on.   \n \n\nThe Brexit-Trump Era \n\nBrexit is still happening, as are many reactionary reforms, but May isn’t pulling either off with anything like panache.  A large part of the reason for that is with Corbyn in charge of the Labour Party, everything is always about opposing neo-liberalism, austerity, and war-mongering.  The other part is that Brexit was always going to be a nightmare.  Incredibly, it looks likely that Labour will take power at the next election.  However, as long as that looks likely, the Tories will do their utmost to prevent one.  \n\nTrump is still there, and although he is doing what he is ‘meant to be doing’ (concentrating wealth in the hands of the very rich) he isn’t pulling it off with anything like the panache of Obama, or even Bush.  The US is losing allies and soft power at a rapid pace.  Sanders is also sniping from the side-lines.  It’s possible that Trump may win another term due to the lack of reform of the Democratic Party, and the fallout from the botched coup against him. \n\n \n\nSymptoms as well as causes? \n\nPerhaps these similarities are coincidences, or are unimportant.  Or perhaps the strain of maintaining the American empire has led both the US and its UK sidekick towards a breaking-point where financial, political and economic crisis are colliding with military defeats abroad and public relations problems at home.  Key western alliances are being destroyed by both Brexit and Trump, however it could be that Brexit and Trump are a result of the profit-driven war-mongering actions of these western alliances.  Brexit and Trump are undermining US hegemony and speeding up the transition to a multipolar world order, but may also be driven by that process.  \n\nA resolution to the UK’s various problems is conceivable: Corbyn as Prime Minster, a ‘Green New-deal’ alongside some federalisation of the UK and a relationship with the EU that is based on social democratic priorities.  How the US could possibly resolve its multi-faceted crisis is an open question. \n\nOriginal: https://thesaker.is/the-fall-of-cameron-clinton-and-the-rise-of-brexit-trump/",
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2018/02/06 18:52:48
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2018/02/06 17:53:54
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2018/02/06 17:36:06
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bodyHi! I am a robot. I just upvoted you! I found similar content that readers might be interested in: http://thesaker.is/uk-general-election-2017-featuring-blairite-rats-and-yellow-tories/
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2018/02/06 17:36:03
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2018/02/06 17:35:48
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mxmagpiepublished a new post: uk-general-election-2017
2018/02/06 17:35:48
parent author
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authormxmagpie
permlinkuk-general-election-2017
titleUK General Election 2017
body(Original published 06/07/2017 here: http://mxmagpie.uk/uk-general-election-2017/ and here: http://thesaker.is/uk-general-election-2017-featuring-blairite-rats-and-yellow-tories/) A rapid succession of electoral events in the UK has led to an early and polarizing General Election; whilst May risks all for a ‘hard-Brexit’ mandate, Labour promise to “rip up the tory-Brexit white paper”. North of The Wall1 the SNP-Government has had INDY22 approved by the Scottish Parliament in order to pursue its own relationship with Europe, once the terms of Brexit become clear. May’s gamble seems to be either an attempt to prevent a collapse of her majority due to fraud convictions or a belief in the utter weakness of her main opponent, Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party. However, now that the consistent media reports of Labour Party infighting has been replaced with Labour Party policies, polls have swung dramatically. Both the UK’s participation in the post-war Franco-German driven Union known as ‘the EU’ and the 300-year-old Union of England and Scotland are jeopardized by a Tory Majority, even as Irish Unification is back on the agenda and the future of the Labour Party itself very much up in the air. The Tories can still presumably count on the complicity of the Lib Dem Party (as in 2015) as well as an exodus of potentially one hundred Blairite MPs from the Labour Party in their efforts to form a new government, although given the terrible campaign May has ran and the plunge in her favorability it now looks like she will be replaced should she not increase her majority. UK Electoral Events 2014-17: Summer 2014: Scottish Independence Referendum (45% Yes v 55% No). Summer 2015: General Election (Tories secure small Majority). Autumn 2015: Labour Leadership Contest (Corbyn wins with historic 59%). May 2016: Election Combo: Local, Mayoral, Scottish Parliament, Welsh Assembly (Labour win key mayoralties and do well in local elections, but are beaten to second place by the Tories in the Scottish Parliament). June 2016: Brexit (52% Leave v 48% Remain UK-wide but N. lreland and Scotland back Remain convincingly). Autumn 2016: Another Labour Leadership contest (Corbyn wins with 62% and another huge boost to membership, as well as finance). May 5th 2017: Local and Mayoral Elections England, and Local in Wales, Scotland (In Scotland the SNP gain Glasgow and several other cities whilst the Tories beat Labour to second place; in Wales Labour remain the dominant force; in England the Tories win at the expense of UKIP and Labour). June 8th 2017: UK General Election. In September of 2014 the Scottish Independence Referendum was held: INDY lost but gained a respectable 45%, and immediately provoked a surge in membership applications to the SNP, as well as the Scottish Greens (both pro-INDY), which made the SNP comfortably the third biggest party in the UK, despite contesting constituencies making up less than 10% of the population. During the referendum campaign, Labour had visibly shared a platform with the Tories for a solid 18 months; whilst at the UK level the Lib. Dems. had been partners to the Tories oppressive austerity for 5 years. The Tories won the 2015 General Election through a collapse in Lib. Dem. support (helped by well-targeted fraudulent spending) against a Labour Party running on a platform of ‘austerity-lite’. North of The Wall, The SNP won historic 56/59 Scottish Westminster seats. Milliband promptly resigned, triggering a Labour leadership contest which Jeremy Corbyn won resoundingly, amidst a surge in Labour Party membership. Meanwhile the SNP took up the privileged Westminster offices formerly occupied by the Lib. Dems. Then, on May 5th 2016, there was a combination of various elections including local and mayoral, in which Labour performed well across the board (South of The Wall). This denied Corbyn’s opponents within the Labour Party a pretext for a leadership challenge, so they waited. Three weeks later, the infamous Brexit referendum was held; despite lack of clear rationale the loss of the Remain vote was blamed on Corbyn and the abortive ‘chicken coup’ was launched. Corbyn easily defeated his leadership challengers and swelled the ranks and coffers of the Labour Party in the process. (He then brought new blood to the front benches, and promoted those already there that backed him throughout.) In the recent local elections of May 2017, Labour lost less council seats than the conservatives and won mayoral elections in the only major urban areas contested (Liverpool and Manchester) and thus it was far from the rout the media predicted like always). Furthermore, most Tory gains were to a UKIP wipeout and the lib. dem. comeback failed to materialize, making a mockery of their absurd claim that they were the “only ones who could prevent a tory Brexit”. May’s Rationale If there is one thing the Conservatives do well its cling to power, and forgoing three years at the helm reeks of desperation, especially when you consider the boundary review will give them a 20-MP boost after 2018. However, since taking power, in the aftermath of the Brexit Referendum, May has been sinking deeper and deeper in a constitution crisis; caught as she is between negotiations with the EU27 and the Brexit implications for both Scottish and Irish membership of the UK. If May’s rationale was first and foremost to win a ‘fraud-proof majority’ the recent dropping of said allegations leaves this whole election looking a little unnecessary. In their absence, it seems that this election is an attempt to undo Corbyn before he manages to secure his position and reform the Labour Party, as well as somehow prevent INDY2 happening hard on the heels of an unpopular Brexit. Corbyn: Enemy No. 1 A bloody nose for the Labour Party is sure to provoke a challenge to Corbyn’s leadership but it’s an open question whether this would prove effective; Corbyn has emerged unscathed or stronger from every electoral challenge faced so far. But, by calling a snap election May has denied Corbyn and the Labour Party the time needed to deselect the ‘Blairite-scum’, meaning Corbyn fights this general election without the backing of many of his own MPs (whether explicit or otherwise), including his Deputy Leader, Tom Watson, and the leader of the Scottish Branch, Kezia Dugdale. Furthermore, many reforms currently in the pipeline for the Labour Party have not yet been implemented, most importantly the one to allow far-left candidates on ballots for future leadership contests by lowering the nomination bar. Once this is changed, McDonnell or any other of his Shadow Cabinet could replace Corbyn should ‘anything happen to him’. By striking now, the threat Corbyn poses to the establishment may be eliminated, through bringing the Labour Party to heel once more. This seems increasingly unlikely however. Labour’s share in the general election is sure to be higher the recent (May 2017) council elections considering the massive registration of voters, especially younger voters, which has taken place. His new policies are popular, his reception around the country arousing and Labour closed up to 10% points in the polls after a week of campaigning for the upcoming General Election, and have now closed it to 5-6% points, down from 21% when the election was called. Current Polls and predictions are beginning to show a reduced Tory majority and even a hung parliament, something which should force the Queen to accept Corbyn as the next PM, due to passive support of the SNP being a given. However, it is unfortunately conceivable that Blairite MPs would leave the Party en mass as described below in order to prevent this happening. Furthermore, it’s highly unlikely that the Lib. Dems. will act in any way that would help Corbyn become PM. Scottish Independence: Enemy No. 2 Sturgeon and the INDY2 cause already have a triple mandate for INDY2, although you’re not likely to hear that in the MSM. (Firstly because the SNP won 56/59 Westminster seats in 2015 with the explicit intention of holding a second referendum “if there was a significant material change in circumstances”, which there has now been, secondly because Holyrood’s two pro-INDY parties together represent on outright majority of ballots cast in the Holyrood Elections of May 2016 and thirdly because an outright majority of MSPs are from the two pro-INDY2 parties which is of course why Nicola Sturgeon sought and received permission from the Scottish Parliament to hold INDY2.) Nevertheless, eating into the SNP’s utter dominance of the Scotland’s Westminster seats is likely due primarily to Corbyn. If the SNP’s percentage share of vote or number of MPs falls, it will be used to attack the mandate for INDY2 (albeit disingenuously). Post-election Establishment ‘ploys’: the Blairite Rats & the Yellow Tories. Tories, as the establishment party, have two important post-election ‘ploys’ at their disposal, whether they win, lose or draw: An exodus of ‘Blairite rats’ from a Corbyn-lead Labour at a moment designed to inflict maximum damage on Corbyn and make the Tories seem relatively ‘strong and stable’. The complicity of the Lib. Dems. who will ostensibly form a coalition with the Tories in order to ‘restrain’ them, but will in practice be shoring up the establishment party and making them look relatively ‘strong and stable’. Ploy A would mean that the current battle for control of the Labour Party has been won by the membership; that reforms will be carried out to improve internal democracy of the party, and that the MPs remaining will be largely loyal to Corbyn and the members. It is therefore expected that the establishment will not trigger this exodus lightly, preferring instead to hold it in reserve. Ploy B is probable (whether it be the Lib. Dems. or a new centrist party) should May fail: we have seen it in the recent past, paltry concessions enabling Tory rule. A likely ‘paltry concession’ is an ‘A50 referendum’ which has two obvious (establishment) advantages 1) potentially enabling the Tories to weasel out of ‘no deal’ Brexit or shirk responsibility for its consequences and 2) complicate the holding of INDY2 in Scotland (which is effectively a UK-Brexit v EU-Scotland referendum). A combination of these ploys would involve the Blairite Rats swelling the ranks of the Lib Dems (or/and another party) who will then make a show of ‘negotiating’ to ‘retrain’ a hard-tory Brexit, and put together a ‘unity government’ which will pledge to hold a UK referendum on the outcome of the A50 negotiations. This scenario would have the added bonus (for the establishment) that the SNP are kicked out of their privileged third-party offices in Westminster. Scenarios: 2020 2017. Now that the Scottish INDY2 referendum will not take place until after the next general election, and bearing in mind that Corbyn is a genuine threat to the establishment and thus ploys described above are possible, we have various scenarios to contemplate. Tory ‘Fraud-proof majority’= Hard Tory Brexit + Scottish INY2 Tories Biggest Party: Tory-lib ‘unity coalition’= A50 Referendum. Labour Biggest Party: Blairite Rats leave Labour for Lib. Dems.4 and then form a ‘Tory-Lib. Unity Coalition’= A50 Referendum. Corbyn Victory= ‘Lite & Fluffy Brexit’ + Scottish Devo-Max + full-spectrum sabotage from all establishment factions. Notice the absence of anything resembling a ‘strong and stable’ government in the above anticipated scenarios. It therefore seems probable that the next government will not last its full term, for one reason or another. I: A fraud-proof Majority for May, would mean ‘hard-tory Brexit’, with another 5 years of austerity at least, despite it having added to UK debt so far. This would play into the hands of the INDY movement in Scotland, and almost certainly precipitate a final dissolution of the UK. (N. Ireland would also be likely to hold a referendum of its own in this scenario.) II: Tory – Lib. Dem. ‘Unity Coalition’ The Lib. Dems. shoring up the Tories once again, being complicit in both austerity at home and an unethical foreign policy, whilst demanding paltry concessions is highly likely should May fail to increase her majority. A possible goal of such a coalition is the holding of an ‘A50 referendum’ which would complicate INDY2 and conceivably give the Tories room to wiggle out of a Brexit ‘no deal’ situation. (What makes this scenario less and less likely, however, is the plummet in the favorability of May personally due to the appalling campaign she has ran; it now looks like she will have to resign in such a scenario, meaning the Tories would have to hold a leadership contest sharpish.) III: Tory – Lib. Dem. ‘Unity Coalition’+ Blairite Rats As II above, but with an even stronger polarization of English politics as Labour throw-off the millstone of entrenched Blairism and truly become (part of) an anti-establishment movement behind Corbyn, organizing demonstrations that challenge Tory rule whilst raising the battered shield in key Labour controlled urban areas such as London, Manchester, and Liverpool. (Again, a Conservative leadership contest would complicate this scenario.) IV: PM Corbyn= ‘Lite and Fluffy Brexit’ + Devo. Max How the “Remain and Reform” agenda could meet with the (non-binding) Brexit plebiscite and the legalities of A50 clause activation is an open question. What is certain is Corbyn as PM turns the Brexit game on its head: his objectives are diametrically opposed to May’s. Unlike any Tory Prime Minister, Corbyn is under little pressure (from his own MPs at least) to severely limit immigration and therefore has a much freer hand in negotiating continued membership of the common market. Whilst May was a wrecker for the EU, Corbyn is an agitator; he is likely to seek allies amongst the left across Europe and challenge the lack of democracy at all levels as well as the subservience to US, and corporate, interests. A diversity of possibilities are imaginable from EU27 v Corbyn negotiations, but the point being the things Corbyn would want to opt out of, if possible, are things like forced privatization of services, imperialist interference in our ‘near abroad’ (e.g. Ukraine, Libya, Syria, Israel/Palestine) and the bloated and harmful agricultural subsidies. With several ongoing crises and the recent nose-dive in German – US relations, you’d think the EU27 would be open to salvaging what they can of UK-EU relations by cutting Corbyn a deal on market access. This is especially so if the Scottish Independence can be postponed (which is a potential nightmare for EU countries with strong secessionist movements like Spain) and Corbyn as PM could foreclose INDY2, simply because what the SNP and the independence movement are trying to achieve doesn’t significantly differ from Corbyn’s Labour whether you look at domestic policies (Keynesian investment in place of austerity), foreign policies (nuclear disarmament and no more illegal wars), further devolution for Scotland (Tories and big business having everything to lose, unlike Corbyn’s Labour) or even Brexit (which both would like to see watered down quite drastically, whilst remaining committed to workers’ rights, environmental commitments, ECJ, etc.). Conclusion Two steadily strengthening fronts of resistance against the British establishment in general and May’s Premiership specifically are apparent: Corbyn and a Membership-lead Labour Party. The SNP, and the Scottish Independence Movement behind it. The nature of the snap election prevented the Labour Party from deselecting any anti-Corbyn MPs, however if May hoped to wrong-foot Corbyn on matters of policy she must be seriously disappointed. If May thinks she can have her hard-Brexit cake and eat INDY2 she is mistaken; it seems, ironically, that the only thing capable of stopping INDY2 at this point is Jeremy Corbyn as PM. However, the holding ‘A50 referendum’3 would complicate the holding of INDY2 in Scotland, undermine its legitimacy, or could even win it for the unionists. It seemed that the main purpose of this snap election was to neutralize the pending fraud charges against 20 Tory MPs, and then get on with a Brexit of May’s own design without a string of awkward by-elections. However, given that these investigations have born little fruit so far, it seems that May either misjudged their seriousness or was convinced of her ability to convincingly win this election regardless. Whether she still holds this belief is a matter of speculation. It should be expected that the establishment has two ‘ploys’ ready to implement should May fail to achieve her coveted fraud-proof majority, or indeed if Labour do manage to win a majority of their own, against the odds; the Blairite Rats and Lib. Dem. complicity in a ‘unity government’. Whatever the result of the election, Corbyn will come under attack from within his own party, either for losing the election or some other pretext. If he wins all establishment factions will begin a concerted effort to thwart his government, and the Blairite Rats will choose their moment to leave Labour and set up an alternative party. Popular mobilizations will be necessary to defend his Premiership should he win, or his Leadership should he lose. Notes. 1 The Wall= Hadrian’s Wall, a wall that divides the fundamentally divides the UK into two political spaces. 2 INDY2= A second Scottish independence referendum 3 A50 Referendum= a possible second Brexit referendum, this time on the results of negotiations with the EU27. 4 A new party could be formed by the Blairite Rats, especially if the lib dems have next to no MPs. This does not alter the fundamental nature of either of these ploys.
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      "permlink": "uk-general-election-2017",
      "title": "UK General Election 2017",
      "body": "(Original published 06/07/2017       here: http://mxmagpie.uk/uk-general-election-2017/ \nand here: http://thesaker.is/uk-general-election-2017-featuring-blairite-rats-and-yellow-tories/)\n\nA rapid succession of electoral events in the UK has led to an early and polarizing General Election; whilst May risks all for a ‘hard-Brexit’ mandate, Labour promise to “rip up the tory-Brexit white paper”.  North of The Wall1 the SNP-Government has had INDY22 approved by the Scottish Parliament in order to pursue its own relationship with Europe, once the terms of Brexit become clear.\n\nMay’s gamble seems to be either an attempt to prevent a collapse of her majority due to fraud convictions or a belief in the utter weakness of her main opponent, Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party.  However, now that the consistent media reports of Labour Party infighting has been replaced with Labour Party policies, polls have swung dramatically.\n\nBoth the UK’s participation in the post-war Franco-German driven Union known as ‘the EU’ and the 300-year-old Union of England and Scotland are jeopardized by a Tory Majority, even as Irish Unification is back on the agenda and the future of the Labour Party itself very much up in the air.\n\nThe Tories can still presumably count on the complicity of the Lib Dem Party (as in 2015) as well as an exodus of potentially one hundred Blairite MPs from the Labour Party in their efforts to form a new government, although given the terrible campaign May has ran and the plunge in her favorability it now looks like she will be replaced should she not increase her majority.\n\n \n\nUK Electoral Events 2014-17:\n\nSummer 2014: Scottish Independence Referendum (45% Yes v 55% No).\nSummer 2015: General Election (Tories secure small Majority).\nAutumn 2015: Labour Leadership Contest (Corbyn wins with historic 59%).\nMay 2016: Election Combo: Local, Mayoral, Scottish Parliament, Welsh Assembly (Labour win key mayoralties and do well in local elections, but are beaten to second place by the Tories in the Scottish Parliament).\nJune 2016: Brexit (52% Leave v 48% Remain UK-wide but N. lreland and Scotland back Remain convincingly).\nAutumn 2016: Another Labour Leadership contest (Corbyn wins with 62% and another huge boost to membership, as well as finance).\nMay 5th 2017: Local and Mayoral Elections England, and Local in Wales, Scotland (In Scotland the SNP gain Glasgow and several other cities whilst the Tories beat Labour to second place; in Wales Labour remain the dominant force; in England the Tories win at the expense of UKIP and Labour).\nJune 8th 2017: UK General Election.\n \n\nIn September of 2014 the Scottish Independence Referendum was held: INDY lost but gained a respectable 45%, and immediately provoked a surge in membership applications to the SNP, as well as the Scottish Greens (both pro-INDY), which made the SNP comfortably the third biggest party in the UK, despite contesting constituencies making up less than 10% of the population.\n\nDuring the referendum campaign, Labour had visibly shared a platform with the Tories for a solid 18 months; whilst at the UK level the Lib. Dems. had been partners to the Tories oppressive austerity for 5 years.  The Tories won the 2015 General Election through a collapse in Lib. Dem. support (helped by well-targeted fraudulent spending) against a Labour Party running on a platform of ‘austerity-lite’.  North of The Wall, The SNP won historic 56/59 Scottish Westminster seats.\n\nMilliband promptly resigned, triggering a Labour leadership contest which Jeremy Corbyn won resoundingly, amidst a surge in Labour Party membership.  Meanwhile the SNP took up the privileged Westminster offices formerly occupied by the Lib. Dems.\n\nThen, on May 5th 2016, there was a combination of various elections including local and mayoral, in which Labour performed well across the board (South of The Wall).  This denied Corbyn’s opponents within the Labour Party a pretext for a leadership challenge, so they waited.\n\nThree weeks later, the infamous Brexit referendum was held; despite lack of clear rationale the loss of the Remain vote was blamed on Corbyn and the abortive ‘chicken coup’ was launched.  Corbyn easily defeated his leadership challengers and swelled the ranks and coffers of the Labour Party in the process.  (He then brought new blood to the front benches, and promoted those already there that backed him throughout.)\n\nIn the recent local elections of May 2017, Labour lost less council seats than the conservatives and won mayoral elections in the only major urban areas contested (Liverpool and Manchester) and thus it was far from the rout the media predicted like always).  Furthermore, most Tory gains were to a UKIP wipeout and the lib. dem. comeback failed to materialize, making a mockery of their absurd claim that they were the “only ones who could prevent a tory Brexit”.\n\n \n\nMay’s Rationale\n\nIf there is one thing the Conservatives do well its cling to power, and forgoing three years at the helm reeks of desperation, especially when you consider the boundary review will give them a 20-MP boost after 2018.  However, since taking power, in the aftermath of the Brexit Referendum, May has been sinking deeper and deeper in a constitution crisis; caught as she is between negotiations with the EU27 and the Brexit implications for both Scottish and Irish membership of the UK.\n\nIf May’s rationale was first and foremost to win a ‘fraud-proof majority’ the recent dropping of said allegations leaves this whole election looking a little unnecessary.  In their absence, it seems that this election is an attempt to undo Corbyn before he manages to secure his position and reform the Labour Party, as well as somehow prevent INDY2 happening hard on the heels of an unpopular Brexit.\n\nCorbyn: Enemy No. 1\n\nA bloody nose for the Labour Party is sure to provoke a challenge to Corbyn’s leadership but it’s an open question whether this would prove effective; Corbyn has emerged unscathed or stronger from every electoral challenge faced so far.  But, by calling a snap election May has denied Corbyn and the Labour Party the time needed to deselect the ‘Blairite-scum’, meaning Corbyn fights this general election without the backing of many of his own MPs (whether explicit or otherwise), including his Deputy Leader, Tom Watson, and the leader of the Scottish Branch, Kezia Dugdale.\n\nFurthermore, many reforms currently in the pipeline for the Labour Party have not yet been implemented, most importantly the one to allow far-left candidates on ballots for future leadership contests by lowering the nomination bar.  Once this is changed, McDonnell or any other of his Shadow Cabinet could replace Corbyn should ‘anything happen to him’.  By striking now, the threat Corbyn poses to the establishment may be eliminated, through bringing the Labour Party to heel once more.  This seems increasingly unlikely however.\n\nLabour’s share in the general election is sure to be higher the recent (May 2017) council elections considering the massive registration of voters, especially younger voters, which has taken place.  His new policies are popular, his reception around the country arousing and Labour closed up to 10% points in the polls after a week of campaigning for the upcoming General Election, and have now closed it to 5-6% points, down from 21% when the election was called.  Current Polls and predictions are beginning to show a reduced Tory majority and even a hung parliament, something which should force the Queen to accept Corbyn as the next PM, due to passive support of the SNP being a given. \n\nHowever, it is unfortunately conceivable that Blairite MPs would leave the Party en mass as described below in order to prevent this happening.  Furthermore, it’s highly unlikely that the Lib. Dems. will act in any way that would help Corbyn become PM. \n\n \n\nScottish Independence: Enemy No. 2\n\nSturgeon and the INDY2 cause already have a triple mandate for INDY2, although you’re not likely to hear that in the MSM.  (Firstly because the SNP won 56/59 Westminster seats in 2015 with the explicit intention of holding a second referendum “if there was a significant material change in circumstances”, which there has now been, secondly because Holyrood’s two pro-INDY parties together represent on outright majority of ballots cast in the Holyrood Elections of May 2016 and thirdly because an outright majority of MSPs are from the two pro-INDY2 parties which is of course why Nicola Sturgeon sought and received permission from the Scottish Parliament to hold INDY2.)\n\nNevertheless, eating into the SNP’s utter dominance of the Scotland’s Westminster seats is likely due primarily to Corbyn.  If the SNP’s percentage share of vote or number of MPs falls, it will be used to attack the mandate for INDY2 (albeit disingenuously).\n\n \n\nPost-election Establishment ‘ploys’:  the Blairite Rats & the Yellow Tories.\n\nTories, as the establishment party, have two important post-election ‘ploys’ at their disposal, whether they win, lose or draw:\n\nAn exodus of ‘Blairite rats’ from a Corbyn-lead Labour at a moment designed to inflict maximum damage on Corbyn and make the Tories seem relatively ‘strong and stable’.\nThe complicity of the Lib. Dems. who will ostensibly form a coalition with the Tories in order to ‘restrain’ them, but will in practice be shoring up the establishment party and making them look relatively ‘strong and stable’.\nPloy A would mean that the current battle for control of the Labour Party has been won by the membership; that reforms will be carried out to improve internal democracy of the party, and that the MPs remaining will be largely loyal to Corbyn and the members.  It is therefore expected that the establishment will not trigger this exodus lightly, preferring instead to hold it in reserve.\n\nPloy B is probable (whether it be the Lib. Dems. or a new centrist party) should May fail: we have seen it in the recent past, paltry concessions enabling Tory rule.  A likely ‘paltry concession’ is an ‘A50 referendum’ which has two obvious (establishment) advantages 1) potentially enabling the Tories to weasel out of ‘no deal’ Brexit or shirk responsibility for its consequences and 2) complicate the holding of INDY2 in Scotland (which is effectively a UK-Brexit v EU-Scotland referendum).\n\nA combination of these ploys would involve the Blairite Rats swelling the ranks of the Lib Dems (or/and another party) who will then make a show of ‘negotiating’ to ‘retrain’ a hard-tory Brexit, and put together a ‘unity government’ which will pledge to hold a UK referendum on the outcome of the A50 negotiations.  This scenario would have the added bonus (for the establishment) that the SNP are kicked out of their privileged third-party offices in Westminster.\n\n \n\nScenarios: 2020 2017.\n\nNow that the Scottish INDY2 referendum will not take place until after the next general election, and bearing in mind that Corbyn is a genuine threat to the establishment and thus ploys described above are possible, we have various scenarios to contemplate.\n\nTory ‘Fraud-proof majority’= Hard Tory Brexit + Scottish INY2\nTories Biggest Party: Tory-lib ‘unity coalition’= A50 Referendum.\nLabour Biggest Party: Blairite Rats leave Labour for Lib. Dems.4 and then form a ‘Tory-Lib. Unity Coalition’= A50 Referendum.\nCorbyn Victory= ‘Lite & Fluffy Brexit’ + Scottish Devo-Max + full-spectrum sabotage from all establishment factions.\nNotice the absence of anything resembling a ‘strong and stable’ government in the above anticipated scenarios.  It therefore seems probable that the next government will not last its full term, for one reason or another.\n\nI: A fraud-proof Majority for May, would mean ‘hard-tory Brexit’, with another 5 years of austerity at least, despite it having added to UK debt so far.  This would play into the hands of the INDY movement in Scotland, and almost certainly precipitate a final dissolution of the UK.  (N. Ireland would also be likely to hold a referendum of its own in this scenario.)\n\nII: Tory – Lib. Dem. ‘Unity Coalition’\n\nThe Lib. Dems. shoring up the Tories once again, being complicit in both austerity at home and an unethical foreign policy, whilst demanding paltry concessions is highly likely should May fail to increase her majority.  A possible goal of such a coalition is the holding of an ‘A50 referendum’ which would complicate INDY2 and conceivably give the Tories room to wiggle out of a Brexit ‘no deal’ situation. (What makes this scenario less and less likely, however, is the plummet in the favorability of May personally due to the appalling campaign she has ran; it now looks like she will have to resign in such a scenario, meaning the Tories would have to hold a leadership contest sharpish.)\n\nIII: Tory – Lib. Dem. ‘Unity Coalition’+ Blairite Rats\n\nAs II above, but with an even stronger polarization of English politics as Labour throw-off the millstone of entrenched Blairism and truly become (part of) an anti-establishment movement behind Corbyn, organizing demonstrations that challenge Tory rule whilst raising the battered shield in key Labour controlled urban areas such as London, Manchester, and Liverpool.  (Again, a Conservative leadership contest would complicate this scenario.)\n\nIV:  PM Corbyn= ‘Lite and Fluffy Brexit’ + Devo. Max\n\nHow the “Remain and Reform” agenda could meet with the (non-binding) Brexit plebiscite and the legalities of A50 clause activation is an open question.  What is certain is Corbyn as PM turns the Brexit game on its head: his objectives are diametrically opposed to May’s.  Unlike any Tory Prime Minister, Corbyn is under little pressure (from his own MPs at least) to severely limit immigration and therefore has a much freer hand in negotiating continued membership of the common market.  Whilst May was a wrecker for the EU, Corbyn is an agitator; he is likely to seek allies amongst the left across Europe and challenge the lack of democracy at all levels as well as the subservience to US, and corporate, interests.\n\nA diversity of possibilities are imaginable from EU27 v Corbyn negotiations, but the point being the things Corbyn would want to opt out of, if possible, are things like forced privatization of services, imperialist interference in our ‘near abroad’ (e.g. Ukraine, Libya, Syria, Israel/Palestine) and the bloated and harmful agricultural subsidies.\n\n \n\nWith several ongoing crises and the recent nose-dive in German – US relations, you’d think the EU27 would be open to salvaging what they can of UK-EU relations by cutting Corbyn a deal on market access.  This is especially so if the Scottish Independence can be postponed (which is a potential nightmare for EU countries with strong secessionist movements like Spain) and Corbyn as PM could foreclose INDY2, simply because what the SNP and the independence movement are trying to achieve doesn’t significantly differ from Corbyn’s Labour whether you look at domestic policies (Keynesian investment in place of austerity), foreign policies (nuclear disarmament and no more illegal wars), further devolution for Scotland (Tories and big business having everything to lose, unlike Corbyn’s Labour) or even Brexit (which both would like to see watered down quite drastically, whilst remaining committed to workers’ rights, environmental commitments, ECJ, etc.).\n\n \n\nConclusion\n\nTwo steadily strengthening fronts of resistance against the British establishment in general and May’s Premiership specifically are apparent:\n\nCorbyn and a Membership-lead Labour Party.\nThe SNP, and the Scottish Independence Movement behind it.\nThe nature of the snap election prevented the Labour Party from deselecting any anti-Corbyn MPs, however if May hoped to wrong-foot Corbyn on matters of policy she must be seriously disappointed.\n\nIf May thinks she can have her hard-Brexit cake and eat INDY2 she is mistaken; it seems, ironically, that the only thing capable of stopping INDY2 at this point is Jeremy Corbyn as PM.  However, the holding ‘A50 referendum’3 would complicate the holding of INDY2 in Scotland, undermine its legitimacy, or could even win it for the unionists.\n\nIt seemed that the main purpose of this snap election was to neutralize the pending fraud charges against 20 Tory MPs, and then get on with a Brexit of May’s own design without a string of awkward by-elections.  However, given that these investigations have born little fruit so far, it seems that May either misjudged their seriousness or was convinced of her ability to convincingly win this election regardless.  Whether she still holds this belief is a matter of speculation.\n\nIt should be expected that the establishment has two ‘ploys’ ready to implement should May fail to achieve her coveted fraud-proof majority, or indeed if Labour do manage to win a majority of their own, against the odds; the Blairite Rats and Lib. Dem. complicity in a ‘unity government’.\n\nWhatever the result of the election, Corbyn will come under attack from within his own party, either for losing the election or some other pretext.  If he wins all establishment factions will begin a concerted effort to thwart his government, and the Blairite Rats will choose their moment to leave Labour and set up an alternative party.  Popular mobilizations will be necessary to defend his Premiership should he win, or his Leadership should he lose.\n\n \n\nNotes.\n\n1 The Wall= Hadrian’s Wall, a wall that divides the fundamentally divides the UK into two political spaces.\n\n2 INDY2= A second Scottish independence referendum\n\n3 A50 Referendum= a possible second Brexit referendum, this time on the results of negotiations with the EU27.\n\n4 A new party could be formed by the Blairite Rats, especially if the lib dems have next to no MPs.  This does not alter the fundamental nature of either of these ploys.",
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2018/02/06 17:08:18
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2018/02/06 17:07:18
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2018/02/06 17:07:18
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title07/04/2017: The Least Bad, The Bad, and The Lesser Bad.
body(Originally published here: http://mxmagpie.uk/least-bad-bad-lesser-bad/) Ever since I became a reasonably radical person, it’s been fairly straightforward who the bad guys were, and other people seemed to get it too. I mean some people got confused about Cuba and Israel, and of course the Balkan wars of the 90s, but loosely within my twenties-life people knew what was going on. But these days, fucking hell. Scottish Independence was the first thing. That’s got everyone split down the middle. (Other than the Geordie Street!) Then Putin. Then Brexit. Then Corbyn. Then Clinton. Also Le Pen. Now it’s fucking mad. Do people really want the super-rich spending Scotland’s oil wealth on weapons and wars? And Yeltsin back in charge so they can spend Russia’s resources as well, and get away with bombing small countries where they want their own resources for themselves? Do you hark back to the good old days of Milliband? When we had leader of the opposition that was ‘electable’, to quote Lord Kinnock. Or is it Blair that brings that fuzzy feeling? Is Clinton the one you want to sort out problems in Honduras, Ukraine, Libya, the Sudan, Yemen and Syria? Everyone deserves a second chance kind-of-thing? Macron/Fillon will save the Republic! Seriously? You know people say to me sometimes ‘you’re not actually doing anything though are you Jack?’, ‘other than reading about it all’. And I think, well, ‘if more people actually spent a little time reading about the world from crowd-funded sources using journalists, analysts, and technicians who actually cared about enabling you to get past this elite-controlled media, everyone wouldn’t be swallowing this Orwellian shite like foie gras duck.’ ’And we wouldn’t be here in this situation, where I’m the crazy one.’ ‘We wouldn’t be voting for something that Blair and Cameron and Brown and May and the IMF and NATO and the WB and the President of the United States told you to vote for.’ * And we wouldn’t be blaming those who recognise those fuckers** (the tory party, the new labour party, IMF/WB/NATO/ POTUS) as enemies for all the problems that those very fuckwits** are directly responsible for. I mean friends have told me “we can’t be friends anymore!” Because ‘Brexit was my fault’. Make sure you don’t tell Teresa that! I managed to pin it on Bozo. Next thing that’s my fault is Trump obviously, but what after that? Surely Hitler is too obvious. But since the time scale isn’t an issue anyways, how about King Leopold’s brutal reign over the Congo Basin? I mean what the fuck? I’m the bad guy now? Ah! Im naïve. Im a hypocrite. Glad you straightened me out on that one. So… because of a couple of well-dressed clowns, loads of horrific flags and an even more cringey quotes, interviews and headlines across the board ad nauseum, you go running into the arms of those neo-liberal war-mongering fuckers? ** Stop reading that shit man, all of it, because the BBC and the guardian are as much part of this as any of it.*** {Did I slip into a coma? (Given my penchant for geopolitics and my track record of highly frustrating nightmares where I nearly win and then it all goes horribly wrong, I probably would dream this if I was. And that would be a much better explanation for this string of ridiculous events and other world craziness than them actually happening, seemingly. I didn’t wake up upon realising that, so maybes nuclear holocaust will bring me out of it?)} *Obama threatened us for fuck’s sake! **’Them fuckers’ i.e. the tory party, the new labour party, the IMF/WB/NATO/ POTUS, etc. ***They told you that: the only reason people wanted Brexit was because of xenophobia and idiocy. Their proof? All the horrific right-wing media. Their platform? All the supposedly non-horrific centre/left media. Who owns all this media? Could it be the same horrific people? The ones that know the Prime Minister personally? PS: The BBC? You’re kidding me.
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      "permlink": "07-04-2017-the-least-bad-the-bad-and-the-lesser-bad",
      "title": "07/04/2017: The Least Bad, The Bad, and The Lesser Bad.",
      "body": "(Originally published here: http://mxmagpie.uk/least-bad-bad-lesser-bad/)\n\nEver since I became a reasonably radical person, it’s been fairly straightforward who the bad guys were, and other people seemed to get it too.  I mean some people got confused about Cuba and Israel, and of course the Balkan wars of the 90s, but loosely within my twenties-life people knew what was going on.\n\nBut these days, fucking hell.\n\nScottish Independence was the first thing.  That’s got everyone split down the middle. (Other than the Geordie Street!)  Then Putin.  Then Brexit.  Then Corbyn.  Then Clinton.  Also Le Pen.  Now it’s fucking mad.\n\nDo people really want the super-rich spending Scotland’s oil wealth on weapons and wars? And Yeltsin back in charge so they can spend Russia’s resources as well, and get away with bombing small countries where they want their own resources for themselves?\n\nDo you hark back to the good old days of Milliband?  When we had leader of the opposition that was ‘electable’, to quote Lord Kinnock.   Or is it Blair that brings that fuzzy feeling?\n\nIs Clinton the one you want to sort out problems in Honduras, Ukraine, Libya, the Sudan, Yemen and Syria?  Everyone deserves a second chance kind-of-thing?\n\nMacron/Fillon will save the Republic!\n\nSeriously?\n\nYou know people say to me sometimes ‘you’re not actually doing anything though are you Jack?’, ‘other than reading about it all’.  And I think, well, ‘if more people actually spent a little time reading about the world from crowd-funded sources using journalists, analysts, and technicians who actually cared about enabling you to get past this elite-controlled media, everyone wouldn’t be swallowing this Orwellian shite like foie gras duck.’\n\n ’And we wouldn’t be here in this situation, where I’m the crazy one.’  ‘We wouldn’t be voting for something that Blair and Cameron and Brown and May and the IMF and NATO and the WB and the President of the United States told you to vote for.’   *\n\nAnd we wouldn’t be blaming those who recognise those fuckers**  (the tory party, the new labour party, IMF/WB/NATO/ POTUS) as enemies for all the problems that those very fuckwits** are directly responsible for. \n\n I mean friends have told me “we can’t be friends anymore!” Because ‘Brexit was my fault’. \n\nMake sure you don’t tell Teresa that!  I managed to pin it on Bozo.\n\nNext thing that’s my fault is Trump obviously, but what after that? Surely Hitler is too obvious. But since the time scale isn’t an issue anyways, how about King Leopold’s brutal reign over the Congo Basin?\n\nI mean what the fuck?  I’m the bad guy now?\n\nAh! Im naïve.  Im a hypocrite.  Glad you straightened me out on that one.\n\nSo… because of a couple of  well-dressed clowns, loads of horrific flags and an even more cringey quotes, interviews and headlines across the board ad nauseum, you go running into the arms of those neo-liberal war-mongering fuckers? **\n\nStop reading that shit man, all of it, because the BBC and the guardian are as much part of this as any of it.*** \n\n{Did I slip into a coma? (Given my penchant for geopolitics and my track record of highly frustrating nightmares where I nearly win and then it all goes horribly wrong, I probably would dream this if I was.  And that would be a much better explanation for this string of ridiculous events and other world craziness than them actually happening, seemingly.  I didn’t wake up upon realising that, so maybes nuclear holocaust will bring me out of it?)}\n\n*Obama threatened us for fuck’s sake!\n\n**’Them fuckers’ i.e. the tory party, the new labour party, the IMF/WB/NATO/ POTUS, etc.\n\n***They told you that: the only reason people wanted Brexit was because of xenophobia and idiocy.  Their proof? All the horrific right-wing media.  Their platform? All the supposedly non-horrific centre/left media.  Who owns all this media? Could it be the same horrific people? The ones that know the Prime Minister personally?\n\nPS: The BBC? You’re kidding me.",
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2018/02/06 16:58:42
parent authormxmagpie
parent permlink29-07-2016-uk-politics-2016-everything-to-play-for
authorcheetah
permlinkcheetah-re-mxmagpie29-07-2016-uk-politics-2016-everything-to-play-for
title
bodyHi! I am a robot. I just upvoted you! I found similar content that readers might be interested in: http://thesaker.is/uk-politics-2016-everything-to-play-for/
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