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      "body": "So in my last post I discussed how to screen for an altcoin that might be worth to invest in, which has the potential to grow and to become well established. But even though in theory it might be a good project, there are still a couple of things to be reviewed before I would place my bet.\n\n- ~~- A good concept~~ \n- ~~being the best of its kind~~\n- a great and dedicated team \n- an active community \n- value of the actual coin: what do you need the currency for? \n- good marketing \n- fixed amount of coins or low inflation rate \n- potential for real world adaptability \n- your gut feeling \n\nhttp://doablefinance.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Four-Less-Obvious-Ways-to-Judge-Project-Success.png \n\n### A great and dedicated team\n\nNot only in the world of cryptocurrencies, but also for every other business, the team that is involved with a project is critical for its success. For many experts, the team behind a start-up is the most relevant factor for success. Therefore taking a closer look at the team is always worth your time. See who is involved - what is their experience, have they already been involved in other successful projects? Is the team constantly active and communicating (github etc.) ? Can you see whether the team is committed full time or would they only spend a couple of hours after they return home from work? How is the turn around rate within the team - in case team members are regularly being changed, there might be some issues within the team. A toxic climate within the group might also be a risk to the overall success of the project.\n\n### An active community\n\nThe community around a project might not be the most critical factor for a project, but especially for those projects that are growing steadily but slowly, an active community might help them to keep up the hype, to feed back information and to support them. Therefore an active community might not be that crucial for an upcoming ICO having a big professional team involved, but altcoins like Vertcoin, Shift or als Dogecoin definitely profit from their community.\n\n### Value of the actual coin: what do you need the currency for?\n\nThis is a difficult topic and one, where others might have another opinion. I have seen in the past that this question was not really relevant for creating a hype short time. But for long term investments I think this question might become relevant. As you know, BTC is known as a digital currency. BTC should act in the future as a general tool for paying for goods, services etc… Some other coins also act as currency, but only limited to a special purpose, like Ripple for example,  which uses its XRP to pay for transferal fees or Steem where Steem Dollars can be used to reward others for posts like this one.\n\nAnd then there are coins which do not have this purpose for their coin. The coin might act as something similar to a share, or might only be there to fund a project. Sometimes it is actually very difficult to understand what the purpose of the virtual coin actually is, that you are about to acquire. And this is where it gets problematic for me for long term investments. I need some true value behind the coin itself to make me wanting to invest. Why should I buy a coin which was issued by a (probably) successful company, but does not hold any real value? As I said, I haven't seen any project fail so far due to this fact, but I think this might happen in the future. That is also one of the reasons I am very skeptical about the value of XRP - for the actual purpose of Ripple, XRP does not really benefit from a high value per coin as it is only used along with the transfer that is being conducted.\n\n### A good marketing concept\n\nYou might have the best crypto concept in the world, led by a great team which is putting the fanciest code in place, but the project might still not be successful without a good marketing strategy. I would even say, there are currently more projects out there having a great marketing concept in place without having a great product than the other way round. You need to let the world out there know of what you are doing. You have to explain to them why they would need what you are offering. Many people who are investing in cryptocurrencies do not even fully understand the concept of the blockchain, why should they understand what a quantum resistant ledger is, beside that it sounds fancy? Spread the news, make it to the media. Unfortunately there are some projects out there which in my opinion have some good tech but did not make the most out of it. Examples would be Vert or Shift. So check how the marketing concept, the social media communication and the overall communication style of the project looks like.\n\n### Fixed amount of coins or low inflation rate\n\nThis is more or less just my very personal thing. I do not say that cryptocurrencies with billions of coins are a bad thing. Also coins with a huge inflation rate aren't, as especially does are maybe also attractive to miners. But for me it feels like coins with a smaller amount of coins make it easier to overlook. One factor less to worry about, as it gets really complicated to check how many coins might be there in the future, who might release what amount of additional coins by which time etc… So don't pin me down on this one, this is maybe more a personal thing. In case you are aiming for other sorts of coins, just be careful with the topics mentioned below. Especially for pre-mined coins check who is holding which amount, when would additional coins be released etc.\n\n### Potential for real world adaptability\n\nThis topic might be similar to the value of the actual coin. Nothing that inhibited the growth of any coin so far, as all cryptocurrencies lack real world adaptability at some point so far.  Real world acceptance will be the key to the success of cryptocurrencies - so far this is a long way to go, even though you can already buy both your detox smoothie as well as a new pair of shoes using BTC. But in the long run, think about whether this is something that would bring either the people out there or companies a benefit over what is available as well as over the competition. There are so many examples out there were it would make perfect sense to utilize the blockchain, but there are also some where in my opinion it doesn't. Currently it looks like new coins are just randomly generated by looking for areas which haven't been linked with cryptos yet and to generate a new coin out of that. Trains? Traincoin - let's do it, for sure we can use that somehow. Elephants? Oh yeah, just build a coin using that name and just pretend it's a little bit more secure. As I said, at the moment this does not really affect which coin is shooting up and which isn't - currently it really looks like almost every coin can make it up 500% just due some speculative pump and dumps, but I am looking for meaningful investments, that have a solid base to build upon.\n\n### Your gut feeling\n\nLast but not least it is also my gut feeling that tells me whether this project looks right or it doesn't. Maybe don't listen too much to your gut feeling when it comes to selecting a project to invest in, but more when it comes to dropping one. Maybe the project looks good, the team seems great, the marketing concept looks solid but still something tells you to not invest. Then don't. There are many other cryptos out there which will rise as well.\n\n\n***In Part IV I will discuss my decision on strategies. As I said in the beginning, I am not into day-trading, but still I hold some cryptos for a short period and sell once I made profit. I will discuss which coins I do hold for a longer period of time and which I don't***\n\nWould be nice to hear how you select coins for an investment.",
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      "body": "Thanks for this guide. I was looking for the part 1 too ;(\nWhat was part 1 roughly about?",
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      "body": "Usually I keep my personal notes in Evernote. As I am new to Steem, I did not think about losing the content and just wrote my post without editing in Evernote at first. So I will have to fully re-write it :( Might be an interesting feature to have something available like an audit trail in Steem.",
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      "body": "No but you can edit it - and add what is missing. Would love to read it.",
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      "body": "Great post. Upvoted, followed you and resteemed.",
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      "body": "Nice post - well thought out and well written - following",
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      "body": "This is great insight for everyone.\n\nMarket cap 💯📈📉",
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      "author": "tickbert",
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      "title": "A very personal guide to altcoin-trading - part II",
      "body": "<html>\n<p>So in the first part I have explained why it is important to keep your coins safe as well as how to deal with disappointing events. In my second part I would like to jump to my main conclusion on how to earn money on altcoin trading.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>First I want to point out that I am not really into day-trading. As I am not doing this for a living, I cannot spend that much time on watching charts and reacting on chart developments. Day-trading really is a hard job and especially as crypto markets are open 24/7, this would be very demanding.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Ok, so which altcoins did bring me the most $$$ so far? My portfolio consists of some more secure positions like bitcoin and altcoins like ETH and LTC. Those are nice, usually quite stable and as you have seen during the past months, they also have a constant uptrend and could even double up your stake. However the biggest potential have smaller altcoins that are about to becoming big, those which will be on the rise soon. They might bring you 10x or even 50x in short- or midterm. Of course this is also riskier than investing in the already well established cryptos, therefore some advice in advance:&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- only invest money you can afford to lose&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- crypto markets might be in a bubble. no one knows. money you are investing might be gone in seconds&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- keep calm, make educated decisions and do not get hyped or panic&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- diversify! Chose your portfolio wisely, investing everything into one or only into risky coins could burn your stack much faster than you might think.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- suggestions coming from my end are not trading advice. those are just my personal conclusions from what I have experienced in the crypto world&nbsp;</p>\n<p>So how do I chose cryptos to see whether they might be on the rise? The answer is: doing lots of research. As there are so many altcoins out there, to find a new potential coin I start to narrow down the coins I will be looking at.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Using tools like coinmarketcap (www.coinmarketcap.com) helps you to filter coins for certain general criteria.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>So the first and most important criteria is the market cap. The market cap is the indicator that defines the overall value of a coin, NOT the price of the coin itself. Many beginners only look at the price but at the same time do not realize, that a coin might only be worth $0.1 but if there are 16,000,000,000 of them out there, the single coin might never reach $100 as some other coins might do.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://abload.de/img/bildschirmfoto2017-081uubl.png\">https://abload.de/img/bildschirmfoto2017-081uubl.png</a></p>\n<p>I am therefore usually looking for a market cap in the range of $5,000,000 to $30,000,000 - those are the coins which usually already have gained some value and do not have a high risk of being a total failure, but at the same time might also have not reached their peak value yet. So how high could those coins go? Usually for a small coin it is difficult to get into the top 10 short- to mid term. Those have a marketcap of &gt;1 billion, which is rather unrealistic to reach for most coins - although not impossible as recently proven by Neo.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>\n<p>So we are aiming for coins currently being at market cap top300 which are heading for the top 60, which would mean having a market cap of &gt;$100 Million afterwards. Additionally I am usually looking for coins which have less than &lt;200 Million coins distributed and would have a fixed amount of coins or a low inflation rate - I might discuss this topic in the future.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>So this is the simple part, now the hard work begins - doing the research. A promising coin has to fulfill certain criteria in order to increase the likelihood for its success.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- A good concept&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- being the best of its kind&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- a great and dedicated team&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- an active community&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- value for the actual coin: what do you need the currency for?&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- good marketing&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- fixed amount of coins or low inflation rate&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- potential for real world adaptability&nbsp;</p>\n<p>- your feeling&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Let me discuss each of those topics:&nbsp;</p>\n<p>### A good concept.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Go to their website, read the whitepaper and objectively reflect on the idea. What is the project about? Is the technical aspect sound? Do we really need this altcoin? Also a niche-product might have the potential to be a well established project in a couple of months, but might not have the same potential to grow as a project that might change our general way of doing business or our habits to communicate with each other - therefore topics which have a wide-scale adaptability but are also often more difficult to establish.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>https://abload.de/img/bildschirmfoto2017-08las0b.png</p>\n<p>Also keep your eyes open, check what others are thinking about the project and whether they had the same thoughts as you had. But be careful! There are so many people out there just trying to build up a hype around their project or about the project they have invested in. Always be sceptical about what you read.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>### Being the best of its kind&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;</p>\n<p>So you have found an altcoin with a promising concept and good tech. Good start. But I am pretty sure there are other projects out there that might do similar things. Maybe even in the same way, maybe in an alternative way. Do some research here, compare those projects. Which one is at which stage, which project is supported by whom (any famous tech people behind it as advisors or doing promotion?). Think about whether competitors might push each other oder whether only one of them will make it. Very often, if one team comes up with a great idea, it might end up on top, but might also take some of the others with them for a part of their way so all of those coins go up in value. But be careful, in the end often only one project makes it to the top - the others might rise as well but could crash once it was decided by the public which project would be the top of the class.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>**in my third part I will discuss the remaining factors of how I am selecting altcoins for an investment**&nbsp;</p>\n<p>PS: unfortunately it looks like the main part of \"Part I\" was deleted. I am very sorry and might re-write it at some time.&nbsp;</p>\n</html>",
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      "body": "This is what I will discuss in the second part. You have to set up a general strategy when you buy the coin and should try to stick with it afterwards. You should anticipate such situations beforehand and should have a plan at hand which you would follow. But as a general advice as you are new: I wouldn't go too much for day-trading. This really is demanding and requires some experience. Otherwise you will miss many opportunities or you will sell for loss.",
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      "title": "A very personal guide to altcoin-trading - Part I",
      "body": "Well, I am now an amateur in crypto trading for a while and when I look back I regret many of the opportunities that I have missed and many of the mistakes that I made. But ok, to be fair, someone from the 'real world' would ask whether you are crazy if you are complaining for 'only' having made 800% of investment X instead of the possible 1300%. But that is what crypto-trading currently looks like. In the meantime, I made some good money out of cryptos - maybe not as much as I would have liked, but enough to make my life much easier.\n\nhttps://abload.de/img/bitcoin-1412584_1280b0ug8.png\n\nIn order to start, I have to go back to the very beginning. It was in the year 2013, when the first small crypto hype started. I think it was barely noticed by most people outside of the IT scene, but it was big enough that almost everyone who was online would notice it. And so did I. I heard some stories of people who made thousands of dollars even though they have invested nothing, they just mined some virtual currency by turning on a program. So I jumped on boarded, learned",
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      "body": "Good information. I new in this of crypto trading. I made a portfolio but i don`t know when to take profits. For instance one of mi altcoins raise 70% and keep and in two days it was down and lose the profit. its difficult to make decisions to keep until  a few months or sell. What you think.",
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      "title": "A very personal guide to altcoin-trading - Part I",
      "body": "Well, I am now an amateur in crypto trading for a while and when I look back I regret many of the opportunities that I have missed and many of the mistakes that I made. But ok, to be fair, someone from the 'real world' would ask whether you are crazy if you are complaining for 'only' having made 800% of investment X instead of the possible 1300%. But that is what crypto-trading currently looks like. In the meantime, I made some good money out of cryptos - maybe not as much as I would have liked, but enough to make my life much easier.\n\nIn order to start, I have to go back to the very beginning. It was in the year 2013, when the first small crypto hype started. I think it was barely noticed by most people outside of the IT scene, but it was big enough that almost everyone who was online would notice it. And so did I. I heard some stories of people who made thousands of dollars even though they have invested nothing, they just mined some virtual currency by turning on a program. So I jumped on boarded, learned from some crypto boards how to mine and tried to set this up as well. I tried mining some bitcoin, but later on switched to altcoins. To be honest, I do not remember what the outcome was - I desperately tried to find the keys for my wallets, but I somehow lost them. I was hoping to find in there 5 BTC and 30 LTC, but I doubt that it was anything close to those numbers.\n\nAnd then I also bought altcoins. Via ebay. I only invested very little, but enough that this would be worth something today. Unfortunately, those coins were in the wallets as well and I will never be able to redeem those. I never paid too much attention because shortly after the hype evolved, it was over again. At that time I just wrote off those small investments and the time that I had spent on crypto.\n\n### Lesson 1: \n\nMake sure your altcoins are stored securely and to back-up your keys. This is a very basic lesson that I learned, but the most relevant of them all. When you are investing, you might also keep your coins for a while. If you are not planning to day-trade, even consider putting them in a wallet. For exchanges, make sure to follow all basic rules for password security and set up a two-factor-authentification. \n\n\nAlmost 4 years later I was back. I learned from a friend, that crypto might be hyped again, even more than last time. Time to get on board! I immediately thought about the stories I heard during the first wave, but was convinced enough to put sufficient amounts of $$$ in. So I invested $20 here and $50 there - oh man... I mean, I made real good money out of those maybe 200 bucks, but looking back I really regret not having invested some couple of thousand dollars. But when I saw what those coins made out of a couple of dollars, I decided to increase the stake a little bit. I also started to think a little bit more of what I was actually doing, but unfortunately I did what I am currently seeing in many boards: I FOMOed. FOMO means 'fear of missing out' and describes those people, that come in when the pump already happened. And once the dump sets in, they freak and sell their coins for loss. \n\n### Lesson 2: \nstay calm, don't follow the hype. You might be on some of the boards like bitcointalk and even here on steemit, where discussions on smaller altcoins only start once they had a x00% pump. I am not saying that investing in such coins is always a bad thing. I am saying that investing in a coin that was just pumped is _usually_ a bad thing. Chances are big, that you might lose some value in short time, as those coins usually get dumped. You really need a good reason to buy on a peak, like I recently did with ANS/NEO when it hit $6. For most coins, this will not be a success story - short term. Which brings me to the next point: Panicking.\n\nIn the beginning, I was regularly facing two situations: dumps, and coins keeping their value or slowly falling. Dumps go really really fast. After a coin was shooting up for 50, 80, maybe 100% within a couple of hours, they drop many times even faster afterwards. This happens when people are taking their profits and are leaving the table. You should have a plan how to deal with those situations beforehand (I will discuss this in the second part). In the beginning I didn't had those plans. And I was panicking very often. I either sold when there was still profit but sometimes only made 10% instead of 80%, or sometimes I held on to the coin even longer, hoping that it would shoot up again and sold for loss in the end.\nAnother thing that is even more difficult to anticipate are coins slowly decreasing in value. If you take Ripple for example: Ripple really significantly increased its value, going from $0.005 in Mar 2017 to $0.4 in May 2017.  So what happened was - as explained before - that many people got in at around $0.2-0.4 when the coin had already gone up by thousands of percent and having reached a market cap of 15 billion dollars. From there, it only went downhills. Very slowly, but still it went down. And if you bought in late, you are waiting for the next pump. In the crypto world, selling with loss really is a bad thing. In a world, where cryptocurrencies are only going up up up. But one thing is worse - cryptos blocking money which you could have invested in other coins that are booming. So what I did was I held on to some coins which already reached the peak, and sold them after weeks when I realized  they are not about to jump anytime soon.\n\n\n*In the second part I will be discussing my way of selecting coins for investment, deciding on investment strategies and on dealing with certain situations like pumps, drops or coins ending up as ded-coins.*\n\n\n\n\nPS: I am sorry for my writing, but english is not my mother tongue. I would appreciate to hear about how you started in dealing",
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